Friday 24 June 2016

The Cox That Lost It.

As I rub the sleep from my eyes I discover that the UK has indeed voted to the Leave the European Union (EU).

This entire referendum really has its roots in the May 2010 Coup d 'etat. Emboldened by that success the British Monarchy got it into its head that all it needed to do was threaten to leave the EU and the EU would throw itself at Britain's feet essentially turning the EU into an extension of the British Empire.

However by the time Britain's bluff had finally been called and it was forced to hold a referendum the Monarchy dramatically changed its position.

The problem is that by that point it had already stoked the fires of Leave for too long and they were starting to burn out of control. At the same time Britain's political classes had become so utterly self-absorbed and detached for reality that no-one believed anything they said. This became a particularly urgent problem when the deeply unpopular Labour Party threw its weight behind the Remain campaign.

With the Leave campaign surging into a double digit poll lead last week dramatic action had to be taken to rescue the situation. This occurred in the form of the lawful killing of the Labour MP Jo Cox on June 16th (16/6/16). As I explained at the time this was done essentially to end the referendum campaign a week early. It was particularly intended to stop the Labour Party campaigning for Remain by exposing Jo Cox and their links to radical Islamist terrorism.

The problem is that the Labour Party immediately went on the defensive heaping pressure on the police investigating the case to cover up their links to terrorism by charging Cox's killer with murder. The police crumbled under that pressure and an unsustainable murder charge was filed.

If anything this re-energised the Labour Remain camp who disregarded the suspension on campaigning to start campaigning even harder. They even held an obnoxiously self-indulgent memorial event to Jo Cox on Wednesday (21/6/1/6) - the day before the vote. This was so offensive and easy to troll that even I pulled my punches.

So it appears that while the Jo Cox killing did damage the Leave campaign and break its momentum it didn't do enough damage to the Remain campaign. In fact their instinct to try and exploit it probably only ended up helping the Leave camp.

As a result Leave have won with 51.9% of the vote versus Remain's 48.1% based on a 72% voter turnout.

In terms of what this means now I genuinely can't tell you.

Scotland may decide to hold another independence referendum and try to join the EU as a new nation. Or it may not. Likewise Northern Ireland may vote to leave the UK and re-join the EU as part of a united Irish Republic. Or again it may not. Starved of British funding the Eurozone economy may collapse and the entire EU might break up. Or it might not.

One thing we do know is that British Prime Minister and lead Remain campaigner David Cameron is in the process of tendering his resignation to the Queen. However we don't even know if that resignation will be accepted let alone whether it will bring down the government leading to a fresh General Election.

The key thing to listen out for is news that Article 50 of Lisbon has been invoked. This will formally start the process of Britain leaving the EU.

I suggest we let things cool down at least over the weekend. After all Britain could find itself in full riot mode by this evening.

10:30 on 24/6/16 (UK date).