The Turkish Rising.

On July 15th (15/7/16) a small group of Turkish citizens rose up against the Islamist dictatorship of President/Prime Minister/Emperor Recep Tayyip Erdogan.

A devoted ally of Erdogan's the US had been warning him of the possibility of this rising for several weeks. As it began the US immediately leapt to Erdogan's aid granting him airtime on CNN to call supporters of his Justice & Development Party (AKP) to violently crush the rebellion.

Rather like the recent British vote to leave the European Union (EU) the crushing of the Turkish rising has created a situation where at the same time both everything and nothing seems possible. This has freaked a lot of people out. Particularly the Americans.

Immediately after the rising had been crushed Erdogan sent troops to seal of the USAF base Incirilk by shutting down the airspace, blocking access to and from the base and cutting off its power supply.

This effectively made hostages of the some 1,500 US troops stationed on the base and the 50-90 US nuclear warheads stored there. It also shut down air operations against the Islamic State of Iraq and the Levant (ISIL) by the US-led coalition Combined Joint Task Force: Operation Inherent Resolve (CJTFOIR).

So on Sunday (17/7/16) morning the US arranged for militants to storm a police station in Yerevan the capital of Turkey's neighbour Armenia.

Although this quickly developed into a hostage situation similar to the 1980 Iranian Embassy siege in London, UK the deployment of troops and armoured vehicles onto the streets of the capital caused many Armenians to worry they were in the grips of a Coup d'etat.

The relationship between Turkey and Armenia has long been a fractious one.

This really dates back to when Turkey invaded and occupied Armenia as part of the Ottoman Empire. A particularly contentious event was the Armenian Genocide of 1915 in which the Turks exterminated 1.5 million Armenians and expelled at least a further 1.5 million from Armenia under the Tehcir Law.

Of late international pressure has been growing on Turkey - and Erdogan in particular - to recognise the Armenian Genocide. More than 100 years after the genocide such a recognition will not lead to the prosecution of anyone involved or any compensation being paid to survivors.

Instead calls for Turkish recognition of its past crimes are intended to get to Erdogan to acknowledge that genocide is not an acceptable part of either foreign nor domestic policy and pledge to refrain from using it in the future.

Even before the US crushed the Turkish rising tension between Erdogan and its NATO allies over the Armenia genocide were already reaching boiling point. Particularly at Incirilk airbase.

On June 2nd (2/6/16) the German Parliament formally recognised the Armenian genocide and Turkey's role in it. Since then Turkey has been blocking German access to Incirilk in gross violation of NATO protocol.

As part of the dispute between Turkey and Armenia Turkey has long closed its land border between the two nations. Turkey has also firmly allied itself with Armenia's eastern neighbour Azerbaijan which has also closed its land borders with the country. This leaves majority Christian Armenia sandwiched between two majority Muslim nations.

Due to Armenia's alliance with Russia its neighbour to the north Georgia has also closed its border with Armenia. This means that Armenia is totally blockaded save for a small land border with Iran which itself up until recently was under international blockade.
 
The reason why the need for Erdogan to reject genocide as a policy tool has become so urgent of late is his support for the self-proclaimed genocidal organisation ISIL.

As part of his support for ISIL Erdogan has been working with Azerbaijan to reignite the Nagorno-Karabakh Region (NKR) conflict between Armenia and Azerbaijan.

With both Armenia and Azerbaijan enjoying good relations with Russia a conflict between the two over the NKR puts immense pressure on Russia. Erdogan's ultimate ambition seems to use the NKR conflict as a justification for more international sanctions against Russia.

This would be a repeat of the way that Shamali Province was created in what used to be Ukraine to allow for sanctions to punish Russia for opposing ISIL.

The Yerevan siege is being run by the US in the same way the Khuzestan group who conducted the Iranian Embassy were being run by Saddam Hussein's Iraq.

However the siege itself is being conducted by the "New Armenia Public Salvation Front (NAPSF). They are calling for the release of one their founders Zhirayr Sefilian who was jailed in April 2016.

Sefilian's main aim is to establish an independent Christian Armenian state in NKR. Curiously Sefilian is not actually Armenian. He's Lebanese with his ancestors being forced to move from Armenia to Lebanon as part of the 1915 Genocide.

Therefore the US' purpose in launching the Yerevan siege was to swirl controversy in order to exert pressure on Erdogan to get him to lift the siege of Incirilk.

At the same time someone simply pointed out to Erdogan that shutting down CJTFOIR operations from Incirilk meant that those operations were shut down.

As a result CJTFOIR would no longer be enforcing the aerial protective dome that was established over ISIL's de facto Syrian capital of Raqqa as a condition of CJTFOIR being allowed to use Incirilk. That meant Russia aircraft would be free to attack ISIL in and around Raqqa and there was nothing Erdogan could do to stop them.

Needless to say later that day Erdogan re-opened the airspace around Incirilk and CJTFOIR were able to resume missions to protect ISIL from Russian attack. US access to and from the base however remains blocked and the power supply remains cut off.

At the moment probably the World's most famous Armenian is Kim Kardashian. Her husband Kanye West is currently engaged in some pointless showbiz squabble with Taylor Swift.

On Sunday (17/7/16) Kim Kardashian released some covertly recorded portions of a telephone conversation between West and Swift which Kardashian claimed proves that Swift is lying and responsible for the squabble.

This was the US' way of posing the question of whether anyone believes Erdogan's claim that the Turkish rising was carried out by Fethullah Gulen - a Turkish exile currently based in Pennsylvania, US.

In short we were being asked whether we believe that the covertly recorded telephone conversations that Erdogan is no doubt rushing to forge between Gulen and the rebels exist.

For those of you who aren't familiar with the name Fethullah Gulen is a conservative Sunni Muslim cleric who extensively backed Erdogan during his rise to power and the early days of his rule.

They fell out because Gulen is a secularist who believes that religion and politics should be kept separate. Erdogan however is an Islamist who believes that religion is the source of his political power. This led to Gulen being banished from Turkey by Erdogan in 2013.

Therefore "Gulenist" is sort of a Erdogan euphemism for any secularist.

To give you an idea of how lacking in credibility Erdogan's claim that the rising was a Gulenist conspiracy Erdogan has since claimed that it was driven by anger that he wasn't taking a tough enough line in his war against Turkey's Kurdish population.

At the same time Erdogan claimed - without a hint of irony - that Gulen is allied with the Kurdistan Workers Party (PKK).

Erdogan of course has previously claimed that all Kurds - regardless of where they are in the World - are members of the PKK and that the PKK is allied with ISIL. The fact that Syria's Kurdish population have been locked in fierce battle with ISIL for several years doesn't seem to bother Erdogan's logic in any way.

The US' decision to launch the Yerevan siege was of course a stupid one to begin with. However it has since gone on to cause further problems.

As with the Iranian Embassy siege which was ended by special forces after 6 days the Yerevan siege did not last for just a day. In fact it is still going on now.

In that time it has become something of a focal point for the NAPSF who have staged protests there on an almost daily basis. Wednesday's (20/7/16) were particularly violent with more than 50 people injured in clashes.

As a result concerns have begun to grow that simply saving Erdogan from the rising was not enough for the US.

In order to consummate the apparent deep love affair between Erdogan and Obama it now seems that the US is trying to stage a coup d'etat in Armenia just the same as it did in Ukraine to create Shamali Province. Again the US will try and blame its aggressive actions on Russia providing an excuse to further attack it for opposing ISIL.

So on Monday (18/7/16) an Islamist gunman staged a similar attack on a police station in Almaty, Kazakhstan killing four police.

Kazakhstan sits across the Caspian Sea from Azerbaijan and Georgia. It is probably most famous for being the country from which astronauts travelling to the International Space Station (ISS) are launched. This is probably the last remaining area of co-operation between the US and Russia following their split into the pro and anti-ISIL camps.

This area of co-operation seems to have been coming under sustained attack of late. On June 5th (5/6/16) a gang of Islamist terrorists robbed a gunshop in Aktobe before getting into a shoot-out with police in which six were killed. On June 8th (8/6/16) an Islamist terrorist opened fire on a children's camp also in Aktobe. Fortunately no-one was killed.

As such the police station attack in Almaty seemed intended to question the US' motives in Yerevan. It also invoked the previous day's terror attack on police officers in Baton Rouge, Louisiana as a way to question Obama's judgement.

After all Obama's inability to distinguish between the Nation of Islam and Islam does seem to explain both his apparent hatred of Muslims and his deep love affair with Erdogan and ISIL.

A nation that is particularly concerned by recent events in Turkey is Germany.

In the first instance that is because Germany has an extremely large Turkish diaspora population of around 3 million. Following Friday's events both supporters of Erdogan and supporters of the rising have taken to the streets in both Germany and Austria.

Just today the German police federation have warned that Erdogan could order his supporters in Germany to take to the streets to attack the German state just as he ordered them to the streets to crush the Turkish rising. That of course is of course on top of concerns that Erdogan could send Europe another little 'gift' such as the Molenbeek cell.

Secondly due to Angela Merkel's insane decision to instruct migrants to leave Turkey and head for Germany the Germans have been at the forefront of the migrant deal with Turkey. Erdogan's crushing of the rising obviously puts that deal in significant doubt.

So on Monday (18/7/16) Germany announced that it was criminally charging a train dispatcher for causing the February 9th (9/2/16) crash between two trains near Munich, Bavaria.

That crash of course formed part of the protest at the Munich Security conference over the US' continued support for Erdogan and his plans for a ground invasion of Syria. One train represented Erdogan's desire to flood Europe with ISIL fighters while the other represented European's desire not to be killed in terrorist attacks.

The fact that the train dispatcher was accused of putting everybody's lives in jeopardy because he was too busy playing a computer gamed seemed to be Germany attempting to blame me for starting the Turkish rising just jeopardising the migrant deal. However it could also be interpreted as a reference to how Obama has endangered all of Europe by helping Erdogan crush the rising.

The notion that I was responsible for the rising is of course a nonsense.

After all if I'd known that it was already underway would I have finished my post that evening promising that I'd be back after dinner to discuss renowned CIA agent Rihanna's role in warning Erdogan of the possibility of a rising?

Speaking of which at around 16:55 on 22/7/16 (UK date) I'll try and pick this up tomorrow.

Edited at around 15:15 on 23/7/16 (UK date) to add;

On Monday evening in Germany a man attacked passengers with an axe aboard a train in Wurzburg, Bavaria. This is obviously remarkably similar to the February 9th (9/2/16) train crash.

Also in talking about the June 12th (12/6/16) Pulse nightclub terror attack in Orlando, Florida, US I shared an example from my own life in which a man attacked a Church congregation with a sword. As such I'm entitled to look at the bloody pictures of the scene in Wurzburg and say; "Been there. Done that. Glad I don't have to again." 

On June 25th (25/6/16) I of course had a little incident with security at my home base. It was resolved by me giving someone the impression I was about to attack them with a sledgehammer/axe. My lawyer will assure you that at no point did I actually threaten them.

This of course was two days before Rihanna released her ode to Erdogan "Sledgehammer" on June 27th (27/6/16).

As such my first instinct was that the Wurzburg attack in which only 4 people were injured was just an example of spies mucking about. With the US staging the Yerevan siege in order to exert pressure on Erdogan it was simply the Germans staging a similarly confusing stunt to show the Americans the error of their ways.

Unfortunately it has since emerged that this was not the case. ISIL have since released a video of the 17 year Afghan refugee attacker Riaz Khan Ahmadzai (AKA; "Muhammad Riyad") pledging allegiance to the group and explaining he was about to carry out the attack in their name.

This should be extremely alarming for the German and European security forces.

As with last Thursday's (14/7/16) attack in Nice, France it appears to demonstrate that through migrants and the Internet ISIL has been able to establish a network of sleeper agents across Europe. Those agents can then be activated to carry out attacks at very short notice.

However it is possible that Ahmadzai simply decided to activate himself. That of course would depend on how much coverage the charging of the train dispatcher in the February 9th (9/2/16) train crash received. Here in the UK I got a couple of lines on it from a French news agency. I'm guessing it received a lot more coverage in Bavaria.

It is of course possible that the two events are entirely coincidental. However that seems unlikely to me.

On Tuesday (19/7/16) a man armed with a knife and falsely claiming to be carrying explosives barricaded himself in a hotel in Bollene on France's Cote de'Azor region around 250km (150 miles) north-west of Nice. This of course created scenes extremely similar to the current situation in Yerevan.

On Tuesday (19/7/16)  night a woman and her three daughters aged between 8 and 14 were stabbed by a north African man who objected to the fact they weren't dressed in accordance to Muslim modesty standards. This of course occurred on France's Cote de'Azor region around 265km (160 miles) west of Nice and around 70km (40 miles) south of Bollene.

The fact that women are increasingly harassed for not adhering to Muslim modesty standards is just one of the symptoms of how Turkey is becoming increasingly Islamist under Erdogan.

I do remember one particularly unpleasent conversation with an AKP supporter who claimed that 8 year old girls not wearing the Hijab deserve to be raped.

Prior to France and Germany raising their concerns of Sunday (17/7/16) there was a plane crash at an airshow in Alberta, Canada. Including the Shoreham, UK airshow disaster this was of course a big fashion of the summer of 2015 - just after Obama saved Erdogan's AKP from defeat in Turkey's June General Election.

The aircraft on this occasion was a T-28 Trojan. This was brought in as a training aircraft by the US military to replace the T-6 Texan - as in Dallas, Texas. However combat versions were used in various counter-insurgency/terrorism operations in Vietnam, Congo and Algeria. It also saw action in the 1989 failed coup d'etat in the Philippines.

Earlier on Sunday (17/7/16) a small private jet carrying UK Foreign Secretary Boris Johnson (no really) to an EU meeting in Belgium was forced to make an emergency landing at Luton Airport, UK.

This seemed to pose the obvious question of if Erdogan's small private jet was being harassed by rebel F-16's and Istanbul's Ataturk airport was under rebel control as he claimed why was Erdogan's jet allowed to land at Ataturk rather than simply being shot down?

At around the same time a vintage helicopter crashed at Breighton airfield in the UK. Rather like Incrilk Breighton is a former Cold War military base built to hold long range bombers and store "Thor" nuclear warheads.

Although it's hard for me to be exact the particular helicopter in question seems to be some variant of a Saro P.531 such as a Westland Scout or Westland Wasp. It's distinctive lattice tail section means it could be easily be mistaken for the iconic Bell H-13 Sioux.

The Sioux is of course hugely famous for being featured in the opening titles of the US TV show "M*A*S*H."

This was set during the 1950-1953 Korean war. It was due to their participation in that UN mandated operation that Turkey was invited to join NATO in 1953. A decision that now seems to be very much in doubt.

Whether Mobile Army Surgical Hospital's (M*A*S*H's) will be deployed to Iraq to help with the liberation of Mosul from ISIL or even to Syria to help liberate Raqqa is a major discussion point at the moment.

The theme song from the 1970 movie "M*A*S*H" is of course "Suicide is Painless."

That's sounds like a recommendation to a certain American individual who shall remain nameless at this point.

16:35 on 23/7/16 (UK date).