Wednesday 29 June 2016

So Erdogan's Thrown a Strop.

Yesterday evening three people launched an attack on Ataturk International Airport in Istanbul, Turkey with assault rifles and explosive vests. At the time of writing they have succeeded in murdering 41 people and wounding 239 more.

If you've been even vaguely following politics in the region you would immediately understand why Turkish President/Prime Minister/Emperor Recep Tayyip Erdogan desperately needed a distraction such as this.

Certainly since the summer of 2015 Erdogan has systematically weaponised refugees fleeing the conflict in Syria and Iraq against the European Union (EU). This means that Turkey has literally been picking refugees up from camps on the border and busing them to the Aegean coast where they are put aboard boats bound for the Greek islands.

For Erdogan and his goons this is simply a old fashioned protection racket. If the EU wants to conduct its business as usual it must pay Erdogan to stop using refugees as weapons.

Apart from handing over roughly 15% of its entire budget the big price Erdogan wants the EU to pay is to allow Turkey visa-free access to the EU's Schengen migration zone. This is of course will make it much easier for Erdogan to flood the EU with both refugees and terrorists.

The big EU Council (EUCO) Summit at which Turkey's access to Schengen is confirmed was supposed to start yesterday and continue into today. However on Friday (24/6/16) the UK voted to leave the EU - the Brexit - with Turkey's joining of Schengen being a major issue for voters.  As a result talks on Turkey joining Schengen have been suspended indefinitely.

The big British political story in the run-up to the Brexit vote was the lawful killing of British Member of Parliament (MP) Jo Cox on June 16th (16/6/16).

Unfortunately British politicians are apparently as utterly self-absorbed as West Yorkshire Police are utterly incompetent so this became part of the referendum campaign. However it was intended to serve as a semi-public issuing of a Burn Notice against the "Friends of Syria" Parliamentary group that Jo Cox Chaired and all groups associated with that group. Particularly the Turkish based "Syria Civil Defence/White Helmets" group.

A Burn Notice is a formal notice sent by one intelligence agency to its allies. It informs them that a source of information previously considered reliable is now to be considered utterly unreliable. Therefore they should take any information provided by that source either in the past or in the future and destroy it. Ideally by burning it on a bonfire.

One of the most famous Burn Notices was issued on a source codenamed "Curveball" who provided the dodgy intelligence dossier that was used to justify the 2003 invasion of Iraq.

With Britain's politicians and West Yorkshire Police screwing up the UK was forced to emphasise that a Burn Notice was being issued. So on June 21st (21/6/16) a man was burnt alive at the high profile Glastonbury music festival.

That same day Victor Castigador killed a fellow inmate at Long Lartin prisoner where he is serving a whole life sentence. Castigador is considered one of Britain's more notorious killers because sometimes dubbed; "The Human Torch Killer" he's been known to kill his victims by burning them alive.

Even prior to the issuing of the Burn Notice Erdogan and his henchmen have been suffering a series of setbacks within Syria.

Erdogan's key area of concern is this 100km (60 mile) stretch of border between Azaz in the west and the Euphrates River in the east. Sometimes referred to as; "Erdogan's Pocket" or "Garvaghy Road" this area is used by Turkey to supply the Islamic State of Iraq and the Levant (ISIL) and associated groups - primarily Al Qaeda - within Syria.

On or around June 1st (1/6/16) the Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF/QSD) crossed the Euphrates River to launch an operation to liberate the town of Manbij from ISIL. This is the first step in sealing the Garvaghy Road.

I obviously need to cover that in detail separately. However under the orders of the US progress is being painfully slow. Rather than giving them permission to use overwhelming force to rapidly secure their objectives the QSD are only being allowed to creep forward a few 100 metres/yards at a time. Following every advance the US is waiting for a response from Turkey. If there is no response the QSD are allowed to creep a little further forward.

One group that remains remarkably unconcerned with what Erdogan thinks is the Syrian government and the Russians who are supporting them. Over the course of the last week or so they have launched a fresh operation to liberate the roads running between Azaz in the north and Aleppo City in the south. Although this won't completely close Garvaghy Road it will stop weapons travelling from Azaz to Aleppo City.

It is the weapons moving down Garvaghy Road from Azaz to Aleppo City that produce the horrific photographs I shared during the #LoveLikeJo memorial to Jo Cox. I get to see photographs like that every day. I'm really not happy about it.

Syria is not the only area where Erdogan's perceived authority has been severely undermined recently.

On Sunday (26/6/16) Erdogan was forced to re-establish diplomatic relations with Israel that were severed following the May 31st 2010 (31/5/10) Israeli raid on the "Gaza Freedom Flotilla" - particularly the MV Mavi Marmara ship. At the risk of going off on a bit of a tangent many of the Turkish  'Peace Activists' to took part in the flotilla have since joined ISIL.

Erdogan's decision to break off diplomatic relations with Israel have been part of a wider, extreme foreign policy.

Thinking that he had installed a radical Islamist puppet regime in Israel's neighbour Egypt and would soon install a radical Islamist puppet regime in Israel's other neighbour Syria Erdogan's been excitedly telling his supporters how he's going to be the radical Islamist who finally wipes Israel from the map. This aggression caused the 2014 Gaza war delaying Israel's loosening of import/export restrictions on Gaza for two years.

The fact that Erdogan has now been forced to re-establish relations with Israel is a massive climb down for him showing that his plan has been defeated. Although the Israelis are far too diplomatic to say so publicly the much hated Grand Zionist Conspiracy has effectively just made Erdogan's its bitch.

Things got worse for Erdogan on Monday (27/6/16) when he was forced to apologise for the shooting down of a Russian Su-24 over Syria on November 24th 2015 (24/11/16).

As part of the apology Turkey has resumed criminal proceedings against Alparslan Celik who was the leader of Turkish groundforces within Syria at the time. Erdogan has since denied that an apology has been issued. However knowing Russian President Vladimir Putin it's clear he wouldn't be accepting Erdogan's phonecalls unless an apology had been issued.

Then of course there is the ongoing saga of Egypt Air flight MS804 which crashed over the Mediterranian Sea on May 19th (19/5/16). After taking a suspiciously long time to locate the aircraft's flight recorders French authorities have now succeeded in recovering them and repairing them. We are now waiting with baited breath for them to be downloaded and analysed.

Until the flight data is recovered we can't be sure what caused MS804. However one possibility that is definitely on the table is that Turkish intelligence breached security at Paris' Charles de Gaulle Airport to place a bomb on board. Primarily this would have been done to further undermine the Egyptian economy to speed the day that Erdogan could re-install a radical Islamist puppet regime in Egypt.

Obviously though the exposure of a massive security gap at France's main airport would have an extremely chilling effect in the run-up to the French hosted Euro 2016 football tournament. As that tournament reaches the quarter final stage due to events in Istanbul we are now talking urgently about gaps in airport security.

The immediate message of condolence that Brussels Zaventam Airport sent to Turkey last night should dispel any myth that Belgians don't do sarcasm once and for all.

At 12:00 on 29/6/16 (UK date) I have more to add. However I also have an urgent need to go put some trousers on.

Edited at around 14:40 on 29/6/16 (UK date) to add above and below;

Although it pains me to say I think what tipped the balance on this occasion was Rihanna. She is currently in London, UK as part of her "ANTI" US & Europe tour. On Monday (27/6/16) she released the Sia penned song "Sledgehammer" from the upcoming movie "Star Trek Beyond."

Back in January 2010 Erdogan and his Justice & Development Party (AKP) announced that they had uncovered a 2003 plot called "Sledgehammer."

This supposedly saw members of the Turkey's so-called "Deep State" or "Parallel State" who are sworn to uphold the secular values of Turkey's founder Mustafa Kemal Ataturk planning to overthrow the Islamist AKP government of Erdogan.

The claim was that they would do this by carrying out a series of bomb attacks across Istanbul while bombing a Turkish aircraft out of the skies over the Aegean Sea which they would then be blamed on Greece. This would create the chaos that would force the Deep State to step in and take control of the country.

However the 'evidence' that Erdogan produced to support this claim was significantly flawed. For example many of the documents relating to this 2003 conspiracy were produced using Microsoft Office 2007. As such the Sledgehammer case is widely viewed as a fraudulent attempt by the AKP to purge the Turkish military and civil service of non-Islamists.

Although it is quite hard to do so the thing you need to understand about Erdogan and the AKP is they operate in a state that is extremely close to full blown delusional psychosis.

In Erdogan and the AKP's mindset even groups that are violently opposed to each other such as ISIL, the Syrian government and the QSD are all secret allies in a vast Zionist conspiracy against Erdogan, the AKP and all of Islam. As such it doesn't really matter which group Erdogan blames the Ataturk bombing on the subtext will always be that it was the work of the "Parallel State."

As such it was extremely unwise for Rihanna to release a song called "Sledgehammer" at this time. Not least because during her 2013 Diamonds World Tour the radical Islamist puppet regime in Egypt was overthrow due to the popular will of the people. However to this day Erdogan and the AKP still claim that this was an example of a Parallel state coup against Islam.

The only possible thing that can be said in the US' defence is that in the fall out of the Jo Cox neutralisation they killed the actor Anton Yelchin who plays the "Pavel Chekov" character in the Star Trek Beyond movie. A Russian born Jew Yelchin invokes memories of the infamous "Refusenik" generation who were refused permission to leave the Soviet Union.

As such it could be viewed as the US refusing Rihanna's record company Roc Nation and Paramount who own the rights to the movie permission to release "Sledgehammer." However it could be a bluff intended to draw our attention as we wait to see what action will be taken against Roc Nation and Paramount for reckless defying that instruction.

Erdogan's ultimate objective behind last night's attack is to rally the country and the World behind his as he leads the fight against 'terrorism.' He then plans to go marching down Garvaghy Road to secure ISIL's supply lines and slaughter anyone who opposes them.

In this context the reactions of current US President Barack Obama and presumptive progressive Democrat 2016 Presidential nominee Hillary Clinton were extremely alarming.

As part of the election campaign both Obama and Hillary have come in for stiff criticism for refusing to invoke the NATO's mutual defence Article 5 in response to the November 2015 Paris Massacres and the March 2016 Brussels attacks. As a result they last night fell over themselves to announce that as a NATO ally Turkey has their full support.

This is likely to be interpreted by Erdogan as both Obama and Hillary reaching for their sashes, flutes and bowler hats as they throw their full weight of NATO behind his plan to support ISIL by invading Syria.

I assume that both Obama and Hillary Clinton will now be going straight to prison.
 
15:35 on 29/6/16 (UK date).








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