Wednesday, 25 April 2018

Operation Featherweight: Month 46, Week 3, Day 3.

A direct continuation of yesterday's post; https://watchitdie.blogspot.co.uk/2018/04/operation-featherweight-month-46-week-3.html

On March 5th (5/3/18) the Islamists suffered a massive collapse on their eastern flank. In the space of a day this saw them lose around 35% of the territory they had controlled at the start of the Battle of East Ghouta.

This collapse seemed to inspire East Ghouta's civilians. Sensing freedom at last they rose up against the Islamists in the Hamouriyah and Saqba districts on March 6th (6/3/18). In Hamouriyah they succeeded in expelling the Islamists.

Both Hamouriyah and Saqba sit at the south of the block of districts to the west of East Ghouta where the majority of the population are located. Saqba sits directly north of Jisreen district and Hamouriyah sits directly north of Saqba.

The Islamists reaction to this popular uprising against them was bizarre to say the least.

They claimed that the protests against them were in fact not protests at all. Instead the were the result of a Syrian Chemical Weapons attack.

The only way that would have been possible was if the Syrians had used the LSD -like 3-Quinuclidinyl benzilate (QNB/BZ).

This was either causing East Ghouta's civilians to hallucinate and protest as part of those hallucinations. Or causing us to hallucinate the protests.

I think this incident really shows the Islamists attitude towards claims of Chemical Weapons use.

They view the allegations of Chemical Weapons use as a sort of get-out-of-jail free card.

Every time they suffer a setback they simply have to claim the Syrians used Chemical Weapons. Then the international community will start pressure on the Syrians in order to protect the Islamists.

On March 6th (6/3/18) the Islamists were certainly suffering a great number of setbacks.

Aside from the civilian uprisings in Hamouriyah and Saqba the Islamists were also forced to withdraw from Misraba district.

Misraba sits on the eastern edge of the area where the majority of the population are located. South of Douma and west of Hasrata separated by Satra district.

The reason for the Islamists withdrawal was to shore up their defences in Hasrata district. There they were coming under increasing pressure from the Syrian's north-western axis.

On the Syrian's south-eastern axis March 6th (6/3/18) saw them liberate Hawsh al-Dawahra. That sits around 3km (2 miles) north-west of Hazrama. The starting point of the south-eastern axis.

With Hamouriyah freed March 7th (7/3/18) saw the protests continue in Saqba and spread to Kafr Batna. This sits adjacent to Saqba on the south-west.

The Islamists withdrawal from Misraba the previous day allowed the Syrian's north-western axis to make significant advances. On March 7th (7/3/18) the Syrians not only took control of Misraba but also liberated Beit Sawa. This sits to the south of Misraba.

At this point the Syrians made the Islamists an offer. Transport to elsewhere if they surrendered.

Under the offer the Army of Islam would be transported to Daraa Province which borders Israel and Jordan. Faylaq al-Rahman would be transported north to Afrin Canton.

Neither the Army of Islam nor Faylaq al-Rahman accepted the offer.

The following day (8/3/18) brought more significant breakthroughs for the Syrians.

The Syrian's north-eastern axis liberated the Misraba Farms area. This sits to the west of Misraba and Beit Sawa.

In liberating this area the Syrian's north-western axis linked up with south-eastern axis. This divided the areas under Islamist control into two parts. Both cut off from each other.

Alongside linking up with the north-western axis the Syrian's south-eastern axis liberated the Aftris district and the adjacent Aftris Air Defence Base. Aftris sits to the east of Saqba and the Air Defence Base sits to the east of Aftris.

By liberating Aftris and the Air Defence Base the Syrian's south-eastern axis reached the western area where the majority of East Ghouta's population live.

The unification of the Syrian's north-western axis and south-eastern axis had the effect of seeing the Islamists lose 50% of the territory they had held at the start of the battle.

Almost like clockwork the Islamists responded to these losses by accusing the Syrians had used Chemical Weapons in Hamouriyah.

The Islamists claim was almost immediately denied by medical providers within Hamouriyah.  They confirmed that the people shown in the videos released by the Army of Islam were in fact suffering from smoke inhalation, carbon monoxide poisoning, dust inhalation and other breathing problems associated with fire and explosions.

The next few days were relatively quiet. However by March 12th (12/3/18) the Syrians were back to making rapid progress.

They liberated the town of Madyra. This sits to the north-west of Beit Sawa district. In doing this the Syrians finally and completely broke the siege at the Hasrata Armoured Vehicle Base which had been under Islamist attack since December 2017.

The Syrians also completely liberated the farmland around Satra and Mesraba districts. This fully cut Douma off from Hasrata.

The Islamists also made a rare bit of progress themselves. The Army of Islam managed to seize control of Rayhan. This sits to the east of Douma and was lost as part of the Islamist's March 5th (5/3/18) collapse.

The Army of Islam also agreed a deal with Turkey. They would send fighters to the Sudetenland. In return Turkey would send unspecified supplies from the Sudetenland to Douma.

This should have set alarm bells ringing.

On March 1st (1/3/18) the United Nations Security Council (UNSC) was briefed on transfers of Chemical Weapons agents from Turkey into the Sudetenland via the Bab al-Hawa border crossing. Those Chemical Weapons agents were being stored in the Sudetenland towns of Luzah and Habt.

Obviously it should have raised concerns that these Chemical Weapons agents would be included in the equipment from the Sudetenland to Douma in East Ghouta. Something the Army of Islam would only do if they were planning to use Chemical Weapons in Douma.

This Army of Islam fighters for equipment deal meant that East Ghouta was quiet on March 13th (13/3/18).

By March 14th (14/3/18) the Syrians were back to making progress. The liberated Rayhan and Hawsh Mubarakat to the east of Douma.

The Syrians also took control of around 50% of Jisreen district. This sits at the southern tip of the western area where the majority of East Ghouta's population live. Specifically south of Saqba and Kafr Batna.

Within the Sudetenland Al Qaeda and associated groups launched an operation named; "Wrath of Ghouta" against the Syrians in support of Islamists within East Ghouta. It collapsed within a day.

On March 15th (15/3/18) the Syrian's elite Tiger Force advanced from Rayhan to liberate the Douma Industrial Zone. This put the Syrians and the eastern gates of Douma itself.

To the south-west of East Ghouta the Syrians liberated Saqba. They also finally reached and took control of Hamouriyah whose residents had freed themselves from the Islamists back on March 6th (6/3/18).

Hamouriyah and Saqba being reconnected with the outside world was like a dam breaking. That single day saw some 10,000 grateful civilians flood out of those areas and into the safety of Syrian controlled territory.

On March 16th (16/3/18) the Syrians completed their liberation of Jisreen district to the south of Saqba.

This left the Islamists in control of just 7 towns or districts in East Ghouta: Kafr Batna. Hazzah. Ayn Tarma. Zamalka. Jobar. Arbeen. Harasta. Douma.

With the Islamists in East Ghouta now seeming to be on the brink of defeat their allies across Syria launched attacks against the Syrians. The intention being to divide Syrian forces and reduce the pressure on the Islamists in East Ghouta.

This included attacks by Islamists in Daraa Province. Those attacks caused the Syrians to withdraw their offer of transferring the Army of Islam from East Ghouta to Daraa Province upon surrender.

Most notably the Islamists in East Ghouta were aided by ISIL. They control the Yarmouk Camp for Palestinian Refugees. This is located amid the southern districts of Damascus. Roughly 6km (3 miles) west of the East Ghouta district of al-Maliha.

From the Yarmouk Camp ISIL launched a sustained attack against Syrian forces in the al-Qadam district of Damascus. This is located adjacent to the western side of the Yarmouk Camp.

Following a few days of relative quiet on March 19th (19/3/18) the Syrians liberated Kafr Batna. This gave them almost complete control of the southern tip of the western area where the majority of East Ghouta's population live.

This latest defeat prompted Ahrar al-Sham to surrender the Harasta district to the Syrians.

It also prompted Faylaq al-Rahman to begin negotiations to surrender the four districts under their control: Jobar. Arbeen. Ain Tarma. Zamalka.

Rather than following their peers in negotiating a surrender the Army of Islam on March 20th (20/3/18) launched a counter-offensive to recapture Misraba south of Douma. This was quickly absorbed and repelled.

Alongside repelling the Army of Islam's attack on Misraba the Syrians were able to liberate the Ain Terma Valley. This sits directly to the south of the western area where the majority of East Ghouta's population live. Beneath the districts of Jisreen, Kafr Batna and Ain Terma.

After liberating the valley the Syrians entered Ain Terma itself.

The Syrians though could not sustain the pressure of fighting multiple battles on multiple fronts.

The Syrians lines in the al-Qadam district of Damascus collapsed in the face of the assault ISIL had launched from the Yarmouk Camp on March 16th (16/3/18). This allowed ISIL to take control of al-Qadam district.

16:45 on 25/4/18 (UK date).

Tuesday, 24 April 2018

Operation Featherweight: Month 46, Week 3, Day 2.

My previous post on the war in Syria was all the way back on February 23rd (23/2/18).

At that time there were five key areas: Shangri-La. Garvaghy Road. Afrin Canton. The Sudetenland. East Ghouta.

Shangri-La:

This is located in north-eastern Syria. Essentially it is everything to the north-east of the Euphrates River.

It is under the control of the Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF/QSD).

The largest element of the SDF coalition is the Syrian Kurdish People's Protection Units (YPG). They operate alongside Assyrian/Syriac Christian, Turkmen and Arab Muslim forces.

The Arab element which makes up around 50% of the SDF is comprised of both elements of the long defunct Free Syrian Army (FSA) and local tribes indigenous to north-eastern Syria.

The SDF also contains a small International Brigade made up of foreign volunteers. They are supposedly supported by the US-led coalition; Combined Joint Task Force: Operation Inherent Resolve (CJTFOIR) both with air power and Special Operations Forces (SOF's).

The boundaries of Shangri-La were fully established through the SDF's "Cizre Storm" operation launched in September 2017. This saw the SDF clear the Islamic State of the Iraq and the Levant (ISIL) from an area between roughly the Khobar River and Syria's border with Iraq.

As a result ISIL maintain a small presence within Shangri-La. Both along the northern bank of the Euphrates River and the desert area along the Syria/Iraq border.

The area on the southern bank of the Euphrates is under the control of the Syrians themselves. They are backed by longstanding allies Russia and Iran alongside the Lebanese group Hezbollah.

In December 2017 the Syrians liberated the towns of Qataa, Jalaa, Ramadi and Buqan. This allowed them to declare the southern bank of the Euphrates fully liberated from ISIL.

What allowed the Syrians to liberate the southern bank of the Euphrates was a nearly year long operation clearing ISIL from the centre of Syria. Both to the north and the south.

In the north of the country the Syrians set out from Aleppo City in May 2017. By late July 2017 this northern axis had arrived at and liberated the town of Dalhah which sits on the southern bank of the Euphrates.

To the south of the country the Syrians set out from the Syrian capital Damascus. Also in May 2017. By early June 2017 this southern axis had reached the border between Syria and Iraq at the town of al-Tanf.

From al-Tanf the Syrians then advanced on the city of Palmyra which sits almost exactly in the centre of Syria. Palmyra of course had been liberated from ISIL by the Syrians in March 2017.

In August 2017 Syrian forces from both Palmyra and Dalhah converged on the town of as-Suknah. From there they began the operation to liberate the southern banks of the Euphrates.

Therefore it is reasonable to describe everything in the centre of Syria between Damascus/Aleppo City and the Euphrates River as being under Syrian control.

The exception is a small area around al-Tanf. This is home to a CJTFOIR base designated; "Bobby Sands."

Due to the presence of now exclusively US troops the Syrians cannot engage ISIL in the vicinity of Bobby Sands. Likewise due to the presence of Syrian troops CJTFOIR also cannot engage ISIL in the vicinity of the base.

As a result a small ISIL presence persists in and around al-Tanf.

Garvaghy Road:

This sits to the west of Shangri-La where the Euphrates River enters Syria from Turkey. It's stretches roughly 100km (60 miles) from the Euphrates to the towns of Kilis/Azaz.

It was invaded by Turkey in August 2016. It remains under the illegal occupation of both the regular Turkish Armed Forces (TSK) and the United Turkmen Army (UTA).

The UTA are formed out of the paramilitary wing of the Turkish Nationalist Movement Party (MHP) who are known as the Grey Wolves. Taking their brigade names from famous Ottoman Emperors such as Sultan Mehmed the Conqueror the UTA are also sometimes known as the Syrian Turkmen Brigades (STB).

As part of the occupation of Garvaghy Road the UTA have been steadily absorbing both ISIL and Al Qaeda fighters into their ranks alongside Islamist fragments of the long defunct FSA.

Afrin Canton:

Centred around the city of Afrin this roughly 2,400kmsq (1,400 milesq) area directly borders Garvaghy Road to the west. In February 2018 it was under the control of the SDF.

The Sudetenland:

This area sits directly south of Afrin Canton. It crosses parts of both Idlib Province and Hama Province. It is centred around the city of Idlib.

It's name refers to Nazi Germany's annexation of Czechoslovakia's Sudetenland in 1938. Under the guise of a humanitarian intervention.

The Sudetenland is the heartland of Al Qaeda in Syria.

However in order to disguise their true identity Al Qaeda have formed a coalition with a number of Islamist fragments of the long defunct FSA. One of these largest FSA fragments are the astonishingly brutal Movement of Nour al-Din al-Zenki/Harakat Nour al-Din al-Zenki.

Although they are currently in the process of creating a new identity this group currently likes to be known as The Organisation for the Liberation of the Levant/Hayat Tahrir al-Sham (HTS).

Within the Sudetenland Al Qaeda operate alongside a small group of ISIL fighters.

Dividing Afrin Canton and the Sudetenland you have an area known as the; "Atmeh-Salwa Access Area."

This contains 10 control points belonging to the regular Turkish military. These effectively small bases have been established in collaboration between Turkey and Al Qaeda.

East Ghouta:

This is a suburb which sits directly adjacent to the east of the Syrian capital Damascus.

In February 2018 East Ghouta was under the control of several Islamist groups operating in cooperation with each other.

One of the largest of these groups is the Legion of al-Rahman/Faylaq al-Rahman (FAR).

Another large group is Al Qaeda operating under the name; The Organisation for the Liberation of the Levant/Hayat Tahrir al-Sham (HTS).

In November 2017 Al Qaeda in East Ghouta formed a formal coalition calling itself the; Army of Mohammad/Jaish al-Mohammad.

Al Qaeda's partner in the Army of Mohammad are the largest group operating in East Ghouta. The Army of Islam/Jaish al-Islam (JAI).

Although it is ISIL who garner all the headlines the Army of Islam are the most vicious and, dare I say, evil group in the entire Syria conflict.

In July 2015 a propaganda video emerged showing 18 prisoners being paraded for the camera and then executed.

What was different about this video was that it was ISIL fighters who were the prisoners. They were being executed by members of the Army of Islam.

As the video explained the Army of Islam were carrying out the killings in order to punish ISIL for being too moderate. In the Army of Islam's eyes ISIL were not doing enough to exterminate Syria's religious and ethnic minorities.

Throughout the summer of 2015 the Army of Islam conducted a series of massacres of members of Syria's Druze minority religious groups. This prompted Israel's Druze population to riot demanding action was taken to prevent the ongoing genocide.

In November 2015 the Army of Islam released video from inside East Ghouta.

It showed the Army of Islam placing as many as 1,000 civilian prisoners from the Alawite minority religious group in cages and parading them through the streets. The civilians were then placed atop of Army of Islam military buildings to act as human shields against Syria air strikes.

The Army of Islam are also recognised as the official Syrian opposition within the Geneva Process on Syria.

So when politicians of any nation say they support the Geneva Process what they are supporting is putting the Army of Islam in charge of all of Syria.

Also active within East Ghouta although in much smaller numbers is the Islamic Movement of the Freemen of the Levant/Harakat Ahrar ash-Sham al-Islamiyya (Ahrar al-Sham). They are very closely linked to the Muslim Brotherhood and through the Brotherhood to Qatar and Turkey.

Obviously all events in Syria are interlinked and affect each other.

For example UTA attacks in Afrin Canton have forced the SDF to redeploy forces from Shangri-La. This along with the threat of Israeli and US-led airstrikes against the Syrians have allowed ISIL to regain strength and attack the Syrians around al-Tanf.

However on April 7th (7/4/18) the Army of Islam claimed a Chemical Weapons attack occurred in East Ghouta. In a blaze of publicity this triggered western airstrikes against the Syrians on April 14th (14/4/18).

Therefore it is probably best that I start with the Battle of East Ghouta.

Rather than being a city or town in its own right East Ghouta is a roughly 275kmsq (165 milesq) area made up of various towns and residential districts.

The most western of these under Islamist control is the Jobar district. This sits technically inside of Damascus itself to the west of the Southern Bypass Highway.

The most easterly district under Islamist control is the town of Hazrama. This sits around 15km (10 miles) due east of Jobar.

The most northern point under Islamist control is technically the Baghdad Bridge across the M5 Highway.

However the most northern populated area is the town of Douma. This sits around 10km (6 miles) south-east of the Baghdad Bridge along the M5 Highway. If you were looking at a clock face Douma sits roughly in the 10 o'clock position.

The most southern point under Islamist control is technically the sparesly population Harasta Qantarah. This sits around 15km (10 miles) south of the Baghdad Bridge.

However the main populated area to the south is the al-Malhia district. This sits around 7km (4 miles) west of Harasta Qantarah.

The majority of the population are located in roughly a dozen districts and towns in the west of East Ghouta. Stretching from al-Malhia district to Douma.

In setting out to liberate East Ghouta the Syrians established two axis; In the north-west and the south-east.

The North-Western Axis sought to enter at the Harasta district. This is located between Douma and Jobar district.

The South-Eastern axis south to enter at the town of Hazrama.

In preparation for the operation the Syrians also established a Humanitarian Corridor to allow civilians to flee the fighting. This was located at the Wafidain Checkpoint which enters Douma from the north.

Fighting has taken place between the Syrians and the Islamists on the borders of East Ghouta almost continuously throughout this eight year conflict.

Much of December 2017 along with January and February 2018 have been dominated by the Army of Islam's attempts to capture the Hasrata Armoured Vehicle Base in Hasrata from the Syrians.

Therefore it is hard to say exactly when the Battle of East Ghouta began.

However the first meaningful clash seemed to take place on February 22nd (22/2/18). Here the Syrian south-eastern axis clashed with Islamist forces just outside Hazrama.

The Syrians first significant breakthrough came on February 26th (26/2/18). Here the south-eastern axis managed to liberate Hazrama along with the nearby town of Nashabiyah.

This is significant because the Islamists had built an elaborate trench system known as; "The Line of Death" around Hazrama and Nashabiyah. By simply going around this Line of Death to liberate Hazrama and Nashabiyah the Syrians had placed themselves within the Islamists main line of defence.

On the same day (26/2/18) the Syrians north-western axis were able to enter the al-Ajami district of Hasrata. This is located adjacent to the Armoured Vehicle Base.

The Islamists responded to these defeats by claiming that the Syrians had used Chemical Weapons. Specifically Chlorine Gas.

On February 27th (27/2/18) the Syrians south-eastern axis made another major advance. They were able to capture a trench network on the outskirts of Hawsh al-Dawahra. This sits around 3km (2 miles) north-west of Hazrama.

Also on that same day (27/2/18) the Syrians north-western axis succeeded in liberated the al-Ajami district of Hasrata.

The Islamists responded to those defeats in two ways.

Firstly they again claimed that the Syrians had used Chlorine Gas. Specifically at al-Shifuniyah which sits around 2km (1 mile) north-west of Hawsh al-Dawahra.

Secondly specifically the Army of Islam shelled the Humanitarian Corridor at the Wafidain Checkpoint. The objective being to stop civilians fleeing into Syrian controlled territory.

On February 28th (28/2/18) the Syrians north-western axis liberated the Harasta Farms area. These sit to the north-east of Harasta between Harasta and Douma. In the process the Syrians took control of and cut the main road leading between Harasta and Douma.

The south-eastern axis also made progress advancing from Hawsh al-Dawahra to al-Shifuniyah. Specifically liberating Sifco Laboratory complex on the north-western outskirts of Hawsh al-Dawahra.

The Army of Islam continued to shell the Humanitarian Corridor at the Wafidain Checkpoint.

Over the next few days the Syrians south-eastern axis continued to make rapid progress.

On March 1st (1/3/18) they liberated the al-Bashoura Air Defence Base. This sits almost directly south of Hawsh al-Dawahra. On March 2nd (2/3/18) the Syrians liberated the Regiment 274 Base. This sits almost directly south of al-Shifuniyah. Around 3km (2 miles) west of Hawsh al-Dawahra.

These gains by the Syrians south-eastern axis triggered a massive collapse of the Islamists entire eastern front on March 5th (5/2/18).

In the space of a single day the Islamists lost control of everything from Ar Rayhan in the north to Beit Nayem in the South.

Ar Rayhan sits around 7km (4 miles) north of Hazrama and around 1km (0.6 miles) north of al-Shifuniyah. Crucially it sits around 5km (3 miles) east of Douma which is considered to be on the west of East Ghouta.

Beit Nayem sits around 4km (2 miles) west of Hazrama and around 5km (3 miles) south of al-Shifuniyah. It also sits just 4km (2 miles) east of the Jisreen district which makes up the western area which is the most populated in East Ghouta.

This single day collapse saw the Islamists lose around 35% of the territory they controlled at the start of the battle.

17:30 on 24/4/18 (UK date).

Tuesday, 17 April 2018

It Must be a Wonderful World.

Due to particularly the 2018 Winter Para-Olympics it has been a while since my last post on the ongoing war in Syria. Or at least not under the official designation

In that time the battle for Afrin Canton has been completed. The battle for East Ghouta has also begun. And been completed.

As a result I am still trying to piece together the exact order of battle. For not one but two large battles.

If you are unfamiliar with the term; "Order of Battle." It is a posh way of saying; "Hundreds of Soldiers Are Running About."

I am still about a month behind. So this process will not be completed this week. Last week was not exactly conducive to progress.

Particularly in the UK it seems to have gone out of fashion. I though prefer to complete my research before reaching my conclusions.

Under that caveat though a pattern does seem to have emerged in East Ghouta;

The main terror groups operating there are/were The Base/Al Qaeda (AQ), the Army of Islam/Jaish al-Islam (JAI) and the Legion of al-Rahman/Faylaq al-Rahman (FAR). They operate as the Army of Mohammad/Jaish al-Mohammad (JAM) coalition.

Over the course of the battle they have suffered a number of setbacks. For example;

On March 5th (5/3/18) their eastern defensive line collapsed. This saw the JAM lose about 35% of the territory they initially controlled in more-or-less a single day.

On March 6th (6/3/18) civilians in the town of Hammouriyah rose up against the JAM and demanded that they leave.

On March 8th (5/3/18) the Syrians unified their axis' splitting the JAM's forces in two. This saw the JAM losses rise to about 50% of the territory they initially controlled.

Every time they have suffered one of these setbacks the JAM have accused the Syrians of using Chemical Weapons. Typically Chlorine.

A notable incident occurred on March 8th (8/3/18) in Hammouriyah. The JAM claimed that Chlorine gas had been used.

The civilian medical providers in Hammouriyah then denied that claim. The people shown in the videos JAM released were in fact suffering from smoke inhalation, carbon monoxide poisoning and other breathing problems associated with fiery explosions.

On March 6th (6/3/18) the JAM actually claimed the protests against them in Hammouriyah were not protests at all. Instead they were the effects of a Chemical Weapons attack.

The only possible inference you can draw from that is the JAM were accusing the Syrians of using the LSD -like 3-Quinuclidinyl benzilate (QNB/BZ).

The visions we saw of Syrian civilians demanding the JAM leave them alone were merely the hallucinogenic effects of that toxin.

What is also clear is that calls for western military action to punish the Syrian government for Chemical Weapons attacks began long before any Chemical Weapons attacks.

On February 27th (27/2/18) British Secretary of State for Foreign Affairs (Senior Foreign Minister) Boris Johnson promised UK military strikes against the Syrians. If and when the JAM claimed Chemical Weapons attacks had occurred.

At that point the battle of East Ghouta was less then 24 hours old.

On March 2nd (2/3/18) the US' Ambassador to the United Nations (UN) Nikki Hailey demanded an investigation into Syrian Chemical Weapons attacks in East Ghouta.

On March 6th (6/3/18) then US National Security Adviser H.R McMaster presented US President Trump with plans for military strikes against Syria. In response to Chemical Weapons attacks in East Ghouta.

On March 9th (9/3/18) US Secretary of Defence James Mattis confirmed that US plans for military strikes against the Syrians were in place. They would be acted on as soon as the JAM claimed the Nerve Agent GB/Sarin was used.

Russia has claimed that a foreign intelligence agency coordinated with the JAM to stage the April 7th (7/4/18) Chemical Weapons attack in Douma, East Ghouta.

There certainly seem to be indicators that this could be true.

Not that western nations have directly conspired with the JAM to stage the April 7th (7/4/18). They have just miscalculated and through their public statements led the JAM to believe they would have support if they went ahead.

One thing I have been able to cover is that on or around March 4th (4/3/18) three individuals were taken ill in the UK city of Salisbury.

They have since been identified as Sergei Skripal a Russian agent of Britain's foreign intelligence service MI6, his daughter Yulia and a British police officer Nick Bailey.

On March 12th (12/3/18) British Prime Minister Theresa May claimed that the three had been poisoned by Russia. 

On April 12th (12/4/18) the Organisation for the Prohibition of Chemical Weapons (OPCW) - the UN's chemical weapons regulator - released the findings of their investigation;

There was no evidence that Novichok was the chemical used. Let alone that the chemical had been produced by Russia.

On April 14th (14/4/18) the UK conducted missile strikes against Syria. Officially as punishment for the April 7th (7/4/18) Chemical Weapons attack in Douma, East Ghouta.

Yesterday (16/4/17) and today (17/4/18) has seen two days of emergency debates in the UK Parliament over the military action of April 14th (14/4/18).

During the period of recess leading up to these Parliamentary debates we have learnt two things about the Britain's governing Conservative Party.

The first of these is that it is utterly incapable of properly assessing intelligence.

The accusation that Russia was responsible for the Skripal poisoning is based entirely on a human source. A person Britain has presumably paid a lot of money for this information.

The going rate for this type of thing is around US$100,000. However even after becoming the subject of an MI6 Burn Notice Christopher Steele was paid around US$230,000 for his Trump dossier.

Britain's Skripal source claimed that Russia was conducting training to assassinate enemies uses the Nerve Agent Novichok in gel form. This Novichok was being produced at the Shikhany-2 facility.

Along with the OPCW Britain's own research has been unable to prove that the Skripals were poisoned with Novichok. That failure to identify Novichok as the chemical used has proved that it was not produced at Shikhany-2.

British research has also proved the chemical was administered in liquid form. Rather than gel form.

So that is now three elements of this paid source's claim which Britain has proven to be untrue.

It might be time to entertain the idea that maybe the source was lying.

We have also learnt the the Conservative Attorney General Jeremy Wright's understanding of the law is so poor he is unable to tell what is a legal instrument and what is not a legal instrument.

As a result you would expect these two days of Parliamentary debate see Britain's Conservative government utterly destroyed.

Unfortunately British Parliamentarians are either too stupid or too simpering to hold the government to account.

To give you an idea of the tone of these debates Parliamentarians of all stripes have been falling over themselves to congratulate the "Heroic" Royal Air Force (RAF) on April 14th's (14/4/18); "Difficult and dangerous operation."

The RAF have been conducting operations in Syria since December 2015. As part of Combined Joint Task Force: Operation Inherent Resolve (CJTFOIR).

The typical CJTFOIR operation for the RAF involves them taking off from a base in Cyprus. Somewhere in the air over Syria they refuel from a CJTFOIR tanker flown from a variety of bases across the region.

The RAF planes then embark on a patrol beat. Depending on how long this patrol beat is they may refuel several times in the skies over Syria.

As part of that patrol beat the RAF may be called upon to attack targets on the ground. 

This involves them flying really low over the target to drop either Paveway bombs of Brimstone missiles. All while trying to avoid cannon fire and the constant threat of MANPAD anti-aircraft missiles.

Once their patrol is complete the RAF once again refuel in the skies over Syria before returning to base in Cyprus.

Saturday's (14/4/17) mission involved the RAF firing Storm Shadow missiles. These are known as; "Stand Off Weapons".

In short you fire them really far away from the target. The missiles then fly themselves to the target.

So on Saturday's (14/4/18) mission the RAF took off from their base in Cyprus. Flew to the edge of Syria's airspace. Fired their missiles and returned to base in time for breakfast.

Obviously Saturday's (14/4/18) RAF pilots are the same pilots that conduct the CJTFOIR missions. 

However if they were different the CJTFOIR pilots would be mocking Saturday's (14/4/18) pilots. Over how they can only be trusted with the really simple jobs.

For the most part this really only highlights how out of touch with reality British Parliamentarians really are.

I can see why though the likes of Prime Minister May and Attorney General Wright need to pretend the RAF aren't flying CJTFOIR missions on a daily basis.

The fact a UN Chapter 7 resolution is already in place on Syria does of course destroy their claim it is impossible to get a UN Chapter 7 resolution on Syria.

It also proves that through the April 14th (14/4/18) strikes they have violated that UN Chapter 7 resolution.

20:25 on 17/4/18 (UK date). 
 


 






Sunday, 15 April 2018

Theresa May: War Criminal.

On or around March 4th (4/3/18) three individuals were taken ill in the UK city of Salisbury.

They have since been identified as Sergei Skripal a Russian agent of Britain's foreign intelligence service MI6, his daughter Yulia and a British police officer Nick Bailey.

On March 12th (12/3/18) British Prime Minister Theresa May claimed that the three had been poisoned by Russia.

Specifically using a nerve agent known as; "Novichok" which had been produced at the Shikhany-2 facility. Located just outside of Moscow.

On March 22nd (22/3/18) the British Court of Protection (COP) released details of Porton Down's analysis of the chemical used in Salisbury.

This declared Theresa May to be a liar. There was no evidence that Novichok was the chemical used. Let alone that the chemical had been produced by Russia.

On April 3rd (3/4/18) the normally very camera shy head of the Porton Down laboratory Gary Aitkenhead insisted that Britain's Sky News interview him. Not only on the record but also on camera.

In this interview Aitkenhead restated the fact that Theresa May is a liar. There was no evidence that Novichok was the chemical used. Let alone that the chemical had been produced by Russia.

On April 12th the Organisation for the Prohibition of Chemical Weapons (OPCW) - the UN's chemical weapons regulator - released the findings of their investigation.

This confirmed Britain's findings and declarations that Theresa May is a liar.

There was no evidence that Novichok was the chemical used. Let alone that the chemical had been produced by Russia.

It was obvious to all who read and understood the March 22nd (22/3/18) documents. However the OPCW report made it undeniable that Theresa May was a liar.

Theresa May has lied to the United Nations.

Theresa May has lied to NATO.

Theresa May has lied to the European Union.

Theresa May has lied to the British Parliament.

Most importantly Theresa May has lied to the British public.


So Theresa May spent April 12th (12/4/18) on the brink of being impeached when the UK Parliament returns to work on Monday (15/4/18).

Theresa May's response was to convene her cabinet on the afternoon of April 12th (12/4/18). In order to order British military action against Syria.

On April 7th (7/4/18) the sort of people you wouldn't normally trust claimed a Chemical Weapons attack had taken place in Douma. A suburb of the Syrian capital Damascus.

As soon as April 8th (8/4/18) Theresa May saw fit to declare not only that this attack had taken place but that is was carried out by the Syrians.

On April 9th (9/4/18) the Syrians invited the OPCW to conduct an investigation. Due to the logistics of assembling a team and dispatching them to Syria that investigation was set to begin on April 14th (14/4/18).

Generally speaking people do not request investigations which are going to prove them to be guilty.

Therefore along with her track record it seems that in around three weeks time Theresa May would be declared to be a liar by the OPCW. For the second time in under a month.

So in technically the very early hours of April 14th (14/4/18) the UK conducted airstrikes against Syria. It was accompanied by France and the US.

Involving more than 100 missiles the British led strikes targeted the Syrian military bases of Barzah near Damascus alongside Him Shinshar in Homs Province.

These are the two bases the OPCW have been invited to inspect. In order to prove or disprove the claim they were involved in the Douma.


So if there was evidence proving that the Syrians did not conduct a Chemical Weapons attack and once again that Theresa May has lied.

Well Theresa May's just blown it into tiny little pieces.

Following the strikes the UK published what it claims is its legal authority to conduct the strikes. 

It can be read here; https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/syria-action-uk-government-legal-position/syria-action-uk-government-legal-position

It is based entirely on the doctrine of humanitarian intervention known as; "Responsibility to Protect (R2P)."

The immediate problem with this is that Responsibility to Protect is not an aspect of international law.

Instead it is a theological doctrine on the ethics of war. It is equivalent to the Catholic Church's doctrine of "Just War." Or Malcolm X's "On Black People & War." 

None of these doctrines carry any legal weight or have any legal authority.

The only way that one nation can legally take military action against another nation is under a UN Security Council (UNSC) resolution passed under Chapter 7.

Included within Chapter 7 there is Article 51. Often known as the self-defence clause this allows for military action to be taken without a Chapter 7 resolution in extremely limited circumstances.

Firstly there must be a direct threat to the nation taking action or having action taken on its behalf. An attack in Syria simply does not pose a direct threat to the UK.

Secondly it must stand a reasonable chance of removing that threat. Destroying Chlorine in Syria does nothing to remove the vast amounts of Chlorine freely available within the UK.

Despite yesterday's strikes in Syria I can still go up to my bathroom in the UK and create Chlorine gas in the time it takes you to read this sentence. 

In fact that is so easy to do I did it by accident in March 2016. That Chemical Weapons attack did damage to nothing but my pride.

Thirdly the threat must be so imminent that there is no time for the UNSC to meet.

The UNSC met on the issue in the hours prior to the attack. At no point during that meeting did the UK or any other nation seek to obtain a Chapter 7 resolution.

The UK has and will continue to argue that it did not seek a Chapter 7 resolution because Russia would veto it. This is also legal bunkum.

A UNSC veto is not an absolute. They can be overturned by a majority vote in the UN General Assembly (UNGA). This happened as recently at December 2017 when the UNGA overturned a US veto on Jerusalem.

You will notice that throughout these seven years of screaming; "It's Russia's Fault!" nobody has sought a UNGA vote to overturn Russia's veto.

That is because they know they are lying. They know that because they are lying the UNGA will not support them. They will lose the vote and Russia's veto will stand.

In fact if it wasn't for Russia's veto allowing certain nations a free ride the UK would likely find its support on the UNSC utterly collapse.

They would be left with the support of just the European nation they elected to the UNSC to ensure a vote against Russia. Poland has recently replaced Ukraine in this role.

Even Sweden has shown itself to be a rational actor.

Proving that it is far from impossible to get a Chapter 7 resolution on Syria there is already a Chapter 7 resolution in effect on Syria. UNSCR 2170 (2014).

The existence of UNSCR 2170 makes it impossible for any nation to invoke Article 51 in relation to Syria.

UNSCR 2170 obligates nations do everything in their power to defeat the Islamic State of Iraq and the Levant (ISIL) and Al Qaeda. It forbids nations from taking action in support of ISIL or Al Qaeda.

On April 7th (7/4/18) Douma was under the occupation of the Army of Mohammad/Jaish al-Mohammad coalition. This is made up of the Army of Islam/Jaish al-Islam (JAI) and Al Qaeda in Syria.

So not only has the UK's action been taking in the absence of a Chapter 7 resolution. It has been taken in violation of a Chapter 7 resolution.

At around 11:35 on 15/4/18 (UK date) I will pick this up later.

Edited at around 16:35 on 15/4/18 (UK date) to add;

As I've said Responsibility to Protect (R2P) carries no legal weight nor authority. 

Therefore I may as well use this time to discuss Henry Wadsworth Longfellow's epic 1855 poem "The Song of Hiawatha" as a legal justification for military action against Syria. They both certainly have an aroma of colonialism about them.

However having invoked the doctrine of Responsibility to Protect Britain has then failed to follow the doctrine of R2P.

In short R2P argues that there is a moral responsibility to protect civilians from Crimes Against Humanity. Regardless of which nation state they are citizens of.

Crimes Against Humanity are defined by the 1998 Rome Statute. There are only six of them; Murder, Extermination, Torture, Rape, Political, Religious and Ethnic Persecution.

The use of Chemical Weapons is not considered a Crime Against Humanity. 

In a time of peace the use of Chemical Warfare agents is considered perfectly normal and acceptable. Every British police officer carries a can of CS Gas with them whenever they are on duty.

However in a time of war the use of Chemical Warfare agents is considered a War Crime.

Although not strictly speaking it accurate is best to think of War Crimes as Misdemeanours and Crimes Against Humanity as Felonies.

Every time there is a claim that the Syrian government has used Chemical Weapons people queue up to talk about the longstanding international taboo against the use of Chemical Weapons. 

When anybody except the Syria government has proved to have used Chemical Weapons those same people remain silent.

Putting aside that selective outrage this claim of a longstanding international taboo against the use of Chemical Weapons is an example of revisionist history.

This longstanding taboo seems to have come into existence in 2011. Just as Islamist nations started trying to overthrow Syria's secular government.

Through the 1925 Geneva Protocol nations did outlaw the use of Chemical Weapons. 

However they put the use of Chemical Weapons on a par with other War Crimes such as stealing cap badges as trophies from dead enemies.

Despite signing the 1925 Geneva Protocol nations continued to invent new Chemical Weapons and more effective ways to use them.

The specific Chemical Weapon it is claimed the Syrians used in Jobar in 2013 and in Khan Sheikhoun in 2017 is "GB." Sometimes known as; "Sarin" this is part of the G-Series of Nerve Agents. 

The G-Series was invented in Nazi Germany in 1938. Some 13 years after the 1925 Geneva Protocol.

During the Second World War both Britain and the US stockpiled massive amounts of Sulphur Mustard, Chlorine, Lewsite, Phosgene and Paris Green. Particularly at the M.S Factory in Rhydymwyn, Wales.

In 1944 then British Prime Minister Winston Churchill wrote a memorandum advocating the use of those Chemical Weapons along with the Biological Warfare agent Anthrax against Nazi Germany.  

What led to this idea being rejected was the experience of strategic bombing using conventional weapons that had occurred earlier in the war.

In March 1940 Britain took the decision to start the strategic bombing of German cities. In September 1940 Nazi Germany responded in kind and began the strategic bombing of British cities. This nearly year of devastation is known in Britain as; "The Blitz."

As such Churchill was advised that if Britain began using Chemical Weapons Nazi Germany would respond in kind. By using Chemical Weapons against Britain. 

It was this concern over British casualties rather than a moral objection which prevented the Britain using Chemical Weapons.

During the Second World War Nazi Germany exterminated around 11 million people. Predominately using a Cyanide based poison named Zyklon-B.

Zyklon-B was used against civilian prisoners rather than combatants on the battlefield. So technically it is not an example of Chemical Weapons use. 

However that legal pedantry most certainly does not reveal a moral objection to poisoning people. Neither does the US' continued use of chemical poisons as a way to execute prisoners.

The main thing that stopped Chemical Weapons being used during the Second World War was really the changing nature of warfare.

The First World War was fought by tens of thousands of troops stationary in entrenched positions. This made Chemical Weapons very effective. You could simply release a chemical cloud over your enemies trenches.

The Second World War was dominated by the tactic of; "Blitzkrieg" or; "Lightening War." This involved fast moving columns of tanks and troops supported by airpower. 

This made Chemical Weapons largely ineffective. There was rarely enough troops in one place long enough.

Following the Second World War nations continued to invent new Chemical Weapons and more effective ways to use them.

Although those claims have been shown to be false the Novichok which has been talked about in relation to Salisbury is part of the V-Series of Nerve Agents. These were invented by the UK in 1953. Some 28 years after the 1925 Geneva Protocol.

What prevented Chemical Weapons being used after the Second World War was the invention of Nuclear Weapons in 1945. The UK actually traded its knowledge of the V-Series for the US' knowledge of Nuclear Weapons.

Nerve Agents can be devastating when deployed correctly. However it is extremely difficult to deploy them correctly. Making them highly unreliable.

By contrast once you've figured out how to make the Nuclear Weapons are effective 100% of the time. They are also far more destructive than Chemical Weapons.

The use of Chemical Weapons against a Nuclear armed state would provoke a Nuclear response. No sane nation would ever do that.

So what has stopped Chemical Weapons being used in the age of Nuclear Weapons is not a moral objection to killing a large number of people. It is the deterrent effect of mutually assured destruction.

Despite this there have been numerous examples of Chemical Weapons use between non-Nuclear armed actors.

The most serious example of this was Saddam Hussein's 1986 to 1989 Anfal Campaign against Iraq's Kurds. 

This genocide which exterminated some 180,000 people included the March 1988 Halabja Massacre. Here Saddam used a combination of Chemical Weapons including G-Series and V-Series Nerve Agents to kill around 5,000 civilians.

At the time Saddam Hussein was allied with the western powers of the UK, the US and France. Iraq's Kurds were allied with Russia and Iran.

So the UK, the US and France's initial response to the Halabja Massacre and the wider Anfal Campaign was to deny that it had taken place.

When it was impossible for them to deny they accused Russia and Iran of carrying out the attack as a False Flag Operation to smear the good name of Saddam Hussein.

No action was taken to punish Iraq over the use of Chemical Weapons. The Anfal Campaign was allowed to continue for another year.

Of course in March 2003 the US and the UK suddenly decided they were outraged by the Halabja Massacre. France is yet to condemn it.  

Within the current conflict in Iraq and Syria the use of Chemical Weapons is a matter of routine. 

They are particularly widely used by the Army of Islam who claim the Syrians conducted the April 7th (7/4/18) attack in Douma.

In April 2016 the Army of Islam freely admitted using Sulphur Mustard Gas against Kurdish civilians in Aleppo City. 

Roughly two weeks later they again used Sulphur Mustard Gas against Kurdish civilians in Aleppo City.

We are still waiting for the UK, the US and France to acknowledge the Army of Islam's Chemical Weapons attacks.

Let alone condemn them. 

17:40 on 15/4/18 (UK date). 

 
 

 

Thursday, 12 April 2018

It's Time For The Big Distraction.

On or around March 4th (4/3/18) three individuals were taken ill in the UK city of Salisbury.

They have since been identified as Sergei Skripal a Russian agent of Britain's foreign intelligence service MI6, his daughter Yulia and a British police officer Nick Bailey.

On March 12th (12/3/18) British Prime Minister Theresa May claimed that the three had been poisoned by Russia. Specifically using a nerve agent known as; "Novichok" which had been produced at the Shikhany-2 facility located just outside of Moscow.

This is the type of allegation that is very easy to test scientifically. And in doing so either prove or disprove.

Shikhany-2 has been described as; "Russia's Porton Down." In reference to Britain's Porton Down Chemical Warfare facility which is located around 12km (8 miles) outside of Salisbury. This seems a reasonable comparison.

Neither Shikhany-2 nor Porton Down give tours to the public. However the existence of either is hardly a secret.

In 1997 Russia, along with 164 other nations, signed up to the 1997 Chemical Weapons Convention. In the area of Chemical Warfare research this put Russia, and all other signatories, under the authority of the regulatory body to the convention - the Organisation for the Prohibition of Chemical Weapons (OPCW).

In accepting the authority of the OPCW the Shikhany-2 facility was registered with the OPCW. As Porton Down was.

This registration involved the OPCW inspecting the Shikhany-2 and collecting reference samples. Not just of any chemical agents which had been produced there but also of the manufacturing processes and raw materials used.

In order to identify an chemical compound you use a process called; "Mass Spectrometry." This is so widely used and accepted amongst the scientific community if you've seen a TV cop show you've more than likely heard it discussed.

Mass Spectrometry works by blasting a chemical compound with either electrons or ionising radiation. This breaks the compound into its ionic state. You then measure the mass of those ions.

For each chemical compound Mass Spectrometry produces results which are as unique as any fingerprint of DNA test.

You would compare the results in the same way you would compare a fingerprint of DNA test. Either to a library of known reference samples or to an individual sample you have collected elsewhere.

Most modern Mass Spectrometry machines do this comparison automatically using computer software. However it can also been done manually. It is a simple as placing one line graph on top of another line graph and seeing if they match up.

So if the chemical used in Salisbury had been produced at Shikhany-2 it would already be in both the OPCW's and Porton Down's reference library.

On March 22nd (22/3/18) the British Court of Protection (COP) released details of Porton Down's analysis of the chemical used in Salisbury.

In itself this is highly unusual.

As the name suggests the Court of Protection deals with matters of protection for people who lack the mental capacity to protect themselves. The majority of its work deals with children who are being physically or sexually abused or people who have been incapacitated by medical conditions.

Due to issues of patient privacy the COP is one of, if not the most secretive of Britain's Courts. It is most certainly not in the habit of making its proceedings public.

To give you an idea of the level of secrecy involved if I were to simply confirm that I have participated in COP proceedings I would potentially be in contempt. The same would be true if I were to simply confirm that I have a written warning from a COP Judge stating just that.

The analysis presented by Porton Down to the COP identified the chemical used in Salisbury as; "A Novichok class nerve agent or closely related compound."

This is the sort of inexact language which puts scientists teeth on edge.

The class of nerve agent of which Novichok is member of is the "Organophosphate Class." More specifically it belongs to the "V-Series" subclass. Novichok was invented as an easier to manufacture member of the V-Series which was first produced at Porton Down.

Obviously the exact manufacturing processes of Organophosphate class nerve agents are not widely available to the public. However while this has been going on Porton Down have been talking about a manufacturing process being reduced from 40 steps to just 2 steps.

This evidence by Porton Down is so inexact it could mean that the chemical compound is some sort of commercially available Organophosphate pesticide. These are banned by just 23 or the World's 192 nations.

However Porton Down's evidence stops short of identifying the chemical as the specific Novichok compound. It certainly stops far short of identifying it as Novichok produced at Shikhany-2.

At the time the release of the COP ruling was widely reported by both the British and global media.

However they all collectively failed to mention the detail that Porton Down had not identified the chemical as Novichok.

Instead they focused on sensationalist claims that the Skripals may never recover from the poisoning.

In doing this the media have either wilfully attempted to mislead the public. Or they have simply not understood what was being said to them.

In deciding whether it can make a decision regarding an individuals medical care the COP must consider a very narrow question under the 2005 Mental Capacity Act.

In short it is whether that person has the mental capacity make that decision for themselves.

If a person is unconscious they are quite reasonably considered to lack that mental capacity. Unless the reason for that lack of consciousness is something simple like them being asleep or drunk that lack of mental capacity is considered long term.

Of course if the person does regain consciousness they can overrule whatever decision the COP has made.

So rather than being an assessment that the Skripals will be permanently brain damaged that part of the ruling was just standard COP boilerplate.

With the media collectively failing to report that Porton Down have not identified the chemical as Novichok Porton Down themselves were forced take unusual action.

On April 3rd (3/4/18) the head of Porton Down Gary Aitkenhead insisted that Sky News interview him. As the was the same day Sky New's parent company presented regulatory remedy proposals to the UK Competition & Markets Authority they decided to go ahead with the interview.

Aitkenhead used this interview to clearly state - on tape so even the illiterate could understand - that Porton Down has not identified the chemical as Novichok.

Having falsely accused Russia Prime Minister May then convened a United Nations Security Council (UNSC) meeting on the matter on March 14th (14/3/18).

Of the 15 members of the UNSC 11 did not believe Prime Minister May's claim. Instead they voted for a statement demanding an OPCW investigation.

This forced the UK to exercise its veto to prevent the statement effectively calling it a liar being passed.

Again though the, particularly British media, failed to report this. 

They showed only statements from the three other members of the UNSC that did not vote for the statement. They completely failed to mention that a vote had taken place and the UK had been forced to veto.

Britain though did take the hint. On March 15th (15/3/18) the invited the OPCW to conduct an investigation. The alternative being weeks and weeks of the UNSC demanding an OPCW investigation and the UK being repeatedly forced to use its veto.

This OPCW has been really bad news for the people of Salisbury. 

Although as with bringing their Skripal's out of their induced comas the risk is best assessed using accurate data the cordons around Salisbury could probably have come down around March 14th (14/3/18). 

Pretty much my entire family spent the Easter (1/4/18) Weekend in Salisbury. I was not even remotely concerned about their health.

However because the OPCW launched an investigation the scenes needed to be preserved so the cordons stayed up. With literally the entire World's media camped out at the cordons Britain had to keep the theatre going to keep them entertained.

For example on Monday (9/4/18) Yulia Skripal was released from hospital and taken to a safehouse.

On Sunday (8/4/18) evening UK TV had broadcast Episode 8 or Season 7 of the US TV Show; "Homeland." This entire season has centred around a Novichok like contact poison. This specific episode centred around a Russian woman holed up in a safehouse.

This disruption has pretty much destroyed Salisbury's tourist economy. The irony is that when they do finally remove the cordons the first thing they're going to have to do is put down a lot of poison to kill all the rats.

Today the OPCW has finally released the results of its investigation.

The OPCW have confirmed Porton Down's evidence. They are unable to identify the chemical as Novichok. 

Prime Minister May and her government have lied. Both to the British public and to the international community.

It should come as no surprise then that the UK has not cleared the entire OPCW report for publication. Instead only allowing the Executive Summary to be published.

It will take me a little while to fully digest that Executive Summary. However at first glance it appears the OPCW have gone further than Porton Down in making it clear that Theresa May has lied.

The inability to match the chemical to reference samples of Novichok taken from Shikhany-2 does not 100% rule out Russian involvement. There is an outside chance that they could have used a secret, temporary lab. A "Gypsy Lab" as it were.

The OPCW describe the chemical used as being of very high grade and almost entirely lacking in impurities. That seems to rule out a Russian gypsy lab.

You would think that having being exposed as a liar by not just Britain's scientists and Britain's Courts but now the OPCW and scientists from four nation Prime Minister Theresa May would now be desperately apologising to all concerned.

Instead though she is holding a cabinet meeting to authorise airstrikes against Syria.

Apparently she is as certain that Syria used chemical weapons on April 8th (8/4/18) as she is that Russia used chemical weapons on March 4th (4/3/18).

I'm sure it has absolutely nothing to do with keeping the fact that the OPCW have declared her to be a liar off the news.

16:15 on 12/4/18 (UK date).

Edited at around 14:45 on  14/4/18 (UK date) to add;

It should come as absolutely no surprise that Theresa May and her cabinet decided that yes, they do need a war to distract from the fact both British scientists and the OPCW have declared them to be liars.

It should also come has no surprise that Theresa May and her cabinet needed that distraction to begin before Saturday April 14th (14/4/18).

On April 14th the OPCW were going to arrive in Syria. To investigate recent claims of a Chemical Weapons attack in the Damascus suburb of Douma. This OPCW investigation has been undertaken at the request of the Syrian government.

Without any investigation Theresa May has accused the Syrian government of conducting the Douma attack.

From experience we know that in about three weeks the OPCW will again demonstrate that Theresa May is a liar.

So in technically the very early hours of April 14th the UK conducted airstrikes against Syria.

They were supported by France. French President Emmanuel Macron is currently facing mass unrest amongst his voters over three months of strike action which have crippled France's transport network.

The UK and France were also supported by the US. I don't think I need to restate the pressure US President Donald Trump is under from the Democrat Party's Mueller investigation which repeatedly accuses him of being a Russian spy.

Involving more than 100 missiles the British led strikes targeted the Syrian military bases of Barzah near Damascus alongside Him Shinshar in Homs Province.

These are the two bases the OPCW have been invited to inspect. In order to prove or disprove the claim they were involved in the Douma.

Obviously that providing that proof of either guilt or innocence is no longer possible. The bases and their contents have just been blown up.

I see no reason why this latest development should distract from the fact that;

Theresa May has lied to the United Nations.

Theresa May has lied to NATO.

Theresa May has lied to the European Union.

Theresa May has lied to the British Parliament.

Most importantly Theresa May has lied to the British public.

She has now killed to try and cover up those lies.




15:00 on 14/4/18 (UK date).

Monday, 2 April 2018

The 2016 ISIL Games: Closing Ceremony Pt. 7

A seriously delayed continuation of Part 6; https://watchitdie.blogspot.co.uk/2016/09/the-2016-isil-games-closing-ceremony-pt6.html

Japans Bit:

It is IOC protocol that each Closing Ceremony must include a sequence marking the transition from one Olympic host to the next.

The Greek national flag is raised while their national anthem is performed. Next the Olympic anthem is performed. The Olympic flag is then taken down and handed to a representative of the next Olympic host. The flag of that nation is then raised and their national anthem performed. Finally the flag of the existing host nation is taken down.

It is then protocol that the Closing Ceremony includes a sequence produced by the next Olympic host. The purpose is to briefly introduce us to that nation and identify the topics which will likely come up in the next four years preparing for their games.

On this occasion the 2020 Olympic host merged its sequence with the transition ceremony.

As Japan's national flag was being raised and its anthem was played the entire arena floor was bathed in red light.

At the edges of the arena floor what can only be described as; "Robotic Geishas" appeared. Geishas are of course a World famous symbol of Japanese culture. Japan is also one of the most technologically advanced nations on Earth leading the way in many fields. Including in robotics.

In reality these Robotic Geishas were human performers wearing metal framed costumes covered in lights. They were propelled across the floor on wheels rather like a hoverboard.

As the Robot Geishas advanced the red light receded. Eventually it became a red circle at the centre of the white arena floor. Just like the red circle symbolising the rising sun at the centre of Japan's national flag.

Within the centre circle the word; "Rio" appeared twice. In reference to Rio de Janeiro where this ceremony was taking place.

One of the words; "Rio" became the word; "Obrgado." This means; "Thank You" in Portuguese, the native language of 2016 host Brazil.

The other word; "Rio" became the word; "Arigato." This means; "Thank You (or "Thanks")" in Japanese. The native language of 2020 host Japan.

Apart from highlighting the transition from Brazil 2016 to Japan 2020 this highlighted the strong cultural links between Japan and Brazil. The largest ethnically Japanese population outside of Japan lives in Brazil.

The arena floor and the stadium seats were then bathed in light showing the word; "Thank You" in pretty much all of the languages of the World.

This issue of language has been a recurring theme throughout the 2016 Games. As technology has advanced the World has become smaller. For example I can publish this on the Internet in the UK and it can instantly be read in both Brazil and Japan.

The only real restriction left is language. You can certainly read this in Brazil and Japan. I can't guarantee you'll understand it though.

The reference to language here though also prepares you for one of the big culture shocks you'll be in for if you travel to the 2020 Games.

In many parts of the World people fluently speak several languages. If you travel to particularly tourist areas you will find people who speak the language of their main guests along with signs in multiple languages.

So even if it is everyone's second or third language most people can normally find a common language. Typically English.

The British are famously terrible at learning other people's languages. Even so these days if you go to the main tourist areas of places like London you will find signs not only in English but also languages such as French, Spanish and Chinese.

Japan is absolutely not like that. As a island nation it is very insular with very few people speaking a language other than Japanese.

As a result all the signs, menus, maps and so on are in Japanese. And only Japanese. Making things utterly incomprehensible to outsiders.

I remember once being at a railway station in Barcelona, Spain and discovering that all the signs were written in three languages. None of which I could read.

However by matching the combination of letters in the Latin alphabet on my ticket to the combination of letters in the Latin alphabet on the signs I was able to just about cope.

Given Japanese's logographic writing style something like that is simply not going to be an option.

The Japanese sequence then cut away to a video presentation.

This began with the pedestrian scramble crossing outside Tokyo's Shibuya Railway Station.

The Shibuya Crossing is one of Tokyo's most famous landmarks. It's featured in movies such as; "Lost In Translation," "The Fast & The Furious: Tokyo Drift" and "Resident Evil: Afterlife."

It also introduces you to another one of the big culture shocks you're going to experience travelling from Brazil 2016 to Japan 2020.

Brazil's Rio de Janeiro is a beach city. This gave the 2016 a very laidback, casual atmosphere.

By comparison the pace of life in Japan and particularly Tokyo is just insane.

The Shibuya district of Tokyo is around 15kmsq (6 milesq) in area. It is home to around 220,000 people giving it a population density of around 14,600 people per square kilometre. By comparison Rio de Janeiro has a population density of around 5,300 people per square kilometre.

The Shibuya Crossing serves two main railway stations. Shibuya Station and Shinjuku Station. Between them the two stations are used by around 6 million people each day. Many of those people also use the Shibuya Crossing.

The video then went onto show the 33 events which will make up the 2020 Olympics alongside other famous Tokyo landmarks. Such as the Rainbow Bridge and the famous Bullet Train.

The video was also interspersed with famous characters from Japanese Anime and video games. Such as; "Hello Kitty," "Pac Man," "Doraemon" and "Captain Tsubasa."

The video featured several famous Japanese Olympians; Swimmer Kosuke Kitajima, Long-Distance Runner Naoko Takahashi and Boxer Ryota Murata.

It then cut to the back of a limousine where it showed another famous Japanese. The Prime Minister Shinzo Abe.

Prime Minister Abe kept looking at his watch, worrying he wasn't going to make it to the Closing Ceremony in time.

In his urgency Prime Minister Abe then donned the costume of; "Mario" from the famous "Super Mario Brothers" game franchise from the Japanese company Nintendo.

Having become Super Mario Prime Minister Abe was then provided with a; "Warp Pipe" from the game by the Doraemon character. This allowed him to travel through the centre of the Earth from Shibuya Crossing to Rio's Maracana Stadium where the Closing Ceremony was being held.

His journey across the globe was illustrated by a cartoon style animation. This showed the huge distance between Tokyo and Rio. It also represented the strong links between Japan and Brazil which is home to the largest ethnically Japanese population outside of Japan.

The video then ended and the action returned to the arena.

There a Super Mario Warp Pipe had appeared in the centre of the arena floor. Standing atop of it was Super Mario.

Super Mario then took off his costume to reveal that it was the actual Prime Minister Abe.

Traditionally the transition ceremony is performed by the local officials of the two host cities. In this case the Mayor of Rio de Janeiro Eduardo Paes and the Governor of the Tokyo region Yuriko Koike.

So for the upcoming host to send its Head of Government/State to a Closing Ceremony is a huge gesture of solidarity. To have your Prime Minister not only attend in person but actually physically participate in the Closing Ceremony is a massive gesture of solidarity.

The sequence then merged the video/animated portion with the real word portion. It did this was an Augmented Reality (AR) sequence.

Essentially AR is the layering of one level of electronic images on top of another layer of electronic images.

I think the most widely known example is the Nintendo licensed "Pokemon Go" Smartphone game. In the game you go to a specified GPS location. You then hold up your Smartphone in video mode and if you're lucky the Pokemon computer game characters will appear.

This was the first time that Augmented Reality had ever been used in any Olympic or Para-Olympic ceremony. Although significant for that reason the sequence actually only showed the 33 event that will make up the 2020 Olympics.

The next phase of the sequence saw a joint performance by male rhythmic gymnasts from Aomori University alongside female dancers from the; "Elevenplay" dance troupe.

The centrepiece of this performance were giant box frames. They were made up of  lighting tubes. As they were moved around the arena floor and accompanied by similar block like light projections they were supposed to represent video pixels.

This seemed to highlight Japan's advances in technology  from the block graphics on the 8-bit Nintendo Entertainment System (NES) which brought the World Super Mario Brothers through to the Augmented Reality of Pokemon Go.

Throughout this phase of the dance/gymnastic routine the music was very modern Japanese in style. It had been specially composed by Yasutaka Nakata. Composer and producer for famous Japanese acts including the Perfume girlband, Techno band Capsule and the singer Kyary Pamyu Pamyu.

The phase ended with an overhead view of the Tokyo skyline being projected onto the arena floor. This resembled an electric circuit board. Further highlighting Japan's leading role in technology.

The dance/gymnastic routine then seamlessly moved into a second phase.

This was really dominated by performers standing atop of the Warp Pipe waving the Japanese national flag amid lots of red light.

The music in this phase was much more of a fusion between modern Japanese music and the Latin Jazz and Salsa which Brazil is famous for. It included parts of the music from the 2012 play; "Egg" by the Tokyo Metropolitan Theatre.

The main message of "Egg" is that whether in Sports, Music or Olympics War and Nationalism will never again be mixed.

Although I am seriously late in writing this up the next games after 2016 were the 2018 Winter Games held in the Republic of Korea (RoK/South).

Between 1910 and 1945 the Korean Peninsula was occupied by the Japanese Empire. This occupation was absolutely brutal with the Korean Peninsula suffering a form of cultural genocide and the hands of the Japanese.

During the Second World War Imperial Japan allied itself with Nazi Germany. It was their defeat that lead to the partition of the Korean Peninsula and the Korean War which technically still continues to this day.

Imperial Japan's defeat in the Second World War also saw it forced to adopt a new constitution. This replaced the power of the Emperor with a democratic Parliamentary system. It also forced Japan to adopt a position of neutrality by preventing it from forming a military.

Current Prime Minister Shinzo Abe is quite a nationalistic leader. One of the main things he wants to do is scrap this Article 9 provision once again allowing Japan to possess a military.

This shift towards military nationalism is likely to be a significant talking point as Japan hosts the big nationalistic celebration that is the 2020 Games.

The fact that Prime Minister Abe is using the apparent threat from the Democratic People's Republic of Korea (DPRK/North) as an excuse to scrap Article 9 has not gone down well with the RoK. Not only do they have to deal with the DPRK they still have vivid memories of Japanese military nationalism.

The mass of red light then gave way to a mass of blue light. Amid all the talk of computer graphics and pixels this seemed intended to make you think of the Red, Blue, Green (RBG) colour pallate which makes up all the colours in pixels.

With that idea in mind once the Red light had been replaced with Blue light you would expect the Blue light to be replaced with Green light. However the Green light never appeared.

This seemed to indicate that Japan's commitment to environmental or "Green" issues such as Climate Change goes unspoken. After all the Kyoto Protocol is named after the Japanese city of Kyoto where it was signed.

Whatever the colour of the light it along with the pixel boxes gradually began to recede towards the Warp Pipe at the centre of the arena floor. This seemed to be a reference to the main concern heading into the 2020 Games.

In March 2011 Japan suffered the fourth most powerful Earthquake ever recorded. This triggered a Tsunami which amongst other things caused a meltdown at the Fukushima nuclear power plant.

This forced Japan to shutdown all 54 of its nuclear power plants. At the time those provided Japan with 30% of its electricity. So their closure triggered an electricity crisis in Japan which continues to this day.

Therefore there are legitimate questions over whether Japan will be able to provide enough electricity to power the 2020 Games. They have currently brought 3 nuclear power plants representing around 2% of production back online amid widespread public protests.

The sequence ended with the Tokyo 2020 logo and an image of Tokyo's skyline showing landmarks such as the Tokyo Tower, Rainbow Bridge and the Skytree.

17:10 on 2/4/18 (UK date).