Tuesday 16 July 2013

Egypt's Continuing Revolution: Month 13, Week 3, Day 7.

Yesterday (15/7/13) the Muslim Brotherhood held their largest day of protest since their "Day of Rejection" on July 5th (5/7/13) sparked nationwide violence that left a minimum of 36 people dead. The Brotherhood's plan was to bring over 1 million protesters to the streets of Cairo in order to shut down traffic across the city and attack the Embassies of nations who they accuse of supporting the ouster of Mohamed Morsi.

Fortunately the Brotherhood were only able to muster a maximum of 250,000 protesters but were able to block the October 6th bridge and Ramses Square which is one of Cairo's busiest road junctions. There were also static protests in Nasr city and Giza which is a south-western suburb of Cairo. The army and the police obviously moved into clear the October 6th bridge and the streets around Ramses Square leading to clashes in which tear gas was fired and two people were killed. In Giza more serious clashes broke out between Morsi supporters, revolutionaries and the security forces in which seven people were killed. Over all the night of violence left 7 dead, 250 injured and 400 people arrested.

In response to the violence the Tamarod movement has announced its intention to disband because it sees the time for street protests to be over so the political process can take over. Perhaps more importantly the Al-Azhar Mosque - Egypt's most powerful - has issued a statement prohibiting Muslims from attacking members of the Egyptian military and police. Hopefully the Muslim Brotherhood will heed this call because their actions now represent a clear threat to the safety and security of the Egyptian nation so will be met with a swift and strong response from the military should they continue.

Nowhere is the disruption that the Brotherhood's continuing protests are having on Egyptian society then in the announcement Sunday (14/7/13) that the nation's football premier league season is to be cancelled. This makes me a little nervous because I would much prefer to see the Ultras going to football matches rather then protesting against military rule in Tahrir Square as they did after the fall of Mubarak. Unfortunately though I don't see any other solution because the Interior Ministry simply don't have the resources to police the Muslim Brotherhood protests and football matches. In fact they barely have the resources to police the Brotherhood's protests.

The most serious threat to Egypt's security and stability though continues to come from the Sinai region where serious armed attacks take place on often a more than daily basis. Between July 5th (5/7/13) and July 12th (12/7/13) there were 27 separate attacks that left 12 people dead including 1 Coptic Christian who was beheaded seemingly simply for being a Christian. On Sunday (14/7/13) 3 people were killed and 16 injured when Islamists fired a Rocket Propelled Grenade (RPG) at a police patrol but missed hitting a bus carrying cement factory workers back to Al-Arish. On the same day 1 adult and 1 child were killed when Islamist gunmen opened fire on a police station that was under construction again near Al-Arish. Today there was another gun attack on a police station in Sheikh Zuwayed although no casualties have been reported. Faced with this level of violence the Egyptian military have been fighting back hard. Since operations began around July 6th (6/7/13) they have reportedly killed 37 militants. On Monday (15/7/13) they captured and destroyed 23 smugglers undergound fuel tanks and today intercepted a shipment of Grad rockets and other military equipment on route from Suez to Cairo.

Things have got so bad that today Israel gave the Egyptian military permission to deploy to full battalions of troops to Sinai to tackle the militants head on. Although I fully appreciate that militants in the Sinai need to be smashed this worries me. That's because I understand that a lot of the work the smugglers who are linked to the Islamist terrorists do involves helping break the Israeli blockade of Gaza. Therefore by provoking the Egyptian military into a confrontation the Islamists are running the risk that the smuggling routes that support the people of Gaza will also be dismantled. This is no doubt one of the reasons why Israel is so keen to allow Egyptian troops into the Sinai.

Elsewhere the government in Turkey have once again decried Morsi's ouster as a military coup and said that it still considers Morsi to be Egypt's President. Therefore I should explain that Turkey is a nation with a long history of a secular military overthrowing Islamist governments. With Turkey's current Islamist government coming under increasing domestic pressure over things like Gezi Park it is obviously going to object loudly to any secular military overthrowing an Islamist government anywhere in the world.

On the domestic political level while I've been writing this interim President Mansour has just unveiled his interim government of national unity However details are yet to emerge so I will have to take a while to compare it to the rumours I've been hearing and give a fuller reaction later.

17:30 16/7/13.

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