Wednesday, 2 September 2015

ADP Text 11/6/15 Revision: Section E: Adaptation.




Paragraph 1: In the mitigation section as I see it by allowing nations to set their own mitigation targets the nations most at risk from the effects of climate change have accepted a compromise that will place them at an increased risk due to a slower rate of mitigation action. As such in this section they must be rewarded for their compromise with guarantees of increased support to help them adapt to that risk.

Therefore I have immediately excluded Options 3, 4, 5 and 8 because they are too weak to provide that guarantee. Option 2 acknowledges the need for nations to co-operate in order to help those most at risk adapt but the wording is still too weak to provide the required level of assurance. By including the principle of Common But Different Responsibilities (CBDR) Option 7 is on a technical level sufficient but I would like to see the text go further.

Option 6 shows the correct spirit by establishing a common global goal for adaptation. However I don't see how this would work. For example if the goal is established in purely monetary terms feasibly the head of a nation's adaptation department could buy himself a massive gold desk fulfilling the spending requirement but not having any actual impact on that nation's ability to adapt. Establishing the goal in terms of the scope of people affected is equally difficult because is protecting 100 people from a 100 year flood more or less effective then protecting 50 people from a 50 year flood. Also adaptation is dependent on statistical predictions which are of limited real world value. For example you could have two 100 year floods in the space of a year and then no 100 year flood for the next 300 years.

Therefore here I recommend Option 1 but only if it is trimmed to read;

"All Parties, in accordance with the principles and provisions of the Convention, its Article 4 and their common but differentiated responsibilities and previous decisions of the Conference of the Parties (COP), to commit to cooperate to adapt to the adverse effects of climate change, ensure resilience and protect citizens and ecosystems in the context of the long-term temperature limit and to achieve sustainable development while recognising the local, national and transboundary dimensions of adaptation agree on a long-term vision on adaptation, based on; "

After all poverty reduction and food security are both core principles of sustainable development so you don't need to use all three terms.

I would also need to see (f) removed as is binary approach that is not in the spirit of this new agreement and (g) removed as it is redundant due to the acknowledgement of sustainable development. I also need to see the part of (h) that reads "determined by developing countries and supported by developed country Parties" removed as it is binary and replaced with "in the context of best practice" to read;

"Initiatives, actions and programmes that are nationally determined in the context of best practice."

Paragraph 2: As I Section D I envisage nations submitting their NAP's as part of their INDC's which are then subjected to a peer review process. One of the main purposes of this review process is to assist with capacity building by promoting discussion about best practice. I see this paragraph as assisting with that capacity building by outlining the minimum requirements of what can be negotiated further as part of the technical annex.

As such I've immediately excluded Options 1, 3 and 7 because they lack the required level of detail. I've also excluded Option 4 because it is binary in it's approach and as I've explained that approach is not going to be adopted within this new agreement.

Option 2 is I think broadly sufficient but I would like to expand and strengthen it by including elements from Options 5&6 so it reads;

"All Parties shall in accordance with Article 4, paragraph 1, of the Convention:



            (a). Undertake assessments of climate change impacts and vulnerability;

           

            (b).Strengthen governance and enabling environments for adaptation;



                (c). Monitor, report, evaluate and learn from adaptation plans, policies and programmes;

           

            (d). Prepare and implement their adaptation obligations by taking into account climate change considerations in their national development planning and national adaptation plans (NAPs);



            (e). Such climate change considerations shall be country-driven, gender-sensitive, participatory and fully transparent, take into account vulnerable groups and ecosystems, be based on science and traditional and indigenous knowledge, and promote the engagement of subnational and local authorities and other stakeholders;



                (f). Cooperate in sharing best practices in the implementation of adaptation as envisaged in paragraph 50 (Option 13) above;



            (g). Prepare, maintain, communicate and implement an adaptation component in their nationally determined contributions, which may include, inter alia, their undertakings in adaptation planning, taking into account the relevant guidance developed under the Convention and following the processes and timelines for the development of national adaptation plans. "

Paragraph 3: To my mind there is little choose between the Options so I would support Option 1 because it is simply more neatly written.

Paragraph 4: The way that I have adapted Paragraph 2 to provide for capacity building renders this entire paragraph an irrelevant duplication. So while it details negotiation positions that I have read and been mindful of it has no place in the final text of the agreement.

Paragraph 5: The purpose of NAP's is to help build capacity. In order to do that they need to be mandatory. As such here I have excluded Option 2 as not being in the spirit of the agreement. By making NAP's mandatory Option 3 is stronger but I still don't think it goes far enough in terms of capacity building. Therefore here I support Option 1 when it reads;

"Commitments / contributions / actions to be consistent with / informed by the NAP process subject to modalities and procedures to be developed and adopted by the governing body:



            (a). NAPs provide the basis for all countries to assess vulnerabilities and identify and implement adaptation measures;



            (b). NAPs are a key strategic framework for adaptation planning, the determination of adaptation priorities, adaptation support and needs, as well as the guiding of integration of adaptation and implementation thereof;



            (c). NAPs to go beyond planning and mainstreaming into concrete actions on the ground by defining modalities for support and implementation;



                (d). Ensure that the NAP process is undertaken in a participatory and inclusive manner, building on existing community-driven and traditional adaptation efforts in all parties particular in SIDS and the LDCs.



            (e). The provision of support for NAPs to build on progress made by the Least Developed Countries Fund (LDCF), the Special Climate Change Fund (SCCF), the Green Climate Fund (GCF), the Adaptation Fund, the Least Developed Countries Expert Group, the Adaptation Committee and multilateral and bilateral organisations and agencies."

In (d) I've excluded "in Africa" because I think it should be LDC's in any continent rather then every country in one particular continent. I've also excluded (f) entirely because with NAP's being included as part of INDC's it's superfluous.

At around 20:55 on 2/9/15 (UK date) I am fully aware that covers little more then 1/6th of the section. I have read it all but have not yet had the time to put my thoughts into words. So expect additions because I thought this would be better then nothing. 

Edited at around 15:50 on 3/9/15 (UK date) to add;


Paragraph 6: Here Options 2, 5 and 6 are binary and therefore I have excluded them. Option 3 somehow manages to be both binary in its approach while still failing to provide assurances of increased flows of support. Option 7 is too specifically focused on capacity building issues that are already addressed by other mechanisms within the agreement such as the peer review process without addressing other methods of support.


Therefore here I support Option 1 but only if it is strengthened to include elements of Options 2, 4, 8 and 9 by reading;

"All Parties to undertake the steps necessary to ensure that the level of support meets the needs for adaptation in the context of the long-term temperature limit by:

            (a). Enhancing support in terms of finance, technology, and capacity-building and to enable Parties most at risk to enhance their adaptation actions so as to ensure their resilience and reduce vulnerability;

            (b). Formulating adaptation support plans, including overall objectives, milestones, and sources of finance for supporting adaptation actions in less capable nations in terms of finance, technology, and capacity-building, to address the urgent needs of those Parties and ensure long-term support;

            (c). Ensuring the provision of new and additional, adequate and predictable financial resources, technology development and transfer, and capacity-building to meet the costs of adaptation to the adverse impacts of climate change in less capable countries, including the agreed full incremental costs of implementing adaptation measures taken in accordance with commitments under Article 4, paragraph 1, of the Convention;

            (d). The most capable nations providing support to less capable nations to assess their adaptation needs in terms of finance, technology and capacity-building, and the support activities shall be monitored and evaluated periodically;

            (e). Providing predictable, grant-based, long-term, additional and measurable finance, safe, appropriate and environmentally sound technology, and capacity-building support.

Paragraph 7: Here I consider Option 1 to be sufficient because I see the INDC and peer review process as providing an mechanism for parties to communicate their NAP's to the COP. However I will need the final sentence to be struck through because I think that failing to draw up a coherent and workable adaptation plan should be a serious impediment to receiving funds for adaptation.

Paragraph 8: I see this as fine provided it reads; "The main vehicle." I'm also happy to see gender disaggregated data because I think you'll find that's how most data is collected anyway.

Paragraph 9: I see this as fine as is because it further strengthens the role of the capacity building peer review process within the agreement.

Paragraph 10:  Here I support Option 2 provided it reads;

"The governing body shall develop a structured dialogue to enhance communication of information on adaptation, in accordance with common but differentiated responsibilities and respective capabilities in order to enhance reporting on support."

That is because I see it as further strengthening the role of the peer review process preventing it being excluded during future negotiations.

Paragraph 11: This is already covered by my wording of Paragraph 10 and therefore redundant.

Paragraph 12: I consider this fine provided it reads;

"All existing UN institutions and international and national financial institutions are encouraged to provide information to Parties through the UNFCCC secretariat on how their development assistance programmes and finance incorporate climate proofing and climate resilience measures."

That allows the secretariat some freedom on how to best communicate that information by not forcing it to use a clearing house/registry that has not yet been designed.

Paragraph 13: I consider this fine as is because it simply requires that relevant bodies actually read information provided to them.

Paragraph 14: Here Options 3,4 and 5 all prevent the agreement placing additional burdens on developing nations. One of the core purposes of the agreement is to help build capacity in developing nations by placing small, additional burdens upon them. Therefore I have immediately excluded these options.

Options 2 and 6 are far too weak making no reference to cooperation between nations or providing guidance on how to build capacity. Therefore I have also excluded these options.

Although I think it is essential that the agreement does place additional burdens on nations I also understand that there is no point in doing that unless nations are provided with support to help them meet those burdens. Therefore I support Option 1 provided it reads;

"Monitoring and evaluation of, reporting on, and learning from plans, policies and programmes shall be strengthened and /or institutionalized by:

            (a). Strengthening and improving climate-related research and systematic observation and  providing enhanced support;

            (b). Considering indicators for governance and planning;

            (c). Monitoring gaps in adaptation and needs under different scenarios;

            (d). Monitoring and evaluation to focus on the provision and adequacy of support;

            (e). Assessing the provision of adaptation support available from more capable Parties in relation to the needs of less capable Parties, taking into account cooperative actions and recognition of past investments by less capable Parties;

            (f). Placing no additional burden on less capable Parties beyond that which can be met through increased support from more capable Parties."

As I've said numerous times before I dislike the terminology "Developed/Developing" because it suggests that certain nation's economic development has finished. This simply does not reflect the reality of economic development. 

Paragraph 15: All three options here mean generally the same thing. However I support Option 3 because it further underlines the need for cooperation between nations. If it was re-written to read;

"All Parties shall cooperate to build resilience and adapt to the adverse effects of climate change through the sharing of information on best practices, technical guidance and lessons learned."

It would remove the need for a separate Paragraph 16.

Paragraph 16: See above.

Paragraph 17: I see this as fine provided it reads; "The governing body/COP shall request the concerned bodies ... etc" because this allows the governing body to act without the COP to engage whatever bodies are required to best fulfil the task. The COP also has the option to over-rule the governing body or engage whatever bodies it sees fit.

Paragraph 18: I consider this fine as is.

Paragraph 19: I consider this fine as is.

Paragraph 20: I consider this fine as is.

Paragraph 21; I consider this fine as is.

Paragraph 22: I consider this fine provided it reads; "All Parties" and (d). reads simply "adaptation centres" to allow both regional and national centres to be established as need requires or resources allow.

Paragraph 23: This is fine provided the opening sentence is struck through so that neither the Adaptation Committee nor the peer review process is given primacy allowing their work to be treated with equal importance.

Paragraph 24: This is fine provided that (b) allows for the funding of joint mitigation/adaptation plans. As I've mentioned before the 50:50 approach is too restrictive possibly causing viable plans to go unfunded because they would upset the 50:50 balance.

Paragraph 25: I consider this fine as is because it provides ample opportunity for capacity building.

Paragraph 26: I consider this fine but would replace the brackets in the opening sentence with "establishing new/re-organising existing" because this provides the governing body the freedom to do what is required as the need arises.

Paragraph 27: Although I can see the Adaptation Committee becoming that subsidiary body I think there does need to be new institutional arrangements so Option 3 is not sufficient for the purpose. I think Option 2 doesn't provide enough guidance on the role of the new institution. Therefore here I support Option 1 provided it reads;

"Alongside the Secretariat the Adaptation Committee will, in order to provide the COP and subsidiary bodies with timely information and advice to assist in the assessment of the effective implementation of  and support for adaptation;

            (a). Establish an adaptation registry that:

            (i). Records and showcases and/or recognizes national adaptation actions, contributions, and programmes;
           
            (ii). Enhances cooperation on finance, technology and capacity-building support;
           
            (iii). Pools information on the work of institutional arrangements under the Convention and makes that information accessible to Parties;
           
            (iv). Monitors and identifies progress and gaps in adaptation from a global perspective;

            (b). Establish an international clearing house and registry that acts as the repository for NAPs, adaptation methods, a roster of adaptation experts, biennial adaptation support reports, and for information on technology and capacity-building for adaptation."

I see (d) and (e) as they appear in the original text being covered by the opening sentence and (b) in my revision of the text. My intention being that the peer review process will fulfil the obligations in this paragraph as a by-product of its operation.

There are of course remaining the paragraphs on Loss & Damage and the debate on whether that topic requires a separate section. Purely due to the space limit on this blog I will be addressing them separately. Likely tomorrow.

16:15 on 3/9/15 (UK date).
 

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