Monday, 7 December 2015

COP21 Terrorism Update #6.

In my previous update which I delivered three hours ago I explained how events in Leytonstone, London, UK weren't planned to have an impact on COP21.

However yesterday there was a terror attack that was planned to impact on the summit. Jaafar Mohammed Saad the Governor of Yemen's Aden province was killed along with several of his aides were killed in a car bombing in Aden. The attack has been claimed by the Islamic State of Iraq and the Levant (ISIL).

As I've said numerous times before the big problem in creating a global climate change agreement is that Gulf nations such as Saudi Arabia simply will not allow smaller, developing nations to sign up. If those nations defy Saudi Arabia's will they will be attacked by Islamist terrorists.

Saudi Arabia's main focus has long been nations in east and central Africa such as Kenya.

In order to threaten these nations Saudi Arabia has been building up Al Qaeda in the Arabian Peninsula (AQAP) in Yemen. From Yemen Saudi Arabia exports Islamist terrorists across the Gulf of Aden to Somalia. From Somalia they attack other African nations.

One aspect of how Saudi Arabia has taken control of AQAP is through the US' drone program. Essentially Saudi intelligence provides the CIA with the names and locations of AQAP leaders telling the US they are an immediate threat. The CIA then goes and kills those individuals only for the Saudis to exploit the newly created vacuum by filling it with one of their agents.

Although the drones are new this is a tactic the CIA itself used during the Cold War particularly in South America through what is know as "The School of the Americas." This was encapsulated in a rather famous quote by a CIA backed fascist guerrilla leader;

"We practice the selective annihilation of Mayors and government officials. For example we create a vacuum. We then fill that vacuum. As popular war advances peace is closer."

The killing of Saad was an almost perfect demonstration of that tactic. As such it was a show of force by Saudi Arabia to warn African nations that they'd better obey at COP21 because Saudi Arabia is poised just across the Gulf of Aden.

That show of force was magnified by Saudi Arabia showing how it has effectively made the US its slave.

Yesterday evening at prime-time in the US but very early this morning in the European time-zone where COP21 is taking place US President Obama finally made a formal address over Wednesday's (2/12/15) San Benardino terror attack.

The primary objective of this was to try and save Obama's reputation because in the eyes of many American voters he is starting to appear increasingly detached from reality.

While the San Benardino attack was taking place Obama was recording a pre-scheduled interview with the US network CBS. Without bothering the check that facts Obama immediately informed the interviewer that the events in San Benardino were another example of gun violence that supported his gun control agenda.

By the time that Obama gave brief public comments on Friday (4/12/15) he was at least open to the possibility that it had been a terror attack. However Obama was still very keen to portray it as an incidence of work place gun violence making frequent reference to an argument that one of the attackers - Syed Farook - is alleged to have had with co-workers just prior to the shooting.

It was on Friday afternoon that is was confirmed that the attackers had pledged allegiance to ISIL. It also emerged that this alleged fight with co-workers had simply not taken place.

What did the real damage to Obama though was the weekly address to the nation he makes on Saturday. This is usually recorded on Thursday evening/Friday morning. However on this occasion Obama didn't see the need to re-shoot in light of the new information of Friday afternoon.

So the message Obama released on Saturday bore absolutely no relation to the events that everybody knew had transpired.

It was on Saturday night that Obama decided he needed to make yesterday's address in order to regain just a hint of credibility.

As a result I was expecting the address to simply gloss over Obama's mistakes by not making any reference to either gun control or workplace violence in the hope we would forget he ever made those comments. Obama would then offer condolences to the victims and their families before commending the police and reassuring Americans that the security services were working day and night to prevent another attack.

The fact that Obama wouldn't mention any action to combat terrorism would be enough to intimidate nations at COP21 signing up to the US authored agreement to prevent action on climate change.

Obama though shockingly went far further then that. He essentially stopped just short of publicly, formally pledging his alligence to ISIL.

The main problem was that throughout Obama seemed to be either smirking or trying to suppress a broad grin. As if the worst terror attack on US soil since September 11th was something to be savoured and enjoyed.

Obama opened by acknowledging that it was indeed a terror attack and offering condolences to the victims. He was though keen to play up that victims were from all different races and some were immigrants while others were born in the US. This was an attempt to further his racist narrative that has got him into so much trouble over the past year.

Obama then offered a re-cap of the efforts that the US has taken in using its drone program to hunt down terrorist leaders overseas. This was a reference to the AQAP problem that had come up earlier in the day. Obama then assured us that he was committed to this failed strategy. 

This was intended to intimidate COP21 nations by confirming that Saudi Arabia and by extension AQAP continue to enjoy Obama's full support. 

Next Obama mentioned the specific efforts the US is taking in Iraq and Syria. Essentially his message was that he is going to continue with this failed strategy. Again this was intended to intimidate COP21 nations by confirming that ISIL continue to enjoy Obama's full support.

On Syria specifically Obama renewed his commitment to training and equipping Syrian insurgent forces. It is through this program that Turkey has been training and equipping ISIL and associated forces to overthrow the Syrian government.

Obama also made specific reference to denying "safe-haven." Turkey has long pushed to invade Syria on the pre-text of establishing "safe-havens." In response the Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF/QSD) has liberated a vast section of Syria along the Turkish border to cut ISIL's supply lines into Turkey.

"Safe-Haven" actually has a very specific meaning under international law which places a large degrees of responsibility of the people who establish and maintain it. Therefore what the SDF/QSD have established is referred to as a "buffer-zone."

Here Obama was attempting to cause confusion but not making it clear whether he was denying Turkey's request to invade Syria as planned or giving it the go-ahead to invade and wipe out the SDF/QSD.

Obama then changed the subject back to his favourite topics of immigration and gun control. 

In response the the Paris Massacres Republicans have been calling for the US to stop accepting refugees from Syria. In an attempt to portray them as racist Obama has instead demanded changes to the visa waiver system. He reiterated this call along with calls for gun control.

Continuing his attacks on the Republicans Obama then called for Congress to approve his use of military force. This has long been a sticky issue because Obama's anti-ISIL strategy is terrible. Therefore if Congress were to vote on it they would have to vote to reject it. The hope has been that by delaying the vote Obama would take the hint.

Next Obama raised the spectre of sending US troops into a long and bloody ground war in Syria. This is a strawman argument that Obama has long used in an effort to protect ISIL.

The reason why the fight against ISIL is failing is because Obama does not want to defeat ISIL. So there are many things that can be done such as getting Turkey to end its support for ISIL, supporting the SDF/QSD and providing all anti-ISIL forces with effective close air-support that will defeat ISIL long before we have to start thinking about ground troops.

However Obama doesn't want to do any of that so he uses the fear factor of ground troops to divert from questions about his lack of strategy.

Obama ended with another chorus of his racism narrative by urging us all not to treat all Muslims as members of ISIL. This is very sound advice but Obama is saying in an effort to portray anyone who opposes ISIL as a racist.

This is a well worn Turkish trick that Obama himself seems to have fallen for.

In a desperate effort to move the news cycle along and get American voters to forget about San Benardino the Obama administration has today announced a federal probe into the Chicago Police department amid the usual allegations of racism. A lot of people think the investigation should actually be into Chicago's Mayor who used to be Obama's Chief of Staff.

This is actually quite clever because by reminding COP21 delegates that the Obama administration is incapable of producing a climate change agreement they are reassuring those under terror threat that they can sign the US authored agreement because it will block future action on climate change.

17:40 on 7/12/15 (UK date).

 

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