Friday, 18 August 2017

The White Terror. Pt. 2

Due to Google having a wobble this MUST be read as a direction continuation of Part 1; https://watchitdie.blogspot.co.uk/2017/08/the-white-terror.html

Erdogan's plans to annex the Sudetenland received another apparent boost on Tuesday (15/8/17). President Trump gave a press conference in which he re-committed himself to doing what he was elected to do. End US Federal Government support for the Democrats Divide & Rule campaign.

This prompted US supporters of the Muslim Brotherhood to launch the #ImpeachTrump social media campaign.

US supporters of the Muslim Brotherhood such as @LSarsour and @SaysHummingbird are very easy to identify on Twitter. They tend to use as an avatar an image of a woman wearing a Hijab in the colours of the US flag. Drawn in the style of Barack Obama's 2008 "Hope" campaign these were commissioned by the Muslim Brotherhood as part of their anti-Trump resistance campaign.

Although I seem to have inadvertently started a showbiz feud with Alyssa Milano of all people supporters of the Muslim Brotherhood are not people you want to associate with. They frequently try to disguise their bigotry by using the slogan; "Love For All, Hatred For None."

This is actually the slogan of the Ahmadi Muslim sect. Sunni Muslims of the Muslim Brotherhood consider Ahmadis to be heretics and regularly persecute and murder them. The Muslim Brotherhood's actual slogan could well be; "Tolerance For None, Hatred For All."

On Thursday (17/8/17) the Muslim Brotherhood decided to press home their perceived advantage with further violent demands for Erdogan to be allowed to annex the Sudetenland. This time with an attack on the Spanish city of Barcelona.

At around 15:00 (17:00 local) a white van entered Las Ramblas from Placa de Catalunya headed in the direction of the harbour. As the van made its way along this pedestrian area it repeatedly swerved in order to mow down as many innocent people as it could.

By the time the van had come to a halt at Placa de la Boqueria roughly midway along Las Ramblas the attack had killed 14 civilians and injured 130 more.

The driver of the vehicle then fled on foot via the Luna de Istanbul Turkish restaurant. While the restaurant owner made false claims of customers being held hostage by two armed men the van driver escaped the scene.

Almost immediately after the attack the police linked the attack to a house explosion that occurred in the town of Alcanar. This is around 200km (120 miles) south of Barcelona. They also quickly captured a second van believed to be a getaway vehicle in the town of Vic around 80km (50 miles) north of Barcelona.

With the police hot on their heels five members of the terror cell launched into a last stand in the town of Cambrils. This is around 90km (55 miles) south-west of Barcelona. Wearing what turned out to be fake suicide vests the five men rammed their car into a police patrol, exited with knives and attempted to stab people. They were quickly shot and killed.

It would appear that the explosion in Alcanar was part of a failed attempt by the cell to assemble a Vehicle Borne Improvised Device (VBIED). So rather than simply conducting a run-over attack on Las Ramblas the group hoped to conduct a run-over attack from Placa de Catalunya along Las Ramblas where they could detonate their bomb in the harbour area in the shadow of Montjuic - "Jewish Mountain."

This is the route of the funeral procession of leading Antifa figure Buenaventura Durruti.

By the end of the Second World War Franco had managed to distance himself from the Axis Powers of Nazi Germany and Fascist Italy. This allowed him to be embraced by the newly formed NATO alliance as a bulwark against Communism along what is often described as Europe's Soft-Underbelly.

As a result Franco's White Terror continued all the way up until his death in 1975 - ironically on the 39th anniversary of Durriti's funeral.

This means that Spanish Civil War remains a very touchy subject within Spain. Particularly in relations between the central government in Madrid and the Basque region capitoled in Santander and the Catalan region capitoled in Barcelona.

It also means that if you talk about terror in the streets of Barcelona the first words that will pop into a lot of people's heads is; "White Terror!"

The specific van used in the attack was a White Fiat. In terms of motor vehicles "FIAT" is simply an acronym for Fabbrica Italiana Automobili Torino.

However in Latin "Fiat" is a wording roughly translating it as; "Let It Be Done."

Particularly in the wake of the 2008 financial crisis lots of people started talking about cash money as being "Fiat Currency." This stems from when trade was done in gold which is really heavy.

So rather than lugging huge amounts of gold about merchants would give people a piece of paper instructing the guards at their gold store to Let It Be Done when the bearer of that piece of paper demanded a certain amount of gold. These notes became known as Fiat Currency and more recently "Bank Notes."

So in Latin "Fiat Alba" roughly translates as the strong statement; "Let It Be Done, Whites!"

Fiat is also a word in the Catalan language spoken in Barcelona. There it means; "Sell." So "Fiat Blanca" roughly translates as the equally strong statement; "Sell the Whites!"

The Democrats Divide & Rule campaign is really something they've borrowed from the world of capitalism.

Corporations divide customers into different 'tribes' and then run marketing campaigns to target those specific tribes. An early example of this is the US cola wars. Coca Cola was marketed at White customers while Pepsi was marketed at Black customers. Much like segregation Pepsi will assure you their product is separate but equal.

As a result corporate America has really embraced Hillary Clinton and the Democrats Divide & Rule campaign because the see tribal division as an opportunity for better targeted marketing and bigger profits. Those corporate lobbyists have also forced particularly greedy members of the Republican Party into condemning President Trump's stance against this division.

The problem is that through things like globalisation and demands for a seemingly endless stream of low paid and often illegal immigrants Corporate America has already given White Americans a severe kicking.

Making "Sell the Whites!" the official campaign slogan of both the Democrat & Republican Party's at the next election will simply drive more people towards groups like those seen in Charlottesville making America a more violent and divided place.

Attacks like this always heighten tension between Muslims and non-Muslims that ISIL, Al Qaeda and neo-Nazis all wish to exploit. By making me to discuss things like the Catalan translation of "White Fiat" I feel that the Barcelona attackers are trying to force me and other commentators to take on the role of recruiting sergeant for neo-Nazi groups. 

As such the Barcelona attack was intended as a celebration by the Muslim Brotherhood at their success in weakening President Trump through their actions in Charlottesville.

It also served as a threat to America. Let Erdogan annex the Sudetenland or the Muslim Brotherhood will ratchet up America's racial violence even further making the nation impossible to govern.

Due to the Civil War history Spain has also been strong but softly spoken supporters of the SDF and its International Brigades within the international coalition - Combined Joint Task Force: Operation Inherent Resolve (CJTFOIR).

So as they bury their dead it is also the same threat to Spain;

"Allow Erdogan to annex the Sudetenland and destroy the SDF. Or Else."

At around 17:35 on 18/8/17 (UK date) I'll have to pick this up again after dinner.

Edited at around 19:30 on 18/8/17 (UK date) to add; This might get a little squiffy.

Within Turkey Ercan Can - the owner of the Luna de Istanbul restaurant - is being hailed as something of a national hero. Reading the Erdogan controlled press which in Turkey days is just the press you would think events in Barcelona were nothing more than an attack on a Turkish restaurant.

Almost immediately following the attack in Barcelona ISIL's news agency Amaq claimed responsibility. All this really proves is the extensive damage that the SDF have done to ISIL's command and control structures.

The attack in Barcelona was the first major terrorist attack to strike Spain since the 2004 Madrid Train Bombings. These Al Qaeda attacks killed at least 192 people and injured more than 2,000.

Within Al Qaeda's history Cambrils holds a special significance. It is where 9/11 attackers Mohammed Atta and Ramzi bin al-Shibh before attempting to travel to the US.

Although bin al-Shibh was denied entry at the border Atta went on to board American Airlines flight 11 - the first to crash into the World Trade Centre. Bin al-Shibh remains in Guantanamo Bay despite Obama's best efforts to release him.

The Barcelona attack occurred on a significant anniversary for Turkey. On August 17th 1999 (17/8/99) a 7.6 magnitude earthquake struck the town of Izmit killing around 17,000 people. Outrage at how easily the buildings crumbled significantly helped to propel Erdogan's Islamist Justice & Development Party (AKP) gain power at the 2002 election.

Against the backdrop of a day of national mourning you would think that what was to be presented as an Al Qaeda attack against Turkey would provide Erdogan with the excuse he needed to annex the Sudetenland. To protect Turks from the evils of Al Qaeda.

The YPG fighting as part of the SDF are of course not the only Kurds fighting ISIL. Within Iraq's Kurdish Region the Peshmerga have had great success defeating the group.

Unfortunately the Iraqi Kurdish Peshmerga are an example of Lions being led by Donkeys. The donkey in this case being Kurdish Regional President Masoud Barzani.

Barzani has got it into his head that if he can seize the Kirkuk oil and gas fields he can sell that oil and gas to Erdogan in Turkey. That will allow him to declare just the Iraqi Kurdish region as the independent nation of Kurdistan.

What Barzani seems to have failed to realise is that Erdogan is a neo-Ottoman. That means he wants to re-establish the Ottoman Empire. That most certainly includes the Iraq's Kurdish Region.

In fact as the Mosul operation was being launched in October 2016 Turkish newspapers ran headlines declaring Mosul, Erbil, Kirkuk - basically the entire Iraqi Kurdish region - to be parts of Turkey.

So if Barzani does get his wish Erdogan will simply withhold the oil and gas revenues. With Barzanistan being unable to pay for its own defence Erdogan will then simply invade. Iraq certainly won't help to defend the newly formed Barzanistan and due to its illegal declaration of statehood the international community will be unable to.

However God seems to have conspired against Barzani and given him exactly what he wants. On September 25th 2017 (25/9/17) Barzani will hold an illegal referendum on making his region an independent nation. This will occur a week before Spain's Catalan region holds a similarly illegal referendum.

However unlike Barzani the Catalans do this every couple of years. Their European Union (EU) neighbours are certainly more civilised then Erdogan.

Therefore Erdogan's hope was that the Barcelona attack would be viewed by Iraqi Kurds as him attacking their Catalan brothers. That will drive support for Barzani's referendum speeding up the day Erdogan can make Mosul, Erbil and Kirkuk parts of Turkey.

Within Spain the attack seems intended to increase pressure on both the Catalans and the central government in Madrid.

With the attackers seeming to model themselves on a rational rather than suicidal Molenbeek-style cell and the attack very much resembling the London Bridge attacks that preceded the UK's June election the main part of pressure is the prospect of a similar attack every week until the Catalan vote.

The fact that the cell are dead means that cannot be considered a credible threat.

Today (18/8/17) there has been an apparent marauding stabbing attack in the city of Turku in Finland. Details are still emerging but although Finns will correct you on the pronunciation "Turku" sounds a bit like "Turkey."

As with Sunday's (13/8/17) attack in Burkina Faso and yesterday's attack in Barcelona this builds the mood music of Turkey being under siege from Al Qaeda.

Surely then we must give Erdogan permission to annex the Sudetenland to protect Turkey(!)

20:20 on 18/8/17 (UK date).











 

The White Terror.

I consume a lot of news. In print, on television and online.

So I understand why most of you could be forgiven for forgetting that there is still a massive war being fought in both Iraq and Syria.

This war is being fought primarily against the Islamic State of Iraq and the Levant (ISIL). Although they use the word "Islamic" in their name ISIL are in fact ideological Nihilists. This school of philosophy sees violence as an end in itself and provided part of the inspiration for the political ideology of Nazism.

As a result ISIL are amongst the worst the world has ever seen. They happily pursue all the crimes against humanity including slavery, sexual violence and genocide.

Within Syria the largest force fighting ISIL is the Syrians themselves. In late 2013 the Syrians campaign against ISIL had taken the group to the brink of defeat. ISIL were pinned down in a small area around the Euphrates River basin in north-east Syria. This is what prompted ISIL to invade Iraq in 2014.

Flush with weapons and cash looted from Iraq ISIL began to grow again in Syria. However in September 2015 Russia sent forces to assist the Syrians in their fight against ISIL. As a result ISIL are now back on the brink of defeat restricted to a small area around the Euphrates River basin.

However the most effective force fighting against ISIL and Syria is a coalition called the Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF/QSD)

The SDF is made up of Syrian Kurdish fighters known as the People's Protection Units (YPG/J). The fight along Assyrian/Syriac forces known as the Syriac Military Council (MSF) and numerous Arab and Turkmen forces. Both fragments of the long defunct Free Syrian Army (FSA) and tribal forces local to northern Syria.

There are now actually so many Arab and Turkmen groups fighting as part of the SDF is numerous military councils and brigades that I mean them no offence. It is simply not possible for me to name them all individually here.

The primary area under the SDF's control is an area of north-eastern Syria that has been designated; "Shangri-La."

Shangri-La stretches from the Syria/Iraq border to the east to broadly speaking the Euphrates River in the west. Although there are areas of Syrian control south of the city of Hasakah generally speaking the southern boundary of Shangri-La is the Euphrates River basin where ISIL continue to hold the cities of Mayadin and Deir-ez-Zour.

The SDF also control a smaller area in the north-west of Syria roughly 3,000kmsq (1,800milesq) in size. This is centred around the city of Afrin and has been designated; "The Afrin Canton."

Between Shangri-La and the Afrin Canton you have a roughly 100km (60 mile) wide area designated; "Garvaghy Road."

On August 24th 2016 (24/8/16) Turkish President/Prime Minister/Emperor Recep Tayyip Erdogan sent regular Turkish forces to invade Garvaghy Road. The purpose was to prevent the SDF linking Shangri-La to Afrin Canton because in doing so they would cut a vital ISIL supply route running to and from Turkey.

Although the western boundary of Shangri-La is generally considered to be the Euphrates River the SDF do control a small area west of the river up to and including the town of Manbij. This sits roughly 25km (15 miles) south-west of the Tishrin Dam across the Euphrates. It was fully liberated on August 27th 2016 (27/8/16).

Erdogan's invasion of Garvaghy Road initially focused on the town of Jarablus. This sits around 35km (20 miles) north of Manbij right on the Syria/Turkey border. Having captured Jarablus Erdogan then wanted his forces to move south to capture Manbij from the SDF. However he was deflected into first capturing other towns with Garvaghy Road such a Azaz, Marea, Dabiq, al-Rai and finally al-Bab.

Having captured al-Bab Erdogan declared on February 28th 2017 (28/2/17) that his forces would advance to capture Manbij from the SDF. On March 1st (1/3/17) Erdogan sent the Turkish forces to unleash a barrage of airstrikes against SDF positions at Manbij including US, British and French Special Operations Forces (SOF's) that were embedded with the SDF there.

This nearly week long crisis was only brought to an end when Russia stepped in. They brokered an agreement that would see Syrian forces take up positions at the town of Armia roughly midway between al-Bab and Manbij. Those Syrian forces would act as a buffer between the SDF and Turkish forces.

As the SDF have made significant progress against ISIL in Raqqa Erdogan has become increasingly aggressive.

On June 22nd (22/6/17) Erdogan deployed more Turkish forces both to the border and within Garvaghy Road. This build up of forces is in preparation for an operation dubbed; "Euphrates Sword" which is intended to invade and capture the Afrin Canton from the SDF.

There is much speculation that this operation will be launched on the anniversary of Erdogan's invasion of Garvaghy Road dubbed; "Euphrates Shield" in and around August 24th 2017 (24/8/17).

On June 30th (30/6/17) Turkish forces both regular and irregular have been shelling Afrin Canton from both within Turkey and Garvaghy Road. This shelling has been near continuous ever since. It has primarily targeted civilian villages and refugee camps. It has also triggered numerous wildfires intended to force civilians from the area.

On August 6th (6/8/17) through to August 8th (8/8/17) Erdogan's forces conducted attacks against Syrian forces at Armia. This seems to have been an attempt to break through the Russian established buffer-zone to allow Erdogan's forces to attack the SDF at Manbij.

On August 10th (10/8/17) Erdogan's forces used anti-Tank weapons specifically to attack a US SOF vehicle at Tal Abyad. This sits within Shangri-La around 55km (30 miles) east of the city of Kobane right on the border with Turkey. The vehicle was destroyed but fortunately no US troops were killed or wounded.

To the south of Afrin Canton you have an area centred around the city of Idlib that has been designated; "The Sudetenland" in reference to Nazi Germany's annexation of Czechoslovakia in 1938. The Sudetenland is under the control of the Army of Conquest/Jaish al-Fatah (JAF) coalition.

The Army of Conquest is an Sunni Islamist organisation which is allied with ISIL.

One of the largest factions with the Army of Conquest is the Support Front/Jabhat al-Nusra (ANF). They  are the Syrian wing of The Base/Al Qaeda (AQ). In an effort to disguise their links to Al Qaeda they have recently taken to referring to themselves as the Organisation for the Liberation of the Levant/Hayy'at Tahrir al-Sham (HTS). Nobody recognises the name change

The second largest faction within the Army of Conquest is the Islamic Movement of the Freemen of the Levant/Harakat Ahrar ash-Sham al-Islamiyya (Ahrar al-Sham). They are very closely linked to the Muslim Brotherhood and through the Brotherhood to Qatar and Turkey.

Another significant faction within the Army of Conquest is the United Turkmen Army (UTA) who are sometimes known as the Syrian Turkmen Brigades (STB). This is formed of the paramilitary wing of the Turkish Nationalist Movement Party (MHP) known as the Grey Wolves. The UTA are particularly active within Garvaghy Road alongside the regular Turkish military.

Other factions within the Army of Conquest include the small but extremely nasty Army of Islam/Jaish al-Islam (JAI) and Islamist fragments of the now defunct FSA.

On December 12th 2016 (12/12/16) the Syrian city of Aleppo was finally and fully liberated by the Syrians from the Army of Conquest. This forced the Army of Conquest to seek refuge in and around Idlib City leading to the creation of the Sudetenland as a strategically significant area.

The liberation of Aleppo City also triggered the establishment of the Astana Process on Syria. This sees Russia, Iran, Turkey and Syria meet periodically to discuss the conflict.

At the fifth round of meetings in the Astana Process on May 3rd (3/5/17) and May 5th (5/5/17) agreement was reached to create four zones within Syria dubbed; "The Astana Zones." These include the Sudetenland, an area around Homs Province, and area around the Syrian capital Damascus and an area along Syria's borders with Jordan and Israel including parts of Deraa and Quneitra Provinces.

The exact function of these zones and even their names is still to be determined by the Astana Process. However Erdogan is extremely keen to have the Sudetenland designated as a Safe-Haven under the terms of international law. This will protect Army of Conquest fighters located there and allow Erdogan to deploy Turkish troops to occupy and formally annex the Sudetenland.

Prior to the creation of the Astana Zones the Astana pledged to; "fight jointly against ISIL/DAESH and Al-Nusra and to separate from them armed opposition groups." This pledge was made at the second round of meetings in the Astana Process on January 23rd (23/1/17) and January 24th (24/1/17).

To this end in early July Ahrar al-Sham launched attacks against Al Nusra with the supposed intention of expelling them from the Sudetenland. The problem is that Ahrar al-Sham lost this battle with themselves being expelled from the Sudetenland on July 23rd (23/7/17). This left Al Qaeda in complete control of the Sudetenland.

On August 11th (11/8/17) Erdogan announced that he would be closing the Bab al-Hawa border crossing to end cross border trade with Al Qaeda. However he pledged to allow "humanitarian aid" through the crossing into the Sudetenland.

One of the big recent political scandals in Turkey began in January 2014 when the Turkish border Gendarmerie stopped trucks loaded with humanitarian aid before they could cross into Syria over the Bab al-Hawa crossing.

On inspecting the trucks the Gendarmes found the "humanitarian aid" to be heavy weapons intended to be delivered to Al Qaeda by the Turkish National Intelligence Organisation (MIT). This was repeated two weeks later.

Erdogan's response was to imprison all the Gendarmes and local prosecutors involved in stopping the weapons shipments along with any journalists who reported on them on charges of treason.

On Wednesday (16/7/17) Erdogan had Deniz Akbulut - the lawyer who represented some of those men at their trial - arrested for treason.

The recent shoving match between Al Qaeda and Ahrar al-Sham is very similar to events that occurred within Garvaghy Road both prior to Erdogan's first attempt to invade in December 2016 and his eventual invasion in August 2016.

There particularly the UTA faction of the Army of Conquest would cycle control of various towns such as Marea between themselves and ISIL dependent on what combination of forces in control of an area would suit Erdogan's agenda best.  

The clearest example occurred in March 2016 at the town of al-Rai. This sits directly in the centre of Garvaghy Road right on the border with Turkey and is sometimes referred to as Cobanbey which sits on the Turkish side.

The Army of Conquest advanced from positions close to Marea and Azaz capturing al-Rai on April 8th 2016 (8/4/17) from ISIL. However they then promptly handed all the territory they had gained back to ISIL.

Erdogan then used the threat of ISIL on Turkey's border as a pretext to invade Garvaghy Road preventing the SDF from cutting ISIL's supply lines with Turkey.

Amongst the ranks of the SDF there is an International Brigade of foreign volunteers. Although on absolutely nowhere near the same scale this has been inspired by the International Brigades who fought on the Republican, anti-Fascist side during the 1936-1939 Spanish Civil War.

This brings me on to the well publicised events of Saturday (12/8/17) the city of Charlottesville in the US state of Virginia.

Under former President Barack Obama the US Democrat Party instigated a formal policy of Divide & Rule against the US population.

This policy involved dividing American society into different 'tribes' based on race, religion, gender and sexuality. These tribes are then encouraged to fight each other as a way to allow the Democrats to market themselves to voters as a way to protect the different tribes from each other.

The division based up race has been particularly unpleasant. Here the Democrats have sponsored a Black Supremacist group know as Black Lives Matter (BLM) to act as its street army using violence to attack and intimidate opponents.

Black Lives Matter have been particularly focused on intimidating law enforcement agencies to allow leading Democrat Hillary Clinton to avoid prosecution for multiple offences of espionage against the US. This allowed Hillary Clinton to represent the Democrats in the 2016 Presidential Election.

Black Lives Matter have also conducted a systematic campaign to have statues, memorials and monuments relating to the American Civil War removed from public life. The reason for this is that put simply the American Civil War was fought between anti-Slavery Republicans and pro-Slavery Democrats.

This issue of the destruction of statues and other aspects of cultural heritage is actually a huge global issue in the fight against ISIL and associated groups. The destruction of cultural heritage has long been recognised as a precursor to genocide.

First a hate group removes the symbols of the people they hate from public life. Next they remove the people they hate from public life forcing them into ghettos and concentration camps. Finally they exterminate the people they hate.

In 2015 the International Criminal Court (ICC) took up the matter. Specifically in the case of Islamist militant Ahmad al-Faqi al-Mahdi who destroyed statues and other aspects of cultural heritage as part of attempts to establish a self-proclaimed Islamist Caliphate in northern Mali in 2012.

In September 2016 the ICC ruled that the destruction of cultural heritage can be considered a war crime/lower crime against humanity. Al-Mahdi pleaded guilty and was sentenced to 9 years in prison. Just yesterday (17/8/17) the ICC ruled that al-Mahdi was financially responsible for the destruction fining him USD3.2m.

So the destruction of statues and cultural heritage is an example of the US Democrat Party heading in a certain direction. Fortunately the rest of the World seems to be heading in a different direction.

As a Democrat-run town in a Democrat-run state Charlottesville has been an enthusiastic supporter of Black Lives Matter campaign of cultural destruction. City and State authorities have volunteered to remove large sections of American history from public life in an effort to legitimise Black Lives Matter's campaign.

A group describing itself as "Unite the Right" called for protests last Friday (11/8/17) in Charlottesville against the actions of City and State officials.

Those City and State officials attempted to block the protest against them by seeking a Court injunction. This was denied on the groups that peacefully protesting against political decision is a Civil Right protected by the First Amendment of the Bill of Rights section of the US Constitution.

The Friday protest went off almost completely peacefully. However it was attacked by a small number of members of Black Lives Matter using weapons like CS/Tear Gas.

The problem arose on Saturday (12/8/17) the Charlottesville's Democrat Mayor Mike Signer and Virgina's Democrat Governor Terry McAuliffe called on Democrat supporters from across the country to descend on the city to defy the Court's ruling and deny the civil right to protest.

This led to what a riot professional would describe as; "Mild Squabbling" and 14 extremely minor injuries.

However later in the day a car crashed into a crowd of assorted pro-Democrat supporters at the junction of Fourth Street and the Water Pedestrian Mall. This resulted in the death of one person - Heather Heyer - and injuries to 19 others.

As the name suggests Charlottesville's Water Pedestrian Mall is normally closed to vehicle traffic. Particularly on Saturdays. As I sure many people have experienced a protest march or other large scale public gathering often leads to roads that are normally open to vehicles being closed to protect pedestrians.

However on that particular Saturday's the Democrat City officials took a peculiar decision. They decided to open the Water Pedestrian Mall to vehicle traffic. They also appear to have ordered the police to largely withdraw from the streets refusing to protect buildings such as the Beth Israel Synagogue which you would think would be at high risk of attack if violence broke out.

So at the very least the City and State officials who took those decision should expect to convicted of Ms Heyer's Manslaughter by way of Gross Negligence. The entire thing strikes me as a good candidate for a British-style Judge-led Public Inquiry.

In response to Ms Meyer's death US Democrats have clamoured for President Trump condemn all the groups in the Unite the Right coalition by name. They have no interest in the other violent groups being condemned or identifying the different factions in the Unite the Right coalition. Instead they describe them with the blanket term; "White Supremacist."

There was one particularly prominent but as yet unidentified group. They appeared in much of the TV footage always being at the front of the clashes seeming to be the main instigators or provocateurs of the violence.

This group carried flags and homemade shields featuring the logo of a black Saint Andrews cross against a white background or a white St Andrews cross within a black circle.

Those symbols are the insignia of the air forces of the Fascist, Nationalist forces during the Spanish Civil War. They were largely supplied by Hitler's Nazi Germany through a special division of the Nazi military known as the Condor Legion.

The shock troops of the Democrats Divide & Rule campaign is Black Lives Matter. However as a Black Supremacist group they are obviously extremely unwelcoming to non-Black Democrat supporters.

The has prompted the Democrats to cultivate a separate street army for their non-Black supporters using the name; "Anti-Fascist Action (Anti-FA)." The Democrats version of Antifa really made their debut on April 15th 2017 (15/4/17) attacking Trump supporters in Berkeley, California.

As an Anarchist group the traditional Antifa are not particularly well organised with a patchy history. However they have their ideological roots in the Spanish Civil War. Their main slogan; "No Parasan (They Shall Not Pass)" was the battle cry used by Republicans during the long siege of Madrid.

The irony is that the version of Antifa we are currently seeing in the US are acting in support of Obama's Democrat Party. They are certainly no friends of the SDF's International Brigade.

The reason why the SDF have an International Brigade is the under Obama the US refused to provide them with any military support in their fight against ISIL. This forced them to recruit ex-members of western military's to provide them with training and experience as private citizens.

It was the bravery and sacrifice of these Americans and others while their President did nothing that finally shamed Obama into giving the SDF extremely limited support. However Obama still refused to support the SDF fully instead trying to build a rival power structure within the group in the hope it would defect and ally itself with the Army of Conquest and ISIL.

Obama certainly did not oppose Erdogan's invasion of Garvaghy Road and if he had remained in power it is likely Obama would fully support Erdogan's plans to invade Afrin Canton and annex the Sudetenland. Hitler's invasion of Czechoslovakia of course happened in 1938. During the Spanish Civil War.

With his frequent airstrikes against the SDF it is often said that Erdogan is acting as ISIL's airforce. Through their support that would make Obama and his Democrats ISIL's Condor Legion.

So I find it extremely hard to believe that anyone with an understanding of the history and values of the Republican International Brigades and Antifa would demean themselves by supporting the US Democrats.

Any serious member of Antifa would already be well aware of Buenaventura Durruti. This Catalan Anarchist was probably the Republicans most successful military commander during the Spanish Civil War. 

Although Durruti's death in 1936 is shrouded in mystery it's widely accepted that he was assassinated by Communist elements of the Republican forces who viewed his popularity and success as a threat to their absolute control.

Those Communist elements obsession with absolute control at the expense of actually fighting the Nationalists is one of the main reasons the Republicans lost the war.

There is absolutely no excuse for any genuine member of Antifa not knowing the story of Buenaventura Durruti because he is hardly a secret. His funeral in Barcelona on November 20th 1936 (10/11/36) was arguably one of the largest in Spanish history. 

Durruti's funeral procession saw hundreds of thousands of people packing the city's Placa de Catalunya main square and the Las Ramblas main thoroughfare to pay their respects. He was finally laid to rest at Montjuic - "Jewish Mountain" - Cemetery overlooking the harbour.  

Franco's Nationalist air force's most infamous engagement was the April 1937 bombing of the Basque city of Guernica. Rather than having any particular military value this atrocity was really an opportunity for Hitler to test out the fancy new weapons he'd developed. Chief amongst these was the Junkers Ju 87 "Stuka" dive bomber.

Amid the insignia of the Nationalist airforce the way that the grey Dodge Challenger dove down a hill into pedestrians in Charlottesville certainly had an air of a Stuka dive bomber about it.


If there was any military value to the atrocity at Guernica it was as part of Franco's policy of; "The White Terror."

As the name suggests this was a systematic use of violent atrocities in order to terrorise those to opposed the notion of White Supremacy into submission. Alongside Guerncia one of the most famous examples of White Terror was the Massacre of Badojoz. Here 4,000 Republican fighters and civilian supporters were publicly executed in the town of Badjoz.

Despite its name the White Terror was predominately carried out by Black Muslims. The Fuerzas Regulares Indígenas/Indigenous Regular Forces sometimes known simply as; "Regulares" were Franco's shock troops raised in Morocco which at the time as a Spanish colony.     

The Regulares were led by Mohamed Meziane - the only ethnic Moroccan to hold the rank of General in the Spanish military. Meziane's brutality rivalled even ISIL's. 

The US historian John Thompson Whitaker witnessed Meziane hand two young girls over to his men as sex slaves. Meziane told the appalled journalist not to worry because the girls would only be able to live through a few hours of brutal gang rape.

What linked Muslims like Mohamed Meziane to Fascists like Franco and Hitler was their deep, shared hatred of Jews.

Hitler frequently praised Islam saying that Nazis have more in common with Muslims than with the French. Albert Speer even claimed that Hitler believed the Nazis had more in common with Muslims than with Christians. Hitler particularly praised the way the Prophet Mohammed had driven the Jews from the Arabian Peninsula.

At the time of the Second World War much of the Muslim world was under the control of European colonial powers. So not formally being considered nations they couldn't formally ally themselves with the Nazis. However European Muslims fought enthusiastically on the side of Nazi Germany. Particularly the 13th and 21st Divisions of the Waffen-SS.

While Mohamed Meziane's Regulares where fighting for Franco in the Spanish Civil War Hitler backed Grand Mufti Haj Amin al-Husseini to lead the Arab Revolt in British Mandated Palestine. In 1941 Hitler backed Rashid Ali al-Gaylani to launch the Anglo-Iraqi War in British Mandated Palestine.

Both al-Husseini and al-Gaylani pledged their allegiance to the Nazi-led Axis Powers prompting Hitler to issue Fuhrer Directive No.30 formally recognising Arab Muslims as allies of the Nazis.

As a result the symbolism of events in Charlottesville including the cries of; "White Terror!" very much resemble a coded message from supporters of the Muslim Brotherhood within the US Democrat Party to Erdogan. 

The message being to go ahead with his invasion plans because they would keep President Trump pinned down with battlecries of "White Terror!" 
 
As the Qatari Royal Family made quite clear on May 23rd (23/5/17) the Muslim Brotherhood's ultimate aim is to stage a coup and overthrow President Trump. 

By Sunday (13/8/17) Erdogan had certainly been emboldened.

In the evening the Turkish military artillery Erdogan had stationed on the Turkish side of the border in perpetration for the Euphrates Sword operation significantly intensified its shelling of Afrin Canton. This included shelling the of the Rubar camp for Internally Displaced Peoples (IDP's)/Refugee Camp.

At around the same time it was claimed that a Turkish police officer was stabbed and killed by an ISIL member he was arresting. This allows Erdogan to falsely claim that Turkey is an enemy of ISIL and that he must take action to protect Turks from ISIL.

Finally there was the gun attack on the Aziz Istanbul Turkish restaurant in Ouagadougou - the capital of Burkina Faso. Lasting for more than eight hours this attack left 18 people dead and injured many others.

The attack has been blamed on Al Qaeda in the Islamic Maghreb (AQIM). This seems a reasonable assumption. Along with what has become the ISIL affiliate Boko Haram centred in Nigeria AQIM established what they called an Islamist Caliphate in northern Mali in 2012.

The victims of the attack include citizens of at least nine nations. However the death of a single Turk along with the very obvious references to Turkey will allow Erdogan to falsely claim that he is an enemy rather than an enemy of Al Qaeda.

It will also allow Erdogan to claim that he must take action to protect Turks by invading Afrin Canton and annexing the Sudetenland.


At around 14:45 on 18/8/17 (UK date) I will pick this up after lunch and coffee. 





Wednesday, 16 August 2017

The Charlottesville Verdicts Are In.

On Saturday (12/8/17) broadly speaking two groups of hooligans gathered in the US city of Charlottesville, Virginia because they wanted to have a punch-up.

One group broadly claimed to represent the US political right while equally broadly claimed to represent the US political left.

In Northern Ireland this type of activity is formally known as; "Recreational Rioting." People do it simply because they enjoy doing it. In 2016 following the Brexit vote the introduction of actual politics meant that there was none of the usual summer rioting. This caused far more alarm then the riots themselves.

In Sweden and the Netherlands the police have a well rehearsed policy on this. They march both groups off to an open area away from the public such as a sports field, set up a medical tent and let them get on with it.

Towards the end of the day in Charlottesville a young woman - Heather Heyer - who identified with the left-wing group was killed in a vehicle collision. In itself this is an extremely small event. When similar things happen in Israel which is as much of a foreign country to me as the US I barely bother read about it let alone comment on it.

In terms of the deathtoll Ms Heyer's death was even dwarfed by other events within Charlottesville when two Virginia State Police officers were killed in a helicopter crash a few hours later.

However events in Charlottesville seem to have unleashed a relentless torrent of just idiotic commentary and discussion.

For example on Monday (14/8/17) a seeming mountain of people accused US President Donald Trump of being permissive towards White Supremacist groups. Meanwhile in Texas the largest prosecution of White Supremacists in US history reached its conclusion. It resulted in 89 convictions and more than a thousand years handed down in prison sentences.

At roughly the same time in North Carolina members of the Black Supremacist group Black Lives Matter were vandalising a public building while the police stood by and let them. Black Lives Matter claim this an example of them being oppressed by the White Supremacist police.

Rather like a psychiatric patient I used to know who was convinced the movie Star Wars was really happening and I was a Jedi trying to follow this sort of discussion in any sort of rational way is utterly mentally exhausting.

Yesterday having given myself a massive headache I just gave up. Rather than trying to do anything constructive I spent the day reacting to just a tiny fraction of things of idiotic things being said on Twitter.

The vehicle collision was caught on video which was almost immediately uploaded to the Internet. Ohio where the vehicle was registered has a public system of vehicle registration. This allows anyone to look up a vehicle registration to find its owner and their address.

Once James Fields Jr had been identified as the registered owner of the vehicle it was then very easy to find his Facebook page. Now removed this Facebook page revealed Fields to be a vocal supporter of Bernie Sander - a Presidential candidate for the US Democrat.

It also revealed that Field's mother's family name is; "Bloom." Although not exclusively this is traditionally a Jewish name. Raising the rather incredible prospect that a Jewish Nazi has murdered an Aryan woman.

This posed to obvious question of whether the Democrat Party had orchestrated the killing. The intention being to unleash this torrent of anti-Trump rhetoric.

As I was writing my very long post on Monday (14/8/17) the international verdicts on this question started to come in. They almost universally support the theory that the Democrat Party orchestrated the killing.

In Canada a stuntwoman was killed while performing a motorcycle stunt of the set of the movie "Deadpool 2." This is very obviously a woman being killed in a planned vehicle stunt.

The type of motorcycle was a Ducatti. One group of the hooligans in Charlottesville describe themselves a being members of Anti-Fascist Action (Anti-FA). However they all seemed to be completely unaware of prominent Antifa leader Spanish Anarchist Buenaventura Durruti. With his funeral being the largest in Spanish history he is hardly a secret.

Shortly afterwards a car rammed into a pizza restaurant in the French capital Paris killing a 13 year old girl.

That driver has since been identified as British/French dual national David Patterson. Like James Fields Jr Mr Patterson worked as a security guard.

In the photographs released Mr Patterson has something of a distinctive haircut. It is shaved at the back and sides and long on top. This is similar to the hairstyle wore by characters in the UK TV Show; "Peaky Blinders" and by professional footballer Jack Grealish.

However opponents to President Trump in the US have decided that this haircut is a racist symbol. Other things they've decided are racist symbols are the Anarchist environmental group Reclaim The Streets slogan; "Whose Streets? Our Streets!" and the internationally recognised SCUBA diving hand signal of forming a circle with the thumb and forefinger to indicate "OK."

The fact the car ramming occurred at a pizza restaurant was in reference to what it known as; "Pizzagate." This is a conspiracy theory that circulated on the Internet in 2016. It claimed senior members of the Democrat Party were running a child sex slavery ring out of a chain of pizza restaurants.

This type of sophisticated conspiracy theory is considered a normal form of political discussion in totalitarian, quasi-socialist states. Particularly in the Middle-East, North Africa region. In those societies telling the truth about political figures will get you imprisoned or killed. So instead you tell a small lie that reveals a greater truth.

A prime example of this is prolific British child sex offender Jimmy Savile. He was able to abuse children and adults on a massive scale over decades because he was protected by corrupt police officers and would aggressively pursue libel actions against anyone who questioned him.

However for many years before his death there was a 'joke' doing the rounds that Jimmy Savile kept his mother's corpse in his house and had sex with it every night. Particularly while his mother was still alive this was so outlandish it could only be considered a joke for the purposes of libel law. It did though allow people to talk about Jimmy Savile the pervert. He actually did have sex with corpses.

So with the exception of a small, crazy minority no-one discussing Pizzagate actually thought the Democrats were running a child sex slavery ring out of a chain of pizza restaurants.

It does though allow people to talk about how the Democrats support the Islamic State of Iraq and the Levant (ISIL). ISIL do run an extensive network of child and adult sex slaves. In that world of military intelligence people actually go to great lengths to avoid revealing their sources.

Pizzagate also people to discuss how the Democrats are so utterly devoid of a moral compass they will stop at nothing, not even rape and murder to satisfy their lust for power.

The Democrat Governor of Virginia is Terry McAuliffe. He paid FBI agent Andrew McCabe close to a million dollars in bribes while Andrew McCabe was investigating Hillary Clinton for espionage against the US.

Conducting the car ramming as part of a suicide attempt David Patterson is also said to have taken an overdose of a wide selection of both prescription and illegal drugs.

On Monday evening the in US the scheduled release to the toxicology report on golfer Tiger Woods occurred. This revealed that Tiger Woods had taken a wide variety of prescription and illegal drugs leading to his arrest for Driving Under the Influence (DUI).

Tiger Woods has long been a stand in for former US Democrat President Barack Obama.

Opponents of President Trump have also decided that the classic golfing outfit of a polo shirt and light coloured trousers is a racist symbol. They've taken to posting pictures of Trump wearing this outfit as evidence that Trump is a fascist.

In doing that they've clearly forgotten about all the images of Barack Obama and every other golfer ever wearing the exact same outfit.

Yesterday (15/8/17) French President Emmanuel Macron had a phone call with Turkish President/Prime Minister/Emperor Recep Tayyip Erdogan.

This has prompted Erdogan to basically kidnap relatively famous US pizza chef Hakki Akdeniz who was holidaying in Diyarbakir from where Erdogan launches frequent airstrikes against anti-ISIL forces both in Syria and Iraq.

15:30 on 16/8/17 (UK date).

Edited at around 18:45 on 16/8/17 (UK date) to add;

The current insanity of the discussion over Charlottesville was really highlighted by events last night.

Long before Heather Heyer's death President Trump took to Twitter to issue a statement to condemn all the groups who'd gathered to commit acts of violence. Following the death he held a press conference expressing his sorrow and again condemning all groups who'd gather to commit acts of violence.

It seems that on Sunday (13/8/17) that Trump then received some extremely bad advice. So Monday (14/8/17) his gave another press conference. This time he retracted his condemnation of all groups gathered to commit acts of violence. Instead he condemned the Ku Klux Klan (KKK) and neo-Nazis by name. In doing this he seemed to suggest their was no equivalence between the violence of the self-identified right wing groups and the self-identified left-wing group.

I happen to know someone who has participated in genuine Antifa black blocs extremely well. They will assure that this was a terrible mistake because there certainly is an equivalency between the two groups.

Last night President Trump corrected his mistake and held a third press conference when he condemned all groups gathered to commit acts of violence. Commenting of the Democrats current campaign erase their role in the US Civil War Trump asked if statues of Thomas Jefferson should also be removed because he was a slave owner.

Amid proud ISIL supporters calling for Trump to be impeached Twitter then exploded with anger at Trump equating Thomas Jefferson to Democrats who fought the civil war to maintain slavery.

The thing is Black Lives Matter are calling for a statue of Thomas Jefferson to be removed from the University of Missouri campus because he was a slave owner.

Meanwhile two schools in Oregon have been forced to rename themselves to remove the word; "Lynch." The land the schools are built on was donated by the Lynch family who have absolutely no connection to slavery.

However Black Lives Matter have decided the name Lynch - as in former Attorney General Loretta Lynch - is a racist symbol.

If you decide these statements are rational or crazy based on nothing but the colour of the skin of the person making them I've got some bad news for you;

Turns out you're a racist.


Monday, 14 August 2017

Operation Featherweight: Month 37, Week 4, Day 5.

On November 6th 2016 (6/11/16) the Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF/QSD) coalition launched an operation to liberate the Syrian city of Raqqa from the Islamic State of Iraq and the Levant (ISIL).

The SDF is a coalition of Kurdish, Assyrian/Syriac, Turkmen and Arab forces. Both members of the now defunct Free Syrian Army (FSA) and Arab tribal forces indigenous to northern Syria. Located on the Euphrates River Raqqa has long functioned as ISIL's de facto capital city.

The first stage of the operation saw the SDF advance on Raqqa in three directions; North, West and East. This first stage was completed on March 19th 2017 (19/3/17) with the SDF taking up positions at al-Karamah - roughly 30km (20 miles) south-east of Raqqa.

On March 21st (21/3/17) the SDF launched an operation to liberate the town of Tabqa and the adjoining Tabqa Dam. The Tabqa Dam creates Lake Assad out of the Euphrates River and sits roughly 40km (25 miles) west of Raqqa.The SDF had reached Lake Assad on January 20th (20/1/17).

On May 11th (11/3/17) both the town of Tabqa and Tabqa Dam were liberated by the SDF.

On June 6th (6/6/17) the operation to liberate Raqqa itself was begun. This saw the SDF enter the city on three axis'; North, West and East. At the same time the SDF launched a west-to-east sweep on the southern bank of the Euphrates in order to cut Raqqa off from the rest of Syria.

The eastern axis began by entering the Mashlab district at the most south-easterly tip of Raqqa on June 6th (6/6/17). By June 17th (17/6/17) they had succeeded in liberating the Mashlab, al-Sinaa and Bitani districts. These all sit on the eastern outskirts of Raqqa.

The western axis began by entering the Jazra suburb on June 6th (6/6/17). By July 3rd (3/7/17) the western axis had succeeded in completely liberating the Sabahiya, Romaniyah, al-Qadisiyyah and al-Hattin districts and parts of the an-Nadah and al-Baryd districts. These all sit on the western outskirts of Raqqa.

On July 2nd (2/7/17) the eastern axis entered the Hisham Abdulmalik district at the very south of Raqqa on the banks of the Euphrates. Having liberated the Yarmouk district on July 17th (17/7/17) the western axis entered the Shahada district. This also sits at the very south of Raqqa directly adjacent to the Hisham Abdulmalik district.

On August 2nd (2/8/17) the western and eastern axis' linked up at the H6 Highway which forms the boundary between the Shahada and Hisham Abdulmalik district. This created a continuous SDF line dividing both districts south towards the Euphrates and north to the rest of the city.

Between August 5th (5/8/17) and August 8th (8/8/17) the SDF everything south and north of that dividing line in both the Hisham Abdulmalik and Shahada districts.

On Thursday August 10th (10/8/17) the SDF were able to declare both the Hisham Abdulmalik and Shahada districts fully liberated. This limits ISIL to just 16 districts in the north and centre of the city.

Alongside fighting in the Hisham Abdulmalik district the eastern axis also entered the Old City district of Raqqa on July 6th (6/7/17). This sits directly west of the al-Sinaa and Bitani district and directly north of the Hisham Abdulmalik district.

Yesterday (13/8/17) the SDF liberated the Mahdi and Rafiqa neighbourhoods. Alongside the Rashid and Mansur neighbourhoods these are two of the four main neighbourhoods within the Old City district. The SDF have also begun to enter the Rashid and Mansur neighbourhoods.

On August 7th (7/8/17) the eastern axis also entered the Rameelah district. This sits directly north of the Bitani district and north-east of the Rawdah district. Sitting directly north of the Old City district the SDF have been battling the liberate the Rawdah district since entering it following the liberation of Bitani district of June 28th (28/6/17).

Aside from battling to liberate the Shahada district the western axis have continued to make progress on the north-west of the city. On August 8th (8/8/17) they liberated the Karim district. They have also continued to increase their control of the al-Nadah district which sits to the north of the Karim district and stretches deep into the centre of the city.

The battle for Raqqa is taking place at southern edge of an area under SDF control designated; "Shangri-La."

Shangri-La stretches from the Syria/Iraq border to the east to broadly speaking the Euphrates River in the west. Although there are areas of Syrian control south of the city of Hasakah generally speaking the southern boundary of Shangri-La is the Euphrates River basin where ISIL continue to hold the cities of Mayadin and Deir-ez-Zour.

The SDF also control a smaller area in the north-west of Syria roughly 3,000kmsq (1,800milesq) in size. This is centred around the city of Afrin and has been designated; "The Afrin Canton."

Between Shangri-La and the Afrin Canton you have a roughly 100km (60 mile) wide area designated; "Garvaghy Road."

On August 24th 2016 (24/8/16) Turkish President/Prime Minister/Emperor Recep Tayyip Erdogan sent regular Turkish forces to invade Garvaghy Road. The purpose was to prevent the SDF linking Shangri-La to Afrin Canton because in doing so they would cut a vital ISIL supply route running to and from Turkey.

Although the western boundary of Shangri-La is generally considered to be the Euphrates River the SDF do control a small area west of the river up to and including the town of Manbij. This sits roughly 25km (15 miles) south-west of the Tishrin Dam across the Euphrates. It was fully liberated on August 27th 2016 (27/8/16).

Erdogan's invasion of Garvaghy Road initially focused on the town of Jarablus. This sits around 35km (20 miles) north of Manbij right on the Syria/Turkey border. Having captured Jarablus Erdogan then wanted his forces to move south to capture Manbij from the SDF. However he was deflected into first capturing other towns with Garvaghy Road such a Azaz, Marea, Dabiq, al-Rai and finally al-Bab.

Having captured al-Bab Erdogan declared on February 28th 2017 (28/2/17) that his forces would advance to capture Manbij from the SDF. On March 1st (1/3/17) Erdogan sent the Turkish forces to unleash a barrage of airstrikes against SDF positions at Manbij including US, British and French Special Operations Forces (SOF's) that were embedded with the SDF there.

This nearly week long crisis was only brought to an end when Russia stepped. They brokered an agreement that would see Syrian forces take up positions at the town of Armia roughly midway between al-Bab and Manbij. Those Syrian forces would act as a buffer between the SDF and Turkish forces.

As the SDF have made significant progress against ISIL in Raqqa Erdogan has become increasingly aggressive.

On June 22nd (22/6/17) Erdogan deployed more Turkish forces both to the border and within Garvaghy Road. This build up of forces is in preparation for an operation dubbed; "Euphrates Sword" which is intended to invade and capture the Afrin Canton from the SDF. There is much speculation that this operation will be launched on the anniversary of Erdogan's invasion of Garvaghy Road dubbed; "Euphrates Shield" in and around August 24th 2017 (24/8/17).

On June 30th (30/6/17) Turkish forces both regular and irregular have been shelling Afrin Canton from both within Turkey and Garvaghy Road. This shelling has been near continuous ever since. It has primarily targeted civilian villages and refugee camps. It has also triggered numerous wildfires intended to force civilians from the area.

On August 6th (6/8/17) through to August 8th (8/8/17) Erdogan's forces conducted attacks against Syrian forces at Armia. This seems to have been an attempt to break through the Russian established buffer-zone to allow Erdogan's forces to attack the SDF at Manbij.

On August 10th (10/8/17) Erdogan's forces used anti-Tank weapons specifically to attack a US SOF vehicle at Tal Abyad. This sits within Shangri-La around 55km (30 miles) east of the city of Kobane right on the border with Turkey. The vehicle was destroyed but fortunately no US troops were killed or wounded.

To the south of Afrin Canton you have an area centred around the city of Idlib that has been designated; "The Sudetenland" in reference to Nazi Germany's annexation of Czechoslovakia in 1938. The Sudetenland is under the control of the Army of Conquest/Jaish al-Fatah (JAF) coalition.

The Army of Conquest is an Sunni Islamist organisation which is allied with ISIL.

One of the largest factions with the Army of Conquest is the Support Front/Jabhat al-Nusra (ANF). They  are the Syrian wing of The Base/Al Qaeda (AQ). In an effort to disguise their links to Al Qaeda they have recently taken to referring to themselves as the Organisation for the Liberation of the Levant/Hayy'at Tahrir al-Sham (HTS). Nobody recognises the name change

The second largest faction within the Army of Conquest is the Islamic Movement of the Freemen of the Levant/Harakat Ahrar ash-Sham al-Islamiyya (Ahrar al-Sham). They are very closely linked to the Muslim Brotherhood and through the Brotherhood to Qatar and Turkey.

Another significant faction within the Army of Conquest is the United Turkmen Army (UTA) who are sometimes known as the Syrian Turkmen Brigades (STB). This is formed of the paramilitary wing of the Turkish Nationalist Movement Party (MHP) known as the Grey Wolves. The UTA are particularly active within Garvaghy Road alongside the regular Turkish military.

Other factions within the Army of Conquest include the small but extremely nasty Army of Islam/Jaish al-Islam (JAI) and Islamist fragments of the now defunct FSA.

On December 12th 2016 (12/12/16) the Syrian city of Aleppo was finally and fully liberated by the Syrians from the Army of Conquest. This forced the Army of Conquest to seek refuge in and around Idlib City leading to the creation of the Sudetenland as a strategically significant area.

The liberation of Aleppo City also triggered the establishment of the Astana Process on Syria. This sees Russia, Iran, Turkey and Syria meet periodically to discuss the conflict.

At the fifth round of meetings in the Astana Process on May 3rd (3/5/17) and May 5th (5/5/17) agreement was reached to create four zones within Syria dubbed; "The Astana Zones." These include the Sudetenland, an area around Homs Province, and area around the Syrian capital Damascus and an area along Syria's borders with Jordan and Israel including parts of Deraa and Quneitra Provinces.

The exact function of these zones and even their names is still to be determined by the Astana Process. However Erdogan is extremely keen to have the Sudetenland designated as a Safe-Haven under the terms of international law. This will protect Army of Conquest fighters located there and allow Erdogan to deploy Turkish troops to occupy and formally annex the Sudetenland.

Prior to the creation of the Astana Zones the Astana pledged to; "fight jointly against ISIL/DAESH and Al-Nusra and to separate from them armed opposition groups." This pledge was made at the second round of meetings in the Astana Process on January 23rd (23/1/17) and January 24th (24/1/17).

To this end in early July Ahrar al-Sham launched attacks against Al Nusra with the supposed intention of expelling them from the Sudetenland. The problem is that Ahrar al-Sham lost this battle with themselves being expelled from the Sudetenland on July 23rd (23/7/17). This left Al Qaeda in complete control of the Sudetenland.

On August 11th (11/8/17) Erdogan announced that he would be closing the Bab al-Hawa border crossing to end cross border trade with Al Qaeda. However he pledged to allow "humanitarian aid" through the crossing into the Sudetenland.

One of the big recent political scandals in Turkey began in January 2014 when the Turkish border Gendarmerie stopped trucks loaded with humanitarian aid before they could cross into Syria over the Bab al-Hawa crossing.

On inspecting the trucks the Gendarmes found the "humanitarian aid" to be heavy weapons intended to be delivered to Al Qaeda by the Turkish National Intelligence Organisation (MIT). This was repeated two weeks later.

Erdogan's response was to imprison all the Gendarmes and local prosecutors involved in stopping the weapons shipments along with any journalists who reported on them on charges of treason. 

The recent shoving match between Al Qaeda and Ahrar al-Sham is very similar to events that occurred within Garvaghy Road both prior to Erdogan's first attempt to invade in December 2016 and his eventual invasion in August 2016.

There particularly the UTA faction of the Army of Conquest would cycle control of various towns such as Marea between themselves and ISIL dependent on what combination of forces in control of an area would suit Erdogan's agenda best.  

The clearest example occurred in March 2016 at the town of al-Rai. This sits directly in the centre of Garvaghy Road right on the border with Turkey and is sometimes referred to as Cobanbey which sits on the Turkish side.

The Army of Conquest advanced from positions close to Marea and Azaz capturing al-Rai on April 8th 2016 (8/4/17) from ISIL. However they then promptly handed all the territory they had gained back to ISIL.

Erdogan then used the threat of ISIL on Turkey's border as a pretext to invade Garvaghy Road preventing the SDF from cutting ISIL's supply lines with Turkey.

At around 17:05 on 14/8/17 (UK date) I'll pick this up after dinner.

Edited at around 18:40 on 14/8/17 (UK date) to add;

Amongst the ranks of the SDF there is an International Brigade of foreign volunteers. Although on absolutely nowhere near the same scale this has been inspired by the International Brigades who fought on the Republican, anti-Fascist side during the 1936-1939 Spanish Civil War.

This brings me on to the well publicised events of Saturday (12/8/17) the city of Charlottesville in the US state of Virginia.

In response to those events there have been deafening calls for US President Trump to single out and condemn the specific groups involved. However the people making those calls don't seem to know the groups involved themselves. Instead they describe them using the blanket term; "White Supremacist."

Events certainly were centred amongst longstanding and hardcore White Supremacist groups such as the Ku Klux Klan (KKK) and neo-Nazi groups such as the Aryan Nation.

However my concern is that these hardcore groups may well have attracted people with more mainstream beliefs who have mistakenly thought these extremists will provide them with protection against the Democrat Party's racially charged war against democracy and the rule of law.

After all having invited designated hate groups such as the New Black Panther Party (NBPP) and the astoundingly un-Islamic Nation of Islam (NoI) to the city to defy a Court ruling protecting civil rights Charlottesville's Democrat Mayor Mike Signer certainly won't.

There was one particularly prominent but as yet unidentified group. They appeared in much of the TV footage always being at the front of the clashes seeming to be the main instigators or provocateurs of the violence.

This group carried flags and homemade shields featuring the logo of a black Saint Andrews cross against a white background or a white St Andrews cross within a black circle.

Those symbols are the insignia of the air forces of the Fascist, Nationalist forces during the Spanish Civil War. They were largely supplied by Hitler's Nazi Germany through a special division of the Nazi military known as the Condor Legion.

As I discussed in my post on the topic yesterday former US President Barack Obama used his 8 year term to divide US citizens into different tribes based on race, religion, gender and sexuality.

Part of Obama's efforts to divide on race included attempts to claim that Hispanics were not members of the Caucasian or White race. This is utterly ridiculous. Spain's alliance with Nazi Germany and its own three year civil war over the concept of Hispanic White Supremacy really serves to underline just how ridiculous.

Obama also tried to claim that Native American Indians are also not part of the Caucasian or White race. This is equally ridiculous because despite their name Native Americans are extremely Caucasian having migrated to the continental US from the Caucus region of Russia.

These claims led to the Obama administration and the US Democrats being widely and loudly mocked during the 2016 Summer Olympics in Brazil.

This past weekend has seen the World Athletic Championships reach their climax in London, UK. The British hosts have certainly been trying to turn this into the 2017 Summer Olympics. Prompting Usain Bolt to do a very good impression of someone falling flat on their face.

Obama's attempts to divide America on race also included the formation of the Black Lives Matter (BLM) group. This is the latest incarnation of hate groups like the NBPP and the NoI. As a Black Supremacist group Black Lives Matter is of course extremely unwelcoming to non-Black members.

As a result the Democrats have tried to mobilise their White supporters who are excluded from BLM in a group using the name Anti-Fascist Action (ANTIFA). The Democrats version of Antifa really made their debut on April 15th 2017 (15/4/17) attacking Trump supporters in Berkeley, California.

The tactics used in Charlottesville of shields, masks, helmets and body armour are the tactics used by Antifa in Berkeley which now seem to have been adopted by all sides.

As an Anarchist group the traditional Antifa are not particularly well organised with a patchy history. However they have their ideological roots in the Spanish Civil War. Their main slogan; "No Parasan (They Shall Not Pass)" was the battle cry used by Republicans during the long siege of Madrid.

The irony is that the version of Antifa we are currently seeing in the US are acting in support of Obama's Democrat Party. They are certainly no friends of the SDF's International Brigade.

The reason why the SDF have an International Brigade is the under Obama the US refused to provide them with any military support in their fight against ISIL. This forced them to recruit ex-members of western military's to provide them with training and experience as private citizens.

Due to his extensive facial tattoos one of the most high profile members of the SDF's International Brigade is a guy called Kevin Howard from San Francisco, California. He is a former member of the US Marine Corp. Already during the battle for Raqqa another US citizens has given his life in the service of the SDF's International Brigades. Robert Grodt was a US Army veteran.

It was the bravery and sacrifice of these Americans and others while their President did nothing that finally shamed Obama into giving the SDF extremely limited support. However Obama still refused to support the SDF fully instead trying to build a rival power structure within the group in the hope it would defect and ally itself with the Army of Conquest and ISIL.

Obama certainly did not oppose Erdogan's invasion of Garvaghy Road and if he had remained in power it is likely Obama would fully support Erdogan's plans to invade Afrin Canton and annex the Sudetenland. Hitler's invasion of Czechoslovakia of course happened in 1938. During the Spanish Civil War.

With his frequent airstrikes against the SDF it is often said that Erdogan is acting as ISIL's airforce. Through their support that would make Obama and his Democrats ISIL's Condor Legion.

So I find it extremely hard to believe that anyone with an understanding of the history and values of the Republican International Brigades and Antifa would demean themselves by supporting the US Democrats.

Any serious member of Antifa would already be well aware of Buenaventura Durruti. This Catalan Anarchist was probably the Republicans most successful military commander during the Spanish Civil War. 

Although Durruti's death in 1936 is shrouded in mystery it's widely accepted that he was assassinated by Communist elements of the Republican forces who viewed his popularity and success as a threat to their absolute control. Those Communist elements obsession with absolute control at the expense of actually fighting the Nationalists is one of the main reasons the Republicans lost the war.

Franco's Nationalist air force's most infamous engagement was the April 1937 bombing of the Basque city of Guernica. Rather than having any particular military value this atrocity was really an opportunity for Hitler to test out the fancy new weapons he'd developed. Chief amongst these was the Junkers Ju 87 "Stuka" dive bomber.

Amid the insignia of the Nationalist airforce the way that the grey Dodge Challenger dove down a hill into pedestrians in Charlottesville certainly had an air of a Stuka dive bomber about it.

As a result the imagery of the weekend's events seemed to serve as a coded message - "Dog Whistle" is apparently the fashionable term - to Erdogan from the US branch of the Muslim Brotherhood aka The Democrat Party. The message was to go ahead with his invasion plans because they would keep President Trump pinned down with this crap.

By Sunday (13/8/17) Erdogan had certainly been emboldened.

In the evening the Turkish military artillery Erdogan had stationed on the Turkish side of the border in perpetration for the Euphrates Sword operation significantly intensified its shelling of Afrin Canton. This included shelling the of the Rubar camp for Internally Displaced Peoples (IDP's)/Refugee Camp.

At around the same time it was claimed that a Turkish police officer was stabbed and killed by an ISIL member he was arresting. This allows Erdogan to falsely claim that Turkey is an enemy of ISIL and that he must take action to protect Turks from ISIL.

Finally there was the gun attack on the Aziz Istanbul Turkish restaurant in Ouagadougou - the capital of Burkina Faso. Lasting for more than eight hours this attack left 18 people dead and injured many others.

The attack has been blamed on Al Qaeda in the Islamic Maghreb (AQIM). This seems a reasonable assumption. Along with what has become the ISIL affiliate Boko Haram centred in Nigeria AQIM established what they called an Islamist Caliphate in northern Mali in 2012.

The victims of the attack include citizens of at least nine nations. However the death of a single Turk along with the very obvious references to Turkey will allow Erdogan to falsely claim that he is an enemy rather than an enemy of Al Qaeda.

It will also allow Erdogan to claim that he must take action to protect Turks by invading Afrin Canton and annexing the Sudetenland.

20:25 on 14/8/17 (UK date).





Sunday, 13 August 2017

Obama or Odinga?

This past week much of the political world's attention has been focused on the Presidential Election in Kenya. This was held on August 8th (8/8/17).

In 2007 the Kenyan election shocked the World when it descended into widespread violence that cost more than a thousand lives.

The reason for the violence is that Kenyan politics much like Kenyan society is still dominated by tribal allegiances.

One of Kenya's leading politicians is Uhuru Kenyatta who is a member of the Kikuyu tribe. This is Kenya's largest. Another leading politician is Raila Odinga who is a member of the Luo tribe. This is the fourth largest tribe in Kenya.

The 2007 election happened in the time before Twitter. Therefore I wasn't really aware of it until the violence broke out. However in response to the violence the United Nations (UN) ordered Kenyatta and Odinga to share power in the government of national unity. This meant that one of those men was granted power despite losing the election.

The 2013 election was one by Kenyatta by a narrow margin. This prompted Odinga to repeat his claims of electoral fraud. However the nation was still so shocked and under the international microscope following the violence of 2007 that Odinga's claims were largely ignored and there was no repeat of the unrest.

Knowing that tribal demographics alongside Kenyatta's successful first term placed him at a significant disadvantage Odinga's 2017 campaign has been centred around making allegations of fraud. Even before the campaign had started Odinga mounted a legal challenge to the contract to awarded to print the ballot papers claiming that it was part of a conspiracy to rig the vote.

I think Odinga's wildest claim was that the Kenyan army had established death squads to exterminate large numbers of Luo tribe prevent them from voting.

Roughly a week before the poll the head of IT with the Kenyan Electoral Commission Chris Msando was kidnapped and killed with his body being found several days later. This allowed Odinga to claim that Msando's login details had been used to change the electronic record of the results.

Of course is anything drawing attention to the issue with such a high profile killing would make it harder to change the electronic record. Msando's login details being used after everyone knew he'd be kidnapped would provide pretty clear and easy to detect evidence of wrongdoing.

The August 8th (8/8/17) election went on to be won by Kenyatta with 54.3% of the vote with Odinga coming second with 44.7% of the vote.

This result has been verified by multiple international observer bodies and is in line with what you would expect from Kenyatta's tribal advantage.

Unfortunately Odinga has refused to respect the election result. Instead he has called members of his Luo tribe to the streets to unleash violence that has left several dead. His intention seems to be to trigger a repeat of the 2007 violence in order to bully his way into power in a second government of national unity.

Although I respect the result of the Kenya election I can't say that I have much respect for the way that people voted in the way that they did.

For democracy to work you are supposed to take an unbiased look at all the candidates. You then choose which one to vote for because you think their platform and personality is in your best interests. Simply voting for someone because they are the same tribe as you is not true democracy.

Sadly Kenya's other famous political son Barack Obama clearly sees things differently. He used his two terms as US President to divide America into different tribes all dependent on his leadership.

These divisions have been done on the basis of race, religion and sexuality. On the issue of gender the male/female split was not divisive enough. Obama's liberal supporters now like to talk in terms of six or more genders. I know or have known people who are legitimately transgendered. However even I think people who describe themselves as; "Gender Fluid" need to have a word with themselves.

The objective of this political strategy is to cause conflict. After all the more conflict there is the easier it is for power mad politicians to tell the different tribes that they need them to protect them.

The racial division led by the Black Lives Matter movement has been particularly unpleasant. Not least because it has been extremely violent.

The city of Ferguson, Missouri alone has had to put up with hundred of days of violent disorder at the hands of Black Lives Matter. There is not a major city in the US that has escaped some level of violence under of the banner of Black Lives Matter. The group has also engaged in numerous incidents of out-and-out terrorism with police officers being gunned down in ambush attacks in New York City, Dallas and Baton Rouge.

The Black Lives Matter movement has been dominated by the Black Supremacist ideology of hate groups such as the totally un-Islamic Nation of Islam. They teach that the Black race is a master race and the white race - particularly Jews - are an inferior devil race.

The Black Lives Matter movement has even gone so far as to coin the term; "White Privilege" in order to demonise the white race and hold it responsible for all the wrongs of society. To give you some sense of how hateful that is imagine if violent crime was openly described as; "The Black Disease."

Unsurprisingly Black Lives Matter's attempts to demonise the white race has prompted a backlash. The June 17th 2015 (17/6/15) Charleston shooting really should have been a wake-up call to American liberals that they need to condemn Black Lives Matter as the hate group it is and abandon the Democrats politics of division.

Instead though they used the Charleston shooting to double down on their campaign. It was used to launch a separate campaign to remove reminders of the Confederate States in the US civil war from the public consciousness.

This of course is nothing more then the Democrats attempting to erase their racist past. After all the Civil War was fought between the anti-Slavery north led by the Republicans Abraham Lincoln and and pro-Slavery south led by the Democrat Jefferson Davis.

The Democrat controlled state of Virginia has embraced this campaign with open arms. They have since voted to remove all reminders of the state and the party's Confederate past. This includes a statue of Democrat General Robert E. Lee in the city of Charlottesville.

On Friday (11/8/17) groups led by frankly neo-Nazis gathered in Charlottesville to protest the removal of the statue. For them the Democrats hatred and bigotry has been a powerful recruiting tool.

This protest was challenged in the Courts. However it was ruled that it was protected under the First Amendment protection on free speech. After all peacefully protesting the removal of a statue is hardly the most extreme act.

The protest march on Friday (11/8/17) passed off completely peacefully without anyone paying it much attention. The best response to people who are seeking attention.

The problem though arose in Charlottesville's Democrat Mayor Mike Signer. He called for people to descend on the city to oppose the march. At best this was done in contempt of the Court's ruling. At worst it was a deliberate attempt to use violence to deny civil rights to those who hold a different political opinion to him.

The call for protesters to oppose the march was certainly not done to protect the citizens of Charlottesville from any violence the marchers may have committed. After all the city has a police force for the that with a state police force and national guard in reserve.

Instead it was done to provoke a confrontation. That confrontation could then be used to exert pressure on President Trump - the bogeyman that America's new found tribes apparently Democrats to protect them from.

Mayor Signer though was disappointed though with Saturday's (12/8/17) events passing off relatively peacefully.

To put them in some sort of perspective at roughly the same time in the UK there was disorder between fans at a football match. That certainly didn't require round-the-clock cable news coverage.

President Trump also swiftly condemned the violence being carried out by all parties. That seemed a fair statement because watching the footage even I struggled to work out the political affiliations of each masked, club wielding hooligan.

As the day's events seemed to be winding down a car ploughed into a group of the protesters that Mayor Singer had called to the streets. This resulted in the death of one person and injured around 30 more.

With those familiar with riot control this is something of a nightmare scenario. If as an incident of disorder is winding down rumours start of a member of one of the groups being injured by the other the thirst for revenge can re-energise the rioters leading to worse violence as the night progresses.

This effect is so well known that the British police are trained extensively in just this situation. The two training scenarios they're typically given is either someone being stabbed or someone being hit by a car.

The driver of the car has since been formally identified as James Alex Fields Jr. However through his vehicle registration he was almost immediately identified informally.

The people making that identification also quickly found his Facebook page full of support for 2016 Democrat candidate Bernie Sanders. The delay in Charlottesville officials announcing his identity coincided with the period it took for that Facebook page to be removed.

Virginia of course was scene to the June 14th 2017 (14/6/17) Congressional Baseball shooting. That was carried out by James Hodgkinson. Another Bernie Sanders supporter.

In response to the events in Charlottesville the US Department of Justice has opened a civil rights investigation. This would appear to put Mayor Signer in an extremely difficult position.

The protest against the removal of the statue has already gone through the Courts and found to be protected as a civil right. The gathering of Signer's protesters had already been declared illegal by the police and therefore was not protected as a result. Therefore the only civil rights issue that seems applicable is Mayor Signers attempts to defy the Court ruling and illegally gather protesters.

So it seems that once again America finds itself at a watershed.

The Democrats can either recommit to their politics of hate and division. Or they can reject it and come out in condemnation of Mayor Signer's actions.

Meanwhile Obama's former Secretary of State John Kerry has been tasked with monitoring the Kenyan election. This is an old UN trick.

They take someone whose behaviour has given cause for alarm and put them in charge of a situation remarkably similar to their own alarming behaviour. They are then asked if they can identify any lessons that need to be learned.

16:55 on 13/8/17 (UK date).




Wednesday, 9 August 2017

So. Korea.



Of late there has been some dispute over the Korean Peninsula.


In 1910 the Peninsula was invaded and occupied as part of the Japanese Empire.


In 1941 Imperial Japan joined the Second World War on the side of the Axis Powers of Nazi Germany and fascist Italy and Spain. 

In 1945 the Axis Powers were defeated with the Soviet Union liberating the northern part of the Korean Peninsula while the US liberated to the southern part.


As within Europe this triggered a dispute over how the newly liberated areas would be run. Under Communism or Capitalism. 

This led to the creation of two nations - the Communist Democratic People's Republic of Korea (DPRK/North) and the Capitalist Republic of Korea (RoK/South). The nations were divided along the 38 North line of latitude.


Also in 1945 the DPRK's immediate neighbour to the north China underwent its own Communist revolution. The addition of such a large and powerful ally led the DPRK and the Soviet Union to believe that they could invade the RoK and unite the Korean Peninsula under Communism.


On June 25th 1950 (29/6/50) the DPRK with Russian and Chinese support launched their invasion of the RoK. This prompted the United Nations (UN) to deploy an international force to repel the invasion from the RoK. This triggered the Korean War.


Although at various points both sides came within sight of victory by July 1953 the Korean War had reached a stalemate with neither side able to advance much beyond the 38th Parallel. This led to an armistice agreement being signed on July 27th 1953 (27/7/53).


However this armistice merely meant that the fighting stopped. The war however continued with both the DPRK and the RoK sending each other aggressive and passive aggressive coded messages on an almost daily basis.


The nearest thing I can think to compare this situation to is the US popstar Beyonce.


In February 2017 Beyonce announced that she was pregnant. Shortly afterwards she posted a photograph on Instagram in which she wore the earrings she had worn in the video for her 2008 single; "If I Were a Boy." This sent Beyonce fans into a frenzy of speculation that she was using a secret code to indicate that she was pregnant with a boy.


On Tuesday (8/8/17) the Washington Post (WaPo) newspaper in the US ran a story declaring that the DPRK had built a nuclear warhead that could fit onto an Inter Continental Ballistic Missile (ICBM). This would give the DPRK the capability to deliver a nuclear missile into the continental US.


The WaPo story isn't actually particularly news worthy. It seems to have been published to ambush US President Trump at a press conference he was giving on the US Opioid crisis a few hours after the story appeared. 

In part President Trump called the press conference to show that he was working through his holiday. During the campaign Trump had criticised former President Obama for his long holidays.


In illustrating the story the US Fox News network used a stock photo of DPRK leader Kim Jong-Un sitting at a desk inspecting a metal object. That object is a nuclear re-entry vehicle. It is used to mount a nuclear warhead to a ICBM and protect it during re-entry from the Earth's atmosphere during an attack.


That photograph was first released by the DPRK on March 15th 2016 (15/3/16). So you can probably see why I'm not overwhelmed by WaPo discovering the DPRK can mount nuclear warheads to ICBM's some 18 months after that became common and public knowledge.


At the time the photograph was first released there was the usual speculation over whether the object was a functioning nuclear re-entry vehicle or simply a mock-up. There was also speculation over whether it was built for the Atom Bomb (A-Bomb) that the DPRK successfully tested on October 9th 2006 (9/10/06) or the much more powerful Hydrogen Bomb (H-Bomb) the DPRK tested on January 6th 2016 (6/1/16).


However the nuclear physics and rocket science were actually the easy part in analysing the photograph. 

The complex part was deciding whether the angle at which the re-entry vehicle had been placed on the table corresponded with the positioning of maps on the walls and books on the bookcases to reveal the GPS coordinates of a specific location. I think the shared Kaesong industrial centre.


In responding to the release of this one photograph the RoK had to identify, break and confirm any potential code. They then had to consider all the other coded messages that have been exchanged between the two nations before crafting a message to send back.


So the Korea dispute is extremely complicated. Simply getting up to speed on all the back and forth that has taken place over the last 67 years is a mammoth task.


However a key sequence in the Korea dispute occurred between September 1950 and April 1951.


On September 15th 1950 (15/9/51) the US conducted a spectacular amphibious assault on the city on Inchon which sits just south of the 38th Parallel. This prompted China to formally enter the war in support of the DPRK sending hundreds of thousands pouring into the Korean Peninsula.


Throughout the conflict US President Truman had used the threat of nuclear war to blackmail the DPRK, Russia and China. This involved the US stationing a fleet of B-29 bombers at the Andersen Air Force Base in Guam equipped with nuclear bombs. However the bombs were not equipped with detonators.


In April 1951 in response to the advancing Chinese troops President Truman increased the number of nuclear bombs. He also dispatched the B-29's loaded with these nuclear bombs to fly over the DPRK and China. They most certainly did not know the bombs were not equipped with detonators.


President Truman's message was simple; Either China withdrew its troops from the DPRK or the US would use nuclear weapons to destroy both the DPRK and China.


This threat was made just six years after the US had used nuclear bombs against Japan. 

So the destructive power of nuclear war was not some abstract piece of distant history. Instead it was very much a current event with scientists continuing to learn about the damaging effects of radioactive fallout. It also occurred at a time when the US was the only nuclear armed nations


Truman's threat left China with little option. In October 1951 they withdrew their forces from the DPRK leaving the DPRK unable to secure victory over the RoK leading to the 1953 armistice.


The DPRK learned two lessons for this sequence of events.


The first was that the only way to ensure survival in the face of US aggression was to obtain nuclear weapons. As a result they wrote the obtaining of nuclear weapons into their national constitution. It remains a core principle of their statehood.


The second lesson the DPRK learned is that they cannot rely on the Chinese as an ally.


The DPRK's strained alliance with China worsened when Kim Jong-Un took power in 2016.


In the west politicians and the media like to dismiss Kim Jong-Un as a madman and make fun over him over his appearance. This is both extremely lazy and frankly a bit racist.


Far from being some sort of Hermit King Kim Jong-Un actually spent much of his early life in Switzerland which is firmly part of western Europe. There he got to see firsthand how much better life is in the capitalist west and comparatively strange life is in the DPRK. For example Kim Jong-Un's grandfather Kim Ill-Sung remains President of the DPRK despite dying in 1994.


I wouldn't go so far to say that Kim Jong-Un wants to embrace Capitalism or abandon the DPRK as a nation in favour of a unified Korea. However he is certainly keen to open up the DPRK to the rest of the World and modernise the country.


This is evidenced by his so-called Basketball Diplomacy. A major Basketball fan since his youth Kim Jong-Un has invited the US Basketball star Dennis Rodman to the country on numerous occasions along with big US tech firms like Google and Facebook. Both things that would have been unthinkable under his father Kim Jong-Ill.


Kim Jong Un has also shown an interest in opening the DPRK up to tourism. Not just traditional Chinese tourists but visitors from western nations. Obviously though that effort has been set back recently with the death of US citizen Otto Warmbier and the US banning its citizens from the DPRK in response.


However if tourists do visit the DPRK capital Pyongyang they will not find a city totally trapped in a 1950's Communist timewarp. Instead they're likely to find modern coffee shops with Wi-Fi connections to a heavily censored form of the Internet. A significant step forward from the nation specific Intranet Kim Jong-Ill established.


Kim Jong-Un has even done a deal with Britain's BBC to allow modern TV Shows such as Doctor Who to be broadcast in the DPRK. That grants citizens unprecedented glimpses of the world outside.


Perhaps most telling of all the DPRK has dramatically scaled back the coded photo messages in favour of more typical forms of communication.


On Tuesday (8/8/17) the DPRK responded to the WaPo story by announcing it was examining the possibility of attacking Andersen Air Force Base in Guam. Although still hostile this announcement was made in the form of a relatively normal press release that was covered on TV by the DPRK's state news broadcaster.


Despite how the US media is choosing to report it the DPRK’s announcement on Guam came before President Trump’s comments at the press conference. However they occurred after the WaPo story.


As for President Trump’s fire and fury comments the World Athletic Championships are currently taking place in London, UK. Using Norovirus as a metaphor the main topic of conversation is whether the UK Labour Party will be brought to justice over its arson attack on Grenfell Tower.


In his attempts to open the DPRK up to the world Kim Jong-Un seems to view the nation's longstanding alliance with still very authoritarian China as something of a hindrance.


The deterioration in the alliance between the DPRK and China has also coincided with Obama’s “Pivot Towards the Pacific” policy. This policy’s seemingly sole objective was to contain and isolate China within the Asia-Pacific region. It had two main tracks.


The first of these is the economic track. The idea being to open up some of the highly questionable regimes in the region up to trade with the US. The intention being to drive down wages within China increasing social unrest. Since Tiananmen Square China has maintained a pact with its people; Constant economic growth in return for a lack of freedom.


The second track is security. This involves building the DPRK up into a regional bogeyman which the US then offers to protect nations from. This takes them out of China’s sphere of influence and into America’s.


The most stark example of the security track at work is the deployment of the Terminal High Altitude Area Defence (THAAD) anti-missile system to the RoK. As the name suggests THAAD operates against high altitude missiles meaning it is next to useless against missiles being fired from the DPRK on the RoK which will be at low altitude. However THAAD does feature a long range radar system which allows the US to stare deep into China.


Due to the historical tensions with China and Kim Jong-Un’s own aspirations the DPRK has been happy to play the role of the US bogeyman.


There are strong rumours that Obama actually supplied the DPRK with missile control software. However a kill switch was included in the software allowing the US to destroy missiles at launch. This is borne out by the high number of failed missile launches that the DPRK experienced in 2016.


The problem is though that the DPRK would always be able to reverse engineer the Obama supplied software to remove the kill switch. This is something they seem to have done in the early part of 2017 allowing them to vastly increase their successful missile launches over the last six months or so.


That is the mess that President Trump inherited from Obama. It is also why the RoK were extremely opposed to Hillary Clinton replacing Obama.


Tomorrow I will look at Trump’s progress in helping take the region back from the brink. After all the weather today has been inspiring. It inspires you to find somewhere warm and dry and curl up there.

19:25 on 9/8/17 (UK date).

Edited at around 15:55 on 10/8/17 (UK date) to add;

Upon taking office President Trump almost immediately set about dismantling the economic track of Obama's Pivot Towards the Pacific policy. I think this is more commonly known as the Trans Pacific Partnership (TPP) which Trump scrapped on January 23rd 2017 (23/1/17).

President Trump was elected on an anti-globalisation platform. Although I endorsed him for President I am actually broadly supportive of the principles of globalisation. After all I couldn't really spend all this time on global environmental issues without noticing that many manmade, political borders are arbitrary and rather meaningless.

The problem is that globalisation assumes a World where all nations enjoy more or less the same level of economic wealth. This is simply not reality. Instead we live in a World where there are extremely rich nations and extremely poor nations. Therefore before globalisation can be truly achieved there needs to be a rebalancing with wealth flowing from the rich nations to the poor nations to achieve a sort of equilibrium.

This means that so far all people in many rich nations like the US have seen of globalisation is the negative. Their jobs being taken away to be given to people in poorer nations like China.

However as those jobs have gone to China the Chinese have become richer with wages increasing. This narrowing of the wage gap means that it is almost cancelled out by the cost of transporting goods all the way from manufacture in China to market in the US. As a result many corporations are starting to consider moving manufacturing jobs back to the US.

A prime example of this is Foxconn. This Chinese/Taiwanese electronics manufacturer famous for the Apple iPhone recently announced plans to open a plant in Wisconsin, US. That is very much the globalisation model. You have a plant in China to supply the Asian market, a plant in the US to supply the Americas markets and then another plant in, let's say Kenya to supply the African and European market.

Through the TPP Obama was trying to open up China's neighbours to trade to create a low wage alternative to China. This undermines China's economic growth threatening the nation with Tiananmen Square levels of unrest. It also prevents jobs like those at Foxconn being returned to the US.

So by scrapping the TPP President Trump has relieved the mass of pressure on China and relieved the pressure on American workers. In short it's a good deal for everyone.

On dismantling the security track President Trump has made less progress.

Just on Saturday (5/8/17) the UN Security Council (UNSC) unanimously passed US authored sanctions on the DPRK's exports. These sanctions are expected to cost the DPRK economy USD1bn per year. Or roughly a third of the DPRK's 3bn total economy. This has potential.

The DPRK is pursuing nuclear weapons for purely defensive purposes. The intention being to deter the US and the RoK from launching a war that will destroy the DPRK. These new sanctions have the potential to show the DPRK that rather than protecting them nuclear weapons could well be the thing that destroys them. After all you can't really force someone to trade with you by nuking them.

However sanctions were a big part of Obama's playbook against China. They were his reward for encouraging the DPRK to behave ever more aggressively.

China shares a long land border with the DPRK and is one of its main trade and political partners. The US has no land border and no real trade or political ties with the DPRK.

So the US imposing sanctions on the DPRK has little to no impact on it or its allies. However if China imposes sanctions they will in this case cost their economy around USD1bn in trade and damage the relationship with their ally. If they don't impose sanctions they risk jeopardising their trade and political relationships with everyone else in the region.  

President Trump also risks falling into Obama's pattern of using military threats to force the DPRK to respond allowing the US to increase its pressure on China through the sanctions issue.

At his meeting in April 2017 with Chinese Premier Xi Jinping President Trump announced that he was sending an aircraft carrier group to the Korean Peninsula. This obviously threatens the DPRK with military action against it. However with the carrier group actually heading in the opposite direction the true purpose of the move was to put pressure on China to see if they could track the carrier group's movements.

On July 30th (30/7/17) the US flew potentially nuclear armed B-1 bombers over the Korean Peninsula from Andersen Air Force base in Guam. They repeated this on Monday (7/8/17).

These flights were intended to recreate President Truman's nuclear blackmail of 1951. This is what made the DPRK decide that they really needed nuclear weapons. The US constantly restating the threat is not going to convince the DPRK that they don't need a nuclear deterrent against US aggression.

Last night the DPRK gave more details on its examination of the possibility for an attack on Guam. 

Despite how the US media has chosen to cover it the DPRK did not threaten to attack Guam. Instead they said they had drawn up a plan to land four missiles around into the sea around 70km (40 miles) from Guam. The people of Guam would not notice this.

The DPRK's announcement was made in the more conventional way of a press statement which was reported by the state news agency. The announcement gave extremely precise details about the type of missiles to be used, where they'd be launched from, their trajectory and where they would land. It even gave the speed the missiles would be travelling at.

On July 28th (28/7/17) the DPRK test fired an ICBM which landed in Japan's territorial waters. Because the DPRK failed to tell anyone that they were testing this missile it came within about 10 minutes of hitting an Air France civilian passenger jet.

When you're talking about speeds in excess of 3km per minute 10 minutes is actually a really long time. However if Malaysia Airlines Flight MH17 has taught us anything it's that accidentally shooting down a civilian aircraft can quickly send a tense situation spiralling out of control.

The DPRK statement said that Kim Jong-Un would make a decision on whether to put the plan into action in "mid-August." This seems to be a reference to the current discussion over whether the UK Labour Party will be brought to justice for their arson attack on the Grenfell Tower.

Immediately after the fire at Grenfell Tower the Labour Party led by London Mayor Sadiq Khan demanded a public inquiry. However having made some wild claims the Labour Party is now extremely opposed to that inquiry looking in any level of detail at how the fire started and spread.

Instead the Labour Party want the inquiry to focus entirely on social housing policy in the UK. In short they want to turn it into a piece of political propaganda they can use to rage against the government.

On August 4th (4/8/17) the consultation period over the inquiry closed. It is expected that by tomorrow (11/8/17) the head of the inquiry will write to UK Prime Minister Theresa May recommending a two part inquiry. The first part looking at the cause and spread of the fire. The second looking at social housing policy. A week after that letter is set Prime Minister May will set the terms of the inquiry.

Whatever Prime Minister May decides in mid-August if a day or two after the inquiry begins documents were made public detailing the Labour Party's arson conspiracy the inquiry would certainly find itself embarrassed.

Also while the US media seem intent on provoking a crisis in Korea the World is potentially on the verge of an actual crisis in Syria.

As the Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF/QSD) come ever closer to defeating the Islamic State of Iraq and the Levant (ISIL) Turkish President/Prime Minister/Emperor Recep Tayyip Erdogan is becoming ever more keen to invade Syria in support of ISIL.

There has been speculation that Erdogan will invade the SDF's Afrin Canton on the anniversary of his invasion of the Garvaghy Road area - August 24th 2016 (24/8/16). This occurred just after the Summer Olympics and just before the Summer Para-Olympics both held in Brazil.

In early 2018 the RoK will host the Winter Olympics. Reflecting Kim Jong-Un's openness there was some talk recently of the RoK and the DPRK jointly hosting the games. However this has recently been shelved because logistically it takes more than a year to prepare games venues

Being a significant part of the Grenfell Tower discussion the UK actually came up with a quick and rather good response to the DPRK's announcement last night. A bus crashed in the Clapham area of London.

Specifically it was a number 77 bus. This route originates in Sadiq Khan's old Parliamentary constituency of Tooting. It terminates at Waterloo railway station. This is named in honour of Britain's victory over Napoleon's France in 1815. It has become a byword for crushing defeat. 

On its way route 77 passes through Amen Corner, Burntwood Lane, ISIS Street and Iman Road to name but a few.

One of Mayor Khan's policy has been to introduce the "hopper" bus fare. This allows passengers to take two rides for the price of one. The same deal the Labour Party seem to want from the Grenfell Tower inquiry.

In promoting the hopper fare the Mayor's office spent taxpayers money taking out adverts on buses and billboards. Rather than simply announcing that the Mayor's office had introduced the fare system these adverts made clear to Londoners it was being brought to them by; "Mayor Sadiq Khan."

In short Sadiq Khan's been using taxpayers money to turn every bus in London into a Labour Party campaign bus. Something that is very clearly forbidden by UK election law.

Just to annoy everyone at around 17:25 on 10/8/17 (UK date) I'll be back after dinner to finish and tidy this up.

Edited again at around 19:00 on 10/8/17 (UK date) to add;

The bus' fleet identification code which is clearly painted on the top of the vehicle is GAG BLV288.

One of the most pernicious lies the Labour Party told in the wake of the Grenfell Tower fire was that a voluntary gag-order known as a D-Notice had been issued to prevent the media from reporting the death toll. 

This was simply untrue. Thirty of the victims of the 1988 Piper Alpha fire were never recovered. To this day 40% of the victims of the September 11th attacks have still not been identified.

"Gag" is also a slang term for "Joke." 

On February 13th 2017 (13/2/17) Kim Jong-Un's half-brother Kim Jong-Nam was poisoned and killed at an airport in the Islamist Kingdom of Malaysia. One of the women accused on administering the poison was wearing a top with "LOL" emblazoned on it.

Traditionally LOL has been an acronym meaning "Lots Of Love." However in the Internet age it has come to mean; "Laugh Out Loud"  - the sort of thing you'd do in response to a good gag.

The Malaysians claim Kim Jong-Nam was poisoned with the nerve agent VX. Given the potency of VX and the fact the untrained women who supposedly handled it are still alive casts significant doubt on that claim.

Instead the VX element of the story seemed intended to signal support to Erdogan for the chemical weapons attack he launched in Khan Sheikhoun in Syria on April 4th (4/4/17) using a Sarin-like nerve agent. 

That attack and the misguided US missile strikes it triggered were timed to coincide with Premier Xi's meeting with President Trump.

The two women accused of poisoning Kim Jong-Nam continue to languish in Malaysian prisons. The bus crash featured two women being trapped and then heroically rescued.

I suspect the remaining Cold War warriors are still trying to work out the significance of; "BLV288."   

19:40 on 10/8/17 (UK date).