Thursday 21 January 2016

COP21 Terrorism Update #18.

On December 12th 2015 (12/12/15) the 21st Conference of Parties (COP21) to the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) produced a draft of a global agreement that would prevent meaningful action being taken to combat climate change either now or at any point in the future.

As a result the fossil fuel rich Gulf States led by Saudi Arabia have been using Islamic inspired terrorism to intimidate nations into ratifying the draft. It requires 55 nations to do this or the draft is scrapped without coming into force.

This past weekend (16-17/1/16) saw the 6th Assembly of the International Renewable Energy Agency (IRENA) in Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates (UAE). This was the first meeting bringing UNFCCC delegates together since COP21.

It was of course accompanied by Islamic inspired terror attacks in Jakarta, Indonesia and Ouagadougou, Burkina Faso. It was also accompanied by an attack on Kenyan troops in Somalia.

This week sees the annual World Economic Forum (WEF) take place in Davos, Switzerland. This gathers together political and business leaders from across the World along with other decision makers for an informal exchange of ideas. It is the type of event where everybody brings with them their own agenda.

However the UNFCCC has been very keen for the issue of climate change to be one of the main topics of discussion. After all with the COP21 draft effectively forbidding national governments from taking action it is now solely up to the private sector to solve the problem of climate change.

The WEF opened to the news of yet another Islamic inspired terror attack. This time in Pakistan. Yesterday terrorists forced their way into the Bacha Khan University in Pakistan's north-western Khyber Pakhtunkhwa province. They proceeded to murder 22 people.

Pakistan is of course a majority Muslim nation. However it is not an Arab nation. So much like Indonesia Saudi Arabia cannot automatically count its support.

In fact Pakistan was one of the first nations to express concerns about the COP21 draft with a December 13th (13/12/15) suicide bombing at a clothing market in Parachinar.

Pakistan is of course no stranger to this climate related Saudi aggression. On December 16th 2014 (16/12/14) it was subjected to the worst terror attack in its history when Islamic inspired terrorists attacked a school on a military base in Peshawar killing 141 people including 132 children.

This was considered a threat to the entire UNFCCC community that had just concluded the COP20 Summit on a similar military base in Lima, Peru.

The attack on the Bacha Khan University of course mimicked the Peshawar attack. It also mimicked the April 2nd 2015 (2/4/15) attack on Kenya's Garissa University in which 148 people were murdered. Sitting just across the Red Sea from Saudi Arabia east African nations such as Kenya have borne the brunt of Saudi Arabia's climate related aggression.

In the 12th instalment of this series I pointed out how in 2015 Islamic inspired terrorism had killed 219 people in Pakistan while climate change had killed over 1000. As such climate change is five times a bigger threat to Pakistanis than terrorism. My point being that it would be completely irrational for Pakistan to prevent action on climate change to protect itself from Islamic inspired terrorism.

Saudi Arabia seems to have taken this as a challenge. After all if the number of Pakistanis killed in terror attacks increases that statistic could shift a little in 2016. Mind with 2015 being the hottest year on record and 2016 predicted to be even hotter it's likely the increase in both will cancel each other out.

The reaction administration of US President Barack Obama to the Bacha Khan attack was just as childish as its response to the Indonesian and Burkina Faso attacks. While the Bacha Khan attack was taking place the US State Department issued yet another statement threatening the Burundian government.

This again stated the Obama administration's intention to piggy-back on Saudi Arabia's aggression in the hope of getting the COP21 draft ratified so Obama can claim it as part of his grand legacy.

The response for the wider US though has been rather more interesting.

Their big contribution to the post-COP21 debate has been the ongoing protests at the Malheur National Wildlife Refuge in Oregon. Following the Bacha Khan attack Oregon Governor Kate Brown demanded that the Obama administration take action to end the stand-off which she branded a; "Spectacle of Lawlessness."

Although I'm not sure if Ms Brown as a Democrat was aware why her frustration has suddenly boiled over this was a reference to the fact that Saudi Arabia has until April 2017 to gain the 55 votes of ratification it wants.

Unless the international community steps in before then to revoke the COP21 draft and end the stand-off Saudi Arabia are likely to murder a lot of people between now and April 2017.

Plus if we wait until COP23 at the end of 2017 to resume work on a functioning agreement it's going to be a challenge to have it ready in time to go into force by 2020.

17:15 on 21/1/16 (UK date). 

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