Monday 1 July 2019

The Enemy Within.

June 29th (29/6/19) and June 30th (30/6/19) saw the 2019 G20 Summit. Held in Osaka, Japan.

This became dubbed; "The G2 Summit." Dominated as it was by the relationship between just two members. The US and China.

The modern history of US, China relations is a broad and complicated subject.

However one of the key events was the creation of the People's Republic of China (PRC) in 1949. Following the Communist revolution led by Communist Party Chairman Mao Zedong.

Central to Chairman Mao's revolution were attempts to subjugate the bourgeois middle-classes to his cult of personality. Through back breaking and punitive agricultural labour. The Great Leap Forward.

The rise of Chairman Mao saw the US break off all diplomatic relations with China. Although technically they maintained relations with China. The US simply redefined; "China" to mean just the island of Taiwan.

This all changed in 1972 when Richard Nixon visited the People's Republic of China. Becoming the first sitting US President to set foot in the Communist country.

Primarily the US' restoration of relations with China was driven by a need to end the Vietnam War. However it involved a much wider policy of engagement. Including the opening up of trade between the two nations.

The thinking being that increased trade would bring wealth to China. In turn creating a new middle-class. As that middle-class grew it would reverse the subjugation of the Great Leap Forward. Forcing China to open up, allowing more political and social freedom to its citizens.

Initially this strategy worked incredibly well.

By the summer of 1989 this new middle-class had established itself to the point it had formed a pro-Democracy movement. Which held protests in over 400 cities across China. Most famously in Beijing's Tiananmen Square.

The Chinese Communist Party's violent crushing of the 1989 Democracy Movement ushered in a new social contract between the Chinese people and their rulers.

Rather than being the driver of democracy economic prosperity instead became the compensation for totalitarianism. In short the Chinese Communist Party would pay the Chinese people not to demand things like democracy or justice under the rule of law.

Sadly western nations, such as the US, did not adjust to this shift in Chinese society.

In part this is because they had become too reliant on the short term profits that cheap Chinese imports bring.

Others, such as the US Democrat Party who currently occupy the legislative chamber, could not see the problem. Aspiring as they do to a society where the public are answerable to their leaders. Not one where leaders are answerable to the people.

So trade with China has continued unabated.

This indifference amongst western nations has seen China's progress towards democracy slow. In recent years it has even begun to reverse.

In 2017 the current Chinese President Xi Jinping had his philosophy on Communism added to the Chinese Constitution. A great honour for a Chinese Communist leader. One not bestowed since Chairman Mao.

At the same time President Xi amended the Chinese Constitution to remove Presidential term limits. Term limits that were imposed following the death of Chairman Mao and the period of chaos which ensued as an unprepared nation attempted to choose his successor.

It is not just me who is expressing this concern about China's slide away from democracy. It is also a concern that has been expressed by many senior members of the Chinese Communist Party.

You may have noticed that the G20 has been surrounded by carefully stage-managed pro-Democracy protests. In the Chinese city of Hong Kong.

This post-Tiananmen era of US, China trade has also created a growing strategic threat to the US.

The current trading relationship sees China send the US large amounts of products. In return the US sends China large amounts of US dollars.

This has allowed China to build up massive reserves of the US' currency. Currency China sometimes lends back to the US in the form of US Treasury bonds.

This imbalance has now become so great it has created the very real possibility that the US Federal Reserve no longer controls the US economy. The Chinese Central Bank now controls the US economy. So could bring it crashing down any time it likes.

This growing strategic threat is not a new one. It is something former US President Barack Obama tried and failed to combat. Through his 2012 "Pivot to the Pacific" policy.

As I mentioned prior the the 2016 US Presidential Election Obama's Pivot to the Pacific policy had two strands. A security strand and an economic strand.

The security strand centred around building up the Democratic People's Republic of Korea (DPRK/North) into a regional bogeyman. By assisting its efforts to acquire nuclear weapons, including through supplying it with missile guidance software.

Building up the threat of the DPRK was intended to force China's neighbours to seek US support to protect themselves from the threat the US had created.

I honestly hope I don't need to explain to anyone how reckless and stupid this strand of Obama's Pivot to the Pacific policy was.

The economic strand centred around the Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP).

This intended to establish US trade links with China's neighbours. Previously closed off nations such as Cambodia, Vietnam and Myanmar.

The idea was to undercut Chinese manufacturing in order to slow Chinese economic growth. Undermining the post-Tiananmen social contract.

This strand was fatally flawed for two main reasons.

Firstly it did not engage with China directly. As such it stood no chance of altering China's behaviour.

Secondly it actually served to endorse the more problematic elements of China's behaviour. By establishing links with nations whose behaviour is far worse than China's.

For example Obama declared Myanmar to be a normal country. With normal values. Something I'm looking forward to seeing Obama explain to Myanmar's Rohingya Muslim minority.

Upon becoming US President Donald Trump immediately scrapped Obama's Pivot to the Pacific.

Rather than attempting to build the DPRK up as a regional security threat President Trump is now engaging with the nation on the complex issue of denuclerisation and reform.

President Trump also withdrew from the Trans Pacific Partnership.

Sadly other nations, led by Japan decided to go ahead with it anyway. Most shamefully they have decided to proceed on China's terms.

President Trump has also imposed numerous tariffs on China. In order to remove the strategic threat to the US by reducing the trade imbalance and to alter China's behaviour more widely.

The most high profile of the US tariffs on China of late have been on the Chinese tech giant Huawei.

The specific problem with Huawei is its, and all other Chinese companies, legal obligation to assist Chinese spy agencies. A massive problem if Huawei is being used as part of the communications networks in western nations. Such as the Fifth Generation (5G) cellphone system.

This dispute is really how I came to be blocked from Twitter.

The lead up to the G20 Summit really began at the start of June 2019. This saw US President Trump undertake a diplomatic tour of America's European allies. Culminating with events to mark the 75th anniversary of the D-Day Landings. On June 6th 2019 (6/6/19).

US President Trump's tour took him to my native Britain. On June 3rd (3/6/19) through to June 5th (5/6/19).

Opponents of US President Trump saw this as an opportunity to humiliate him. With mass protests led by the UK Labour Party Mayor of London Sadiq Khan.

This backfired on Trump's opponents severely. The general outcome was that President Trump's popularity increased massively. While London Mayor Khan and his supporters became seen as a bit of a joke.

Being big supporters of Mayor Khan Twitter's London based moderators responded by throwing a childish tantrum. Blocking my account as a little act of revenge for the humiliation they felt.

Twitter's childish behaviour was entirely predictable.

Almost as predictable as the fact that I would not back down and apologise to them for their failures. Particularly as to do so would involve me admitting to a criminal offence which carries a maximum punishment of 14 years imprisonment.

In throwing their little tantrum Twitter themselves committed numerous criminal offences.

So the solution is quite simple.

The British police and security services simply inform Twitter that they are committing crimes. If Twitter fail to stop committing those crimes then they are arrested and prosecuted. Twitter's UK operations are seized as property used in the commission of a crime.

Prior to doing this though the British security services consulted with their US counterparts.

They were informed that Twitter had a Lawful Authority or Sovereign Immunity to commit those crimes. Such as how a police officer undercover in a drugs gang is allowed to commit the crime of possessing illegal drugs.

Some of the crimes Twitter are committing are not offences for which as Sovereign Immunity can be issued. Anyone attempting to do so is themselves committing an offence. That though story for another day.

By intervening to protect Twitter US spy agencies declared that the tech company was assisting them. Exactly the thing everyone is concerned about when it comes to Huawei.

Despite my efforts to limit it Twitter's actions have undoubtedly done significant damage to the company's reputation.

Twitter is of course a major rival of Facebook.

Many Facebook executives are quite close to US President Trump. For example Facebook's Head of Global Policy Joel Kaplan. Who supported Justice Kavanaugh at his confirmation hearings.

The damage being done to Twitter's reputation therefore gave the impression that US spy agencies were intervening in order to further Facebook's commercial interests against Twitter.

This is another major concern regarding Huawei. For example China's new AC-312 helicopter seems remarkably similar to the European AW-109. Like the one which crashed in New York City, US on June 10th (10/6/19).

In intervening to keep me blocked by Twitter US spy agencies were attempting to cut US President Trump's legs out from under him. Completely undermining the US' negotiating position with China at the G20 Summit.

To his credit US President Trump withstood this attack from within. In quite some style.

China and its US based agents were unable to force the lifting of existing US tariffs.

They were able to delay the introduction of new tariffs. But they did this by agreeing to return to negotiations with the US.

New tariffs were being threatened as a way to force China to return to negotiations. Achieving the goal without having to carry out the threat is the definition of success in situations such as this.

US President Trump did though make one concession. That US tech giants such as Twitter and Facebook are now able to trade with Huawei.

Making it clear to all that the US had come under attack from within. And why it had come under attack.

US President Trump then travelled to the DPRK. Becoming the first sitting US President to set foot in the Communist country.

US President Trump's demands to the G20 regarding the Strait of Hormuz were also highly entertaining.

He demanding an international agreement to protect commercial shipping.

Rather like the international agreement the US was negotiating with France back in 1798.

When a certain Mr George Logan made a name for himself.


16:30 on 1/7/19 (UK date).