Sunday 29 November 2015

COP21: ADP Text 28/11/15 Revision.

On Monday (30/11/15) the 21st Conference of Parties (COP21) to the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) opens in Paris, France.

Its scheduled close on December 11th (11/12/15) it is expected to see the signing of a global agreement to tackle climate change which will replace the Kyoto Protocol.

Back at 2014's COP20 the UNFCCC Secretariat introduced a draft negotiating text. This went through various revisions with the most recent occurring on June 11th 2015 (11/6/15).

Then at the UNFCCC's October 2015 meeting an entirely new text was introduced. As I said at the time this October text is wholly insufficient as the basis for a climate change agreement.

Therefore I have been continuing to work through the 11/6/15 revision in an effort to develop it into a durable agreement. Back on November 7th (7/11/15) I said that I wouldn't even be attempting the vital section dealing with finance because if I couldn't turn up to COP21 100% ready the hope was that I could at least turn up 90% ready.

The truth is that I'm currently still only 70% ready and I'd really hoped to have been able to to this last Sunday (22/11/15).

However my version of the text can be downloaded here; http://s000.tinyupload.com/?file_id=47687243978332120607

It now includes 14 sections labelled A to N. I have numbered the paragraphs in each section independently of each other so you would refer to Paragraph A.9 or Paragraph F.6.

The reasoning behind my decisions can be found here;

  • http://watchitdie.blogspot.co.uk/2015/07/adp-text-11615-revision-section-a.html
  • http://watchitdie.blogspot.co.uk/2015/07/adp-text-11615-revision-section-c.html
  • http://watchitdie.blogspot.co.uk/2015/07/adp-text-11615-revision-section-d.html
  • http://watchitdie.blogspot.co.uk/2015/07/adp-mitigation-section-general-thoughts.html
  • http://watchitdie.blogspot.co.uk/2015/07/adp-text-11615-revision-section-d_22.html
  • http://watchitdie.blogspot.co.uk/2015/09/adp-text-11615-revision-section-e.html
  • http://watchitdie.blogspot.co.uk/2015/09/adp-text-11615-revision-section-e-loss.html
  • http://watchitdie.blogspot.co.uk/2015/09/adp-ex-ante-review-general-concepts.html
  • http://watchitdie.blogspot.co.uk/2015/10/adp-ex-ante-review-my-thoughts.html
  • http://watchitdie.blogspot.co.uk/2015/11/adp-text-11615-revision-section-g.html
  • http://watchitdie.blogspot.co.uk/2015/11/adp-11615-text-revision-section-h.html
  • http://watchitdie.blogspot.co.uk/2015/11/adp-text-11615-revision-section-i.html
  • http://watchitdie.blogspot.co.uk/2015/11/adp-text-11615-revision-section-i_10.html
  • http://watchitdie.blogspot.co.uk/2015/11/adp-text-11615-revision-section-j-time.html
  • http://watchitdie.blogspot.co.uk/2015/11/adp-text-11615-revision-section-o-peer.html
  • http://watchitdie.blogspot.co.uk/2015/11/adp-compliance-my-thoughts.html 
  • http://watchitdie.blogspot.co.uk/2015/11/adp-text-11615-revision-section-k.html
Based on a quick skim read I think that the "Definitions" and the "Procedural & Institutional Provisions" sections of the October Text are broadly sufficient to served the above text. However because I have not had time to go through them word-by-word I have not included them above.

For my own peace of mind if nothing else I would like to go through the finance section. Therefore I may produce a more complete text as COP21 progresses.

However now that the day is upon us I suspect I'm really going to have to play things by ear.

For example there are now lots of urgent security issues regarding the fight against the Islamic State of Iraq and the Levant (ISIL) and Islamist terrorism in general that simply cannot be ignored any longer. If for no other reason the to keep a wall of separation between those discussions and the COP21 negotiations I may have to concentrate on them entirely.

I should though remind everyone that the agreement being negotiated is not scheduled to come into force until 2020. The way it is written above the first immovable deadline in the start of the ex ante review process in June 2018.

Therefore it would be better to wait until COP22 in 2016 to sign the right deal rather then rushing to sign a bad deal now.

The first person to use the phrase;

"We Must Sign Something!, Anything! To Show The Terrorists That We Are Not Afraid!! 

Gets a slap.

16:40 on 29/11/15


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