Monday 25 July 2016

The Munich, Reutlingen and Ansbach Terror Attacks.

I know. You try and take one day off.

On Friday (22/7/16) a gunman opened fire on passers-by outside a restaurant attached to a shopping mall in the Bavarian city of Munich in Germany. He killed 9 people and injured 27 others before turning the gun on himself.

The attacker has since been identified as Ali David Sonboly. An 18 year Shia Muslim with German and Iranian dual citizenship. This of course cuts straight to the core of the violence that has plagued the Middle-East region and beyond these past five years;

A Saudi Arabian Monarchy that takes its legitimacy from Sunni Islam trying to exterminate all of the Shia Muslims so it doesn't have to make democratic reforms within Saudi Arabia.

It also links in directly with the June 12th (12/6/16) terror attack on the Pulse nightclub in Orlando, Florida, US.

As with Sonboly the attacker there - Omar Mateen - was the son of an immigrant and held dual citizenship of both Afghanistan and the US. Although he may not have realised it the father Mir Seddique Mateen worked for the CIA in a effort to limit Iranian influence within Afghanistan.

That theme was continued the following day (23/7/16) when the Islamic State of Iraq and the Levant (ISIL) carried out twin suicide bombings against a protest march in Kabul, Afghanistan killing 80 and wounding 230.

The protest had been organised by members of Kabul's Hazara community. The third largest ethnic group in Afghanistan the Hazara are overwhelmingly Shia Muslims and are frequently discriminated against by other, predominately Sunni ethnic groups.

Saturday's protest was against plans to route a power grid project around Hazara areas in an effort to deny the ethnic group access to electricity. With electricity not being restored to USAF base Incirilk in Turkey until Saturday evening that was an extremely contentious topic at the time.

Therefore as with the Orlando attack one of the main motives behind the Munich attack was the hope that at the mere mention of Iran the American right's well-honed reflex would kick in. They would accuse Iran of being a state sponsor of the attack and use that to re-impose the sanctions on Iran that have done so much damage to the region these past five years.

The particular restaurant attacked in Munich was a branch of McDonalds. This of course is a world famous symbol of both America and American globalisation. As such it is frequently threatened by Islamist terrorists.

It was specifically named as a target by ISIL in a June 2016 when the group called for its followers to attack McDonalds restaurants - particularly ones attached to shopping malls.

McDonalds is also a longterm, key sponsor of the Olympics.

The particular shopping mall attacked in Munich was on the site of the 1972 Munich Olympics.

This famously had to be stopped when eight members of the Palestinian "Black September" terror group stormed the athletes village immediately murdering two Israeli athletes. A further nine Israel athletes were held hostage for 18 hours before they along with the terrorists and a German police officer were killed during a botched rescue operation.

The 1972 Munich Olympics represents the worst single loss of life the Olympic movement has ever suffered. The opening ceremony of the 2012 London Olympics which marked the 40th anniversary of the Munich massacre featured a portion in tribute to the attack in which Emile Sande alongside the Akram Khan dance company performed "Abide With Me."

The Munich massacre saw the German police create their elite Grenzschutzgruppe 9 der Bundespolize (GSG9) counter-terrorism force and France create their similar Groupe d'intervention de la Gendarmerie nationale (GIGN) as a direct response to the attack. Even to this day the first priority in any security plan for any Olympics is avoiding a repeat of the Munich massacre.

Friday's (22/7/16) massacre in Munich came of course two weeks to the day before the scheduled opening ceremony of the 2016 Summer Olympics to be held in Rio de Janerio, Brazil. 

It also occurred hours before the start of the so-called "Anniversary Games" being held in London, UK. 

Tediously threatening to become an annual event this marks the anniversary of the 2012 London Olympics. It is held in the same stadium that Emile Sande and the Akram Khan dance company performed Abide With Me as a tribute to those killed in the 1972 Munich Massacre and a discussion point of the threat to come.

Therefore it seems clear that as with the G4S element of the Pulse nightclub attack Friday's terror attack was intended as an open threat to the 2016 Rio Olympics.

The really has its roots back in the summer of 2013. Due to Russia's opposition to ISIL Saudi Arabia decided that it should not be afforded the privilege of hosting the 2014 Winter Olympics in Sochi. 

So in a meeting in July of 2013 between then Saudi intelligence Chief Prince Bander bin Sultan and Russian President Vladimir Putin Prince Bandar issued a simple threat; Either Russia drops its opposition to ISIL or Saudi Arabia will send ISIL fighters to attack the 2014 Sochi Olympics.

With Russia refusing to drop its opposition to ISIL in December 2013 Saudi Arabia starting making good on its threat with two days of terrorist bombings in Volgograd on December 29th (29/12/13) and December 30th (30/12/13). In total these killed 30 people and wounded 85.

However the international community more or less united to end the Saudi threat to the Sochi games. In compensation to Saudi Arabia the US overthrew the government of Ukraine creating ISIL's Shamali Province and we were all forced to sit through that tedious Pinkwashing campaign as the US tried to pretend that ISIL are defenders of gay rights.

Quite why the Rio games would be threatened in the same way as the Sochi games seems something of a mystery.

Since 2013 the International Association of Athletics Federations (IAAF) under the leadership of British peer Sebastian Lord Coe have discovered that drug cheating is epidemic within their sport. However they have only been interested in accusations against Russia leading a campaign to have Russia expelled from the Rio Olympics.

Lord Coe himself is of course deeply mired in corruption allegations due to both his complete mishandling of cheating within athletics and his extremely profitable relationship with US sportswear giant Nike. 

While Russian athletes are to be banned from Rio the International Olympic Committee (IOC) has decided to validate the ethnic cleansing and genocide of ISIL by including a refugee team. 

The idea being to make ourselves good about ourselves for caring about refugees rather than disgusted at ourselves that we have allowed wars that have forced tens of millions to flee.

The IOC has also deemed it appropriate for Mourad Laachraoui to participate in Rio representing Belgium in Taekwondo. His brother Najim Laachraoui of course murdered 32 people in the name of ISIL in Brussels, Belgium on March 22nd 2016 (22/3/16).

As such the 2016 Rio Olympics are to be nothing more than a month long celebration of ISIL and their crimes. Therefore it is not something that I in good conscience will be able to associate myself with.

Far from threatening it though you would think that ISIL would be happy to revel in the glory of the crowds cheering them on.

There are though a few possibly explanations;

The first of these is that although the IAAF has already decided to ban all Russian athletes the IOC meeting on whether to ban all Russian competitors did not take place until yesterday (25/7/16). As such an attack on Friday (22/7/16) would be an opportunity for a bit of last minute intimidation to get the IOC to do ISIL's bidding.

Secondly ISIL like to portray themselves to their supporters as sort of rebellious outlaws fighting against the existing order. Having it revealed that they are in fact being backed by nation states such as Saudi Arabia, Turkey, the USA and the UK along with the IOC obviously damages their credibility. 

Therefore they have a great incentive to make it appear as though the Rio Olympics isn't a mass celebration of ISIL by the existing order.

Thirdly it could simply be a power play. By getting the IOC and others do exactly what ISIL wants and then attacking them anyway allows ISIL to show its complete dominance.

There is of course a forth option. After all under US President Obama the question has never been; "How Do We Defeat ISIL."

Aside from being the host of the 1972 Olympics Munich is also the capital of the German state of Bavaria. 

This sits in the south-east of the country right on the border with Austria. As such it really marks the end of the Balkan route for migrants travelling from Turkey across Europe to answer German executive leader (Chancellor) Angela Merkel's call to make Germany their new home.

As I explained following the July 14th (14/7/16) terror attack in Nice, France that killed 84 it is a longstanding objective of Al Qaeda to use terrorism to destroy the space in which Muslims and non-Muslims coexist. 

The community tensions created by the mass of predominately Muslim refugees makes these type of strategy seem particularly effective. Now they've had it explained to them slowly and clearly ISIL also seem to be adopting this tactic.

Community tensions in Bavaria are particularly high at the moment. 

During the 2016 Eurovision Song Contest Germany's neighbour Austria protested heavily over Merkel's mishandling of the migrant crisis. The joke doing the rounds was that if Merkel didn't sort it out quickly Bavaria would succeed from Germany and join Austria.

The cause of Germany's migrant problems are really twofold;

Firstly due to Germany's falling birthrate the nation really needs fresh migrants to prop up the base of its population pyramid. However rather than making that argument to voters for years Merkel's government has systematically abused the asylum process by which people apply for refugee status. For example refugee status is supposed to be a temporary measure. The Germans seem to be treating it as a route to citizenship.

Secondly in July of 2015 Angela Merkel held what Americans would refer to as a televised "Town Hall" event. Here a 14 year old Palestinian girl who'd been denied refugee status burst into tears as she asked Merkel to explain why. Merkel's robotic attempts to comfort the girl quickly made her a national laughing stock with people joking that Merkel was completely lacking in human emotion.

As an emotional backlash to these Internet memes Merkel suddenly decided to invite every migrant in the world to come and make Germany their home. As often happens with emotionally driven decisions Merkel didn't bother think through the problems this would create let alone draw up a plan of who to solve those problems.

The 1951 Convention on the Status of Refugees is very clear in the fact that the granting of refugee status to an asylum seeker is neither immediate not automatic.

Instead anyone illegally entering a country should be arrested for the offence of illegal entry and remanded in custody. Prior to their trial if they choose to make an asylum application their case must be investigated to see if they qualify for refugee status - the statutory defence to the offence. 

Not only must their cases be investigated to determine if they have a legitimate fear of persecution but also to determine if they have participated in or been members of any group that has participated in war crimes or crimes against humanity. Those who have are automatically excluded from  refugee status.

A prime example of the asylum system at work properly has actually cropped up in the past week. 

Following the July 15h (15/7/16) Turkish rising eight of those involved fled to Greece aboard a helicopter where they immediately applied for asylum. While their case is been investigated all eight have been remanded in prison. The case will hinge on whether they are fleeing persecution or legitimate prosecution for being members of an armed group waging war against the state.

Due to their longstanding attempts to use the asylum system to sneak in economic migrants through the backdoor and a failure to prepare for the waves of migrants Merkel invited Germany simply isn't abiding by the correct legal procedure. Instead it is treating all migrants as refugees and letting them freely wander the streets while their cases are being investigated.

This has unleashed a massive migrant related crime wave. Just at the start of July the German police were forced to admit that the influx of migrants had caused a massive increase in rapes and sexual assaults at public swimming pools. 

Far more alarmingly it is becoming increasingly clear that Germany's failure to properly enforce the asylum system is allowing ISIL fighters and other Islamist terrorists free access to the European Union (EU). 

Just last Sunday (17/7/16) there was the reported case of a Yezidi woman who'd been held as a sex slave by ISIL only to flee and claim asylum in Germany.  There she came face-to-face with one of the ISIL fighters who'd repeatedly raped her at a market in Baden where he was free to do as he pleased as a refugee.  

Despite this being reported to the police I am yet to hear that this ISIL fighter has been arrested.

Due to these daily horror stories and the German government's apparent refusal to protect its own citizens many Germans are now seeing the need to take matters into their own hands. 

Already this year there have been 45 arson attacks against buildings housing what the German authorities wrongly term "refugees" rather than "illegal migrants seeking refugee status." That is on top of 800 similar attacks in 2015 - a 400% increase on 2014.

Therefore it is extremely easy to see how ISIL or their associates would look at Germany - particularly Bavaria - and conclude that it is at boiling point making it a prime target for attack.

At around 17:05 on 25/7/16 (UK date) I have so much more to add after dinner it may well take the form of a seperate post.







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