Wednesday, 7 January 2026

LAGTTM: Part 11; Economic Eras & Black Lives Matter.

To be read as a direct continuation of Part 10; https://watchitdie.blogspot.com/2025/11/lets-all-go-to-movies-pt10.html

Ever since the US Democrat Party faced the prospect of defeat at the 2014 Mid-Term Elections the US has been suffering with the intellectual poison of the Black Lives Matter (BLM) movement. As is so often the case the US has not been content with containing this poison within its own borders, instead exporting it and inflicting it on the World.

Central to the Black Lives Matter movement is Critical Race Theory. This dictates that all social and political issues have to be viewed in the context of Race. It is particularly obsessed with the issue of Slavery. Or, to be truthful, it is obsessed with The Atlantic Slave Trade. It does not permit you to know that Slavery is something which has been practiced by pretty much all Cultures and Races throughout all of the World and Human history. Really from the moment when one strong Human discovered they were able to force a slightly weaker Human to do things for them.

Critical Race Theory certainly forbids you from knowing that the etymological root of the word; "Slave" is; "Slav." A White ethnic group from the Caucasus Region of Eastern Europe. An ethnic group which, literally, could not be more; "Caucasian." Acknowledging that would force Critical Race Theory to also acknowledge that in most examples of Slavery there has been no Racial element whatsoever. Demonstrating that you can't even discuss the issue of Slavery exclusively in terms of Race utterly destroys Critical Race Theory central tenet that all issues must be considered in terms of Race.

The history of Brazil is the history of The Atlantic Slave Trade. So this is another big topic which "I'm Still Here" (2024) allows us to discuss.

Around 1420 explorers from The Portuguese Empire discovered a small group of uninhabited islands in the Atlantic Ocean, around 800km (500miles) South-West of Portugal and around 500km (300miles) West of Morocco. Naming these islands; "Madeira" (Wood) The Portuguese Empire claimed them as its own and began to settle them. It did this by dividing the islands into Captaincies, granting Donatário status to three Knights; João Gonçalves Zarco, Tristão Vax Teixeira and Bartolomeu Perestrelo. Shortly afterwards Portuguese Peasants, former prisoners and members of the lower Nobility were allowed to move to Madeira to try and start new lives. 

The early settlers discovered that Madeira’s climate wasn't particularly good for growing things like Wheat. However it was very good for growing Sugarcane. So Madeira’s Donatário switched from Subsistence Farming, growing food to eat, to Cash-Cropping, growing Sugar for sale across the known World (Europe and Asia) and using the proceeds to import food to eat. To help grow, harvest and process Sugarcane into Sugar for export Madeira’s Donatário did use some Slave Labour. However its role was much smaller than during The African Slave Trade which came later.

Further dispelling the myth that Slavery was only something White Christians did to Black people during The African Slave Trade the Slaves used by Madeira’s Donatário were predominately Barbary/Berber Pirates. North-African Muslims of The Ottoman Empire (1299-1922) who used to raid ships in the Mediterranean and settlements along Europe's Southern coast in order to seize White Christians as Slaves for sale within The Ottoman Empire.

The US actually went on to fight two wars against The Ottoman Empire to protect Europe from Babary Pirates; The First Barbary War (1801-1805) and the Second Barbary War (two whole days in 1815). According to some the US Marine Corp went on to use many of the same Humvees during their 2003 Invasion of Iraq.

With Barbary Pirates being Slavers no-one had any problem with using captured Barbary Pirates as Slaves. Madeira’s Donatário also didn't have much problem using the Slaves the Barbary Pirates were holding when they were captured as Slaves. They also added to the small number of Slaves they used on their Sugar Plantations by capturing members of the "Gaunche" population of the near-by Canary Islands, around 200km (120 miles) East of Madeira. The name; "Gaunche" or; "Gaunchinet" literally means; "Person of Tenerife" with Tenerife being the largest of the Canary Islands. Although recognised as a distinct Ethnic group in its own right the Gaunche are considered the decedents of and closely related to Barber Settlers from North-Africa. So can't properly be considered an Indigenous or Aboriginal population.

As a result the Slaves used on Sugar Plantations by Madeira’s Donatário were a mix of White Europeans and what we would now consider to be North-African Arabs. There's nothing to indicate any Slaves from Sub-Saharan Africa, what we would now consider to be Black.

In 1453 The Byzantine Empire (330-1453) fell to The Ottoman Empire (1299-1922). This blocked Christian Europe's access to Asia via The Silk Road. In 1484 an Italian explorer by the name of Christopher Columbus had the idea of sailing West to Asia, opening up a faster, alternative to The Silk Road. Initially he pitched his idea to The Portuguese Empire which turned him down, twice. His calculations were clearly wrong. In April 1492 Christopher Columbus got The Kingdom of Spain to sponsor his exploration and he set sail. In August 1492 Christopher Columbus' exploration hit a bit of a problem. In the form of a massive, yet previously unknown, landmass we now call The Americas.

In April 1500 the Portuguese explorer Pedro Álvares Cabral became the first European to discover what we now consider to be Brazil. Although it had an abundance of interesting trees you could make a red dye out of; "Pau-brasilia (Wood-with an ember-like glow)" The Portuguese Empire couldn't see much use for this newly (to them) discovered landmass. Thinking of it more as an annoying speedbump on a new trade route to Asia. However, from the experience of The Silk Road The Portuguese Empire knew it had to establish some sort of physical presence there in order to keep the trade route to Asia open.

In order to establish that physical presence The Portuguese Empire just did what it had done in Madeira. Divided the area up into Captaincies and give each of The 15 Captaincies of Brazil to a Donatário to run as they saw fit. As with their counterparts in Madeira Brazil's Donatário discovered the local climate was pretty good for growing things like Sugarcane, which could then be sold as the very profitable Cash-Crop, Sugar. Again as in Madeira Brazil's Donatário made some use of Slave Labour, in the form of members of the Indigenous or Aboriginal population.

With Madeira emerging as a major trading hub due to the Sugar trade The Portuguese Empire was able to use it to explore further along Africa's Atlantic Coast during this time. In around 1471 they arrived in what is now considered the nation of Ghana. Finding the area to be rich in Gold they colonised it by dividing it up into Captaincies and appointing Donatário to run it. The area became known as; "The Portuguese Gold Coast." In 1642 The Portuguese Empire lost a war for control of the area with what was then The Republic of the Seven United Netherlands (The Dutch Republic). The area then became known as; "The Dutch Gold Coast."

In 1621 the Dutch West India Company (GWC) was established. The Dutch Republic gave this Private Corporation a monopoly on all trade from The Dutch Gold Coast across to Dutch Colonies in The Americas. Places such as "New Netherland" in what is now considered the US States of New York, New Jersey, Delaware, Connecticut, Pennsylvania and Rhode Island and the modern nation of Suriname which borders Brazil to the North. Here the Dutch West India Company linked up with the Dutch East India Company (VOC) - the World's first Multinational Corporation.

Like The Portuguese Empire the Dutch West India Company discovered that the local climate in The Americas was pretty good for growing Sugarcane, which could then be sold as the very profitable Cash-Crop, Sugar. The Dutch West India Company's operations in The Dutch Gold Coast brought it into contact with The Ashanti Empire. A Colonial Power itself The Ashanti Empire established itself by militarily conquering its neighbours and seizing them as Slaves. Slavery being something which has been practiced by, really, all Races and Cultures against all other Races and Cultures across the World throughout of all of Human history. One of the first things The Ashanti Empire did when it encountered Portuguese and then Dutch traders was try and sell them Sub-Saharan or Black Slaves. Assuring the White Europeans that it was perfectly acceptable to keep and sell Black people as Slaves.

The Dutch West India Company quickly noticed how the Donatário in Madeira and Brazil's use of small numbers of locally captured Slaves helped boost the profits from their Sugar plantations. They then realised that if they used large numbers of Black Slaves provided to them by The Ashanti Empire in their Sugar plantations in The Americas it would boost their profits by large amounts. Thus The Atlantic Slave Trade began.

With The Atlantic Slave Trade boosting its profits massively the Dutch West India Company soon became far richer than the Donatário of The 15 Captaincies of Brazil. So declared war on them to seize more territory - The Dutch Invasion of Brazil (1624-1654) sometimes known as; "The Sugar Wars." This forced The Portuguese Empire to take The 15 Captaincies of Brazil back under its control. Taking them out of what we would now consider the Private Sector into the Public Sector (Nationalisation). In order to survive The Portuguese Empire was forced to adopt the business model of the Dutch East India Company and start participating in The Atlantic Slave. Soon every plantation in The Americas growing things like Coffee, Cotton, Tobacco and Bananas, not just Sugar, had to start participating in The Atlantic Slave Trade in order to not be forced out of business by competitors who were participating in The Atlantic Slave Trade.

Christopher Columbus' accidental collision with The Americas came right at the end of a period of European history known as; "The Dark Ages." During this time the rule of the Roman Catholic Christian Church was absolute. Anything which challenged the total authority of the Catholic Church, such as art, science or philosophy was illegal. This was the era of The Spanish Inquisition. It was also the era in which Galileo Galilei observed, correctly, that the Earth orbits the Sun. Not the other way around, as the Catholic Church dictated. Something which saw Galileo imprisoned, tortured and banished for 350 years.

So Christopher Columbus was actually being quite brave. Approaching the Catholic King who an expelled all of the Jews from Spain for help in proving that the Earth was globe-shaped, rather than flat. Apparently he promised them riches.

In 1517 a group of White Anglo-Saxon Catholic Christians began protesting (Protestant) against the total authority of the Catholic Church when Martin Luther wrote his; "Ninety-Five Theses: Disruption on the Power and Efficacy of Indulgences." Eventually this ended the total authority of the Catholic Church in Europe and ushered in; "The Age of Enlightenment." With science and philosophy being legal again many began to question whether it was morally right to own other Humans, of any Race or Culture, as Slaves.

By the early 19th Century those who thought owning other Humans as Slaves was morally wrong had become the majority. So for the very first time in Human history the selling of other Humans as Slaves became illegal. Notably through the UK's Foreign Slave Trade Act (1806) which specifically targeted The Atlantic Slave Trade.

When Brazil officially left The Portuguese Empire and became The Empire of Brazil in 1822 the price Britain demanded to recognise it, alongside trade concessions, was for Brazil to end its participation in The Atlantic Slave Trade. Having expelled British rule in 1776 the US didn't end its participation in The Atlantic Slave Trade until 1865, following a civil war over the issue; The US Civil War (1861-1865). Although the US State of Virginia ended its participation in The Atlantic Slave Trade in 1778, under Thomas Jefferson. One of many details Black Lives Matter and Critical Race Theory seem unware of. 

At around 18:00 on 7/1/26 (UK date) I'm still thinking complete thoughts are worth more than manic, scattered paragraphs.

Edited at around 17:50 on 19/1/26 (UK date) to quickly add tobacco above and copy & paste;

Critical Race Theory and Black Lives Matter are equally obsessed with; "Colonialism." By which they mean The European Colonial Era during which The Atlantic Slave Trade took place. Don't bother ask them a single question about The Saka Conquest of the Tarim Basin or that massive big wall China had to build to try and stop itself being Colonised by Genghis Khan and The Mongol Empire (1205-1294). All you'll get is blank stares.

The European Colonial Era is another big topic I'm Still Here (2024) allows us to discuss. The History of Brazil is The History of The European Colonial Era.

In 1453 The (Colonial) Byzantine Empire fell to The (Colonial) Ottoman Empire cutting Europe's access to Asia via The Silk Road. This prompted Christopher Columbus to try and find another route between Europe and Asia by sailing West. In 1492 he accidentally collided with the unexpected landmass we now know as The Americas. In 1500 Pedro Álvares Cabral explored The Americas further and became the first European to land in what we now know as Brazil. In 1519 the Portuguese Explorer Ferdinand Magellan completed Christopher Columbus' expedition by sailing South around The Americas and onto Asia, returning to Spain in 1522 after completing The First Circumnavigation of the Globe.

With this much faster route between Europe and Asia opened up Europe began trading with Asia on an unprecedented scale

In 1600 the British East India Company (EIC) was founded by British Merchants trading in East Asia. Rather than being established as a Private Corporation the British East India Company was founded by Royal Charter, a uniquely British legal arrangement in which the British Monarch uses their Royal Prerogative to create a Corporation which has legal powers similar to that of a Municipal Authority. The City of London district of Britain's capital city London is still run by The City of London Corporation rather than, say, the neighbouring district of Southwark which is run by Southwark District Council. Making the British East India Company an early example of what I would consider Hybrid-State Totalitarian Capitalism. 

In 1602 Dutch Merchants trading in East Asia created the similar Dutch East India Company (VOC). However as an exclusively Private Corporation, making it the first ever Multinational Corporation. In 1621 Dutch Merchants trading in The Americas formed The Dutch West India Company (GWC). The early success of the Dutch East India Company prompted merchants in many European nations to establish similar Corporations to trade with Asia, The Americas and Africa. Such as the French West India Company, the French East India Company, the Danish Africa/West India Company and Britain's Royal African Company.

These European Corporations were so much wealthier and technologically advanced than the societies in which they operated they were able to take over those societies entirely. In the 1920's the term; "Banana Republic" was coined to describe US Corporations takeover of governments in Latin America. However those US Corporations had inherited their Latin American plantations from The Spanish Empire following the US' victory in The Spanish-American War (1898). They simply continued to run them as The Spanish Empire had done.

The growing wealth of these European Corporations meant they soon became essential to the Economies of the European nations in which they were established. Too big to fail. So the European nations had to step in to protect them and, by extension, their national Economies. For example the Dutch West India Company invaded Brazil in an effort to seize the 15 Captaincies of Brazil during The Sugar Wars (1624-1654). This forced The Portuguese Empire to take the 15 Captaincies of Brazil back under its control and go to war with the Dutch West India Company.

Facing the might of The Portuguese Empire the Dutch West India Company quickly went into decline. Following The Sugar Wars the Dutch West India Company was only kept in business by its involvement in The Atlantic Slave Trade. Something which is also true of the Danish Africa/West India Company and the British Royal Africa Company. Eventually all of the European nations had to step in to support their European Corporations from their rival European nations. Creating an early version of what I consider Hybrid-State Totalitarian Capitalism in which certain Private Corporations received special rules and special protections from the nations in which they were established.

In the late 18th Century France overthrew its Monarchy in The French Revolution (1789-1799). Rather than resulting in the Liberal-Democracy it hoped to bring about The French Revolution instead led to The First French Empire (1804-1815) with Emperor Napoleon Bonaparte ruling as a King in all but name. Even before fully establishing himself as Emperor Napoleon Bonaparte then set about declaring war on pretty much every other European nation; The Napoleonic Wars (1803-1815), which were actually a series of seven wars rather than a single war. As the various European nations fell to The First French Empire the various Hybrid-State Private Corporations they were intertwined with also fell to The First French Empire. By the time of Napoleon's defeat and the fall of The First French Empire almost all of the Colonial Corporations like the Dutch West India Company had ceased to exist.

One notable exception was the British East India Company. This actually became more powerful following The Napoleonic Wars, eventually absorbing much of the Dutch East India Company. However by 1857 its treatment of the indigenous population where it operated had become so bad that the indigenous population rebelled; The Indian Rebellion of 1857. In order to avoid losing its assets in India entirely The British Empire was forced to take control of the British East India Company and rule over its territories directly; The British Raj (1858-1947).

That is probably the main lesson that I'm Still Here (2024) is trying to teach Black Lives Matter about The European Colonial Era. That The European Colonial Era has ended and that it ended a very long time ago. So much has happened since then that the era Black Lives Matter insist all political and societal issues must be considered in terms of actually has very little influence on the World we live in today.

Brazil's own exit from The European Colonial Era was certainly an unusual one. During The Napoleonic Wars (1803-1815) The First French Empire invaded Portugal; The Peninsula War (1808-1814). This saw the Portuguese King, John VI and his Royal Court leave Portugal for Brazil. There they established Brazil as the seat of The Portuguese Empire, rather than a mere Colony of The Portuguese Empire. When King John VI returned to Portugal in 1821 he left his son Pedro as the Prince Regent of Brazil. This seems to have been done on the understanding that the following year Pedro would make himself Emperor Pedro I and establish Brazil as a nation independent from The Portuguese Empire, becoming The Empire of Brazil (1822-1889).

The rather exceptional way in which The European Colonial Era came to an end in Brazil allows us to compare it to how the European Colonial Era came to an end in other places.

The European Colonial Era ended even earlier in Black Live Matter's home nation, the US. In 1765 the decedents of European Colonialisers in the US rose up in Revolution - The American Revolution (1765-1783) - and fought a war to expel The British Empire - The American Revolutionary War (1775-1783).

The US' immediate neighbour to the South, Mexico, also brought about the end of The European Colonial Era in a similar way. With The Spanish Empire being weakened by The Napoleonic Wars the decedents of European Colonisers rose up and fought a war of independence to expel The Spanish Empire - The Mexican War of Independence (1810-1821)

It is perhaps another of Black Lives Matter's more poisonous lies that the US' victory in The Mexican-American War (1846-1848) saw the White Europeans of the US Colonise the indigenous Hispanic population of States like California. When The Mexican-American War was a war between two groups of the decedents of European Colonisers. Hispanics are White Europeans, their defeat at the hands of a slightly different group of White Europeans doesn't make them indigenous to Mexico or anywhere else in Latin America.

Arguably the US' immediate neighbour to the North, Canada, still hasn't been able to emerge from The European Colonial Era. Continuing to be directly ruled by the British Crown.

For the most part though the event which ended The European Colonial Era was The First World War (1914-1918). This was the result of the European Colonial Powers behaving as they had done during The Napoleonic Wars and the hundreds of years of European wars which had preceded it. Both The Austro-Hungarian Empire and The Russian Empire saw the assassination of Franz Ferdinand, heir to the Austro-Hungarian throne, as an opportunity to seize bits of European territory off of each other. The Allied Powers rallied around The Russian Empire in an effort to seize bits of European territory from The Central Powers which had rallied around The Austro-Hungarian Empire.

All quickly discovered that the invention of technology like machine guns and Oil fuelled motor vehicles meant warfare had very much changed since The Napoleonic Wars. Gone were the days of battles being fought between neatly ordered ranks of soldiers with muskets and bayonets and Saka-style cavalrymen over the course of a single day. With both sides almost politely shaking hands when night fell and the battle ended. Instead the European Colonial Powers found themselves trapped in a four year long stalemate which ate up all of their wealth and resources and killed some 38 million of their people. A lesson the people of Latin America, particularly Bolivia and Paraguay, learned for themselves in The Chaco War (1932-1935).

Such was the cost of The First World War to the European Colonial Powers that four of the main Empires which had started it did not survive it. The Austro-Hungarian Empire was completely defeated while The Ottoman Empire, The Russian Empire, The German Empire were overthrown by popular revolutions by their own people.

In the years immediately following The First World War several more of the European Colonial Powers were overthrown by National-Socialist or Fascist Coup d’états. Italy in 1922 under Benito Mussolini. Spain in 1936 under Francisco Franco whose dictatorship lasted until 1975. The Portuguese Empire itself with The 1926 Coup d’état which established the Ditadura Nacional (National Dictatorship) that remained in place until 1974.

The European Colonial Powers which did manage to survive The First World War had been weakened to the point that they could no longer maintain a tight grip on their Colonies. Technically Ireland didn't stop being a Colony of The British Empire and become the independent Republic of Ireland until 1949. However following The Irish War of Independence (1919-1921) it became a self-ruled territory, answerable to The British Empire in name only. A similar Dominion Status was also conferred on a number of other Colonies of The British Empire at this time, such as Australia, New Zealand, Canada, Newfoundland and South Africa.

The rise of National-Socialism or Fascism in what used to be The German Empire, The Italian Empire, The Spanish Empire and The Portuguese Empire coupled with the rise of Marxist-Socialism or Communism in what used to be The Russian Empire and The Austro-Hungarian Empire led to The Second World War (1939-1945)

The immense cost of The Second World War finally put an end to the European Colonial Powers that had managed to survive The First World War. The British Empire came to an end in 1949 with its Irish Dominion becoming and independent nation. Along with the former possession of the British East India Company which became four independent nations; India, Pakistan, Bangladesh and Sri Lanka.

At around 18:20 on 19/1/26 (UK date) I'll try and complete the next thought as soon as possible.

Edited at around 16:45 on 27/1/26 (UK date) to tidy all the above and copy & paste;

The European Colonial Era gave way to The Neo-Colonial Era. This is another topic I'm Still Here (2024) allows us to discuss in a lot of detail. The History of Brazil is The History of the Neo-Colonial Era.

The Neo-Colonial or New-Colonial Era has its origins in the; "Dollar Diplomacy" policy which US President William H. Taft established in 1912. The idea being to replace Bullets with Dollars by using US economic strength rather than US military strength to pursue US strategic interests, particularly in Latin America.

The European Colonial Era in the US ended when The American Revolution (1765-1783) expelled The British Empire. However this still left the US completely surrounded by colonies of European Colonial Powers. In 1812 The British Empire tried to take the US back as a colony in The War of 1812 (1812-1815). The European Colonial Era ended in the US' immediate neighbour to the South, Mexico, in 1821 following The Mexican War of Independence (1810-1821). However in 1861 The Second French Empire invaded Mexico in order to establish it as a French colony; The Second Franco-Mexican War (1861-1867).

In response to these efforts to return The Americas, including the US, to the European Colonial Era the US adopted The Monroe Doctrine in 1823. Broadly speaking this states that any attempt by any European Colonial Power to establish colonies anywhere in The Americas would be viewed as an attempt to reverse The American Revolution, allowing the US to intervene to prevent it.

In 1902 Venezuela defaulted on its debts to international creditors. Three of those creditors; The British Empire, The German Empire and The Italian Empire placed Venezuela under Naval Blockade, demanding the payment of the money they were owed. In 1904 the International Court of Arbitration ruled that the debts Venezuela owned gave its creditors authority to seize Venezuelan property and territory to recover those debts. Almost exactly like a Court can grant a creditor authority to break into a debtor’s home and use force to recover the money owed. The International Court of Arbitration also gave priority to the nations which were already taking military action; The British Empire, The German Empire and The Italian Empire over nations which weren't already taking military action, such as the US.

This ruling by the International Court of Arbitration represented a new threat to The Monroe Doctrine. Establishing the non-repayment of debt as grounds for the European Colonial Powers to use military force to re-establish colonies in The Americas. In response US President Theodore Roosevelt added an amendment to The Monroe Doctrine; "The Roosevelt Corollary." This allowed the US to intervene in any nation in The Americas in response to; "Chronic wrongdoing or impotence which results in the general loosening of the ties of civilized society." Such as a failure to pay debts.

Since US Awards Season 2025 there has been much talk of President Donald Trump adding his own corollary to The Monroe Doctrine. Although there has never been any coherent expression of what this means, let alone a formal amendment to The Monroe Doctrine. However I really feel I should take the time to point out that The Monroe Doctrine along with any and all corollaries to it are merely policy documents. They have absolutely no legal force under even US Law. In terms of International Law they carry all the same weight as a child's wish.

During US President Taft's tenure Honduras became heavily indebted to The British Empire, creating a risk that The British Empire could seize Honduran territory as payment for those debts. Rather than waiting for things to get that point President Taft devised Dollar Diplomacy as a way for the US Private Sector, led by banker John Pierpont (J.P) Morgan, to buy up Honduran debt. Making the US rather than The British Empire the main creditor, removing The British Empire's ability to seize Honduran territory as repayment of the debt. An intervention under The Roosevelt Corollary before things had escalated to the point where military force was required. The Roosevelt Corollary was really a response to the US lacking the military power to join The British, German and Italian Empires in their 1902 blockade of Venezuela.

The thinking behind Dollar Diplomacy was not new at the time. It's a misconception that The European Colonial Era was the result of Europe nations using military force to seize territory. Instead it was done almost exclusively by Private Corporations through trade. However the Value-Exchange of that trade was wildly irrational. Both sides thought they were exchanging something which had little value to them for something which had a lot of value to them. Migratory Hunter-Gather societies like Native American tribes must have thought the people who wanted to buy land to build permanent homes would be dead within a year.

European Corporations like the Dutch West India Company, Britain's Royal Africa Company and the Danish Africa/West India Company didn't kidnap Black Africans to be used as Slaves. Instead The Ashanti Empire kidnapped Black Africans to be used as Slaves. The Ashanti Empire then traded them to the Dutch West India Company, Britain's Royal Africa Company and the Danish Africa/West India Company. It turns out that Slave labour has a way of massively boosting productivity while Rum has a way of reducing productivity.

The Industrial Revolution is generally considered to have occurred in Europe during the 18th and 19th Centuries, at the height of The European Colonial Era. However The Industrial Revolution was preceded by The Second-Agricultural Revolution, which occurred at the start of The European Colonial Era. The Second-Agricultural Revolution is really considered the industrial revolution of farming.

Prior to The Second-Agricultural Revolution no-one really owned farmland. It was shared in common with everyone using it for Subsistence Farming, growing food to feed themselves and their families. During the Second-Agricultural Revolution farmland was enclosed for the first time. It was given an owner, like a Brazilian Donatário, who then employed people to work it for them. With this requiring less people it freed people up to do other forms of work, specialising in making specific things like textiles and bricks. 

This Proto-Industrialisation saw the creation of the first factories. Although, arguably, the industrialisation of milling wool to produce textiles dates back to deep in The Dark Ages, long before The Second-Agricultural Revolution. The advanced technology of Proto-Industrialisation meant that the European Corporations were actually wanted in the Asian, African and American territories they were trading with. The first territory that the British East India Company established in what became the British Colony of India was a factory it opened in Masulipatnam in 1611. Something it did at the invitation of Emperor Jahangir after he had seen how factories could boost production and make him richer.

During the course of The European Colonial Era, particularly through The Napoleonic Wars, the role of Private Corporations and trade shrank and was largely replaced by the role of Nation states and military force. The US freed itself from The European Colonial Era through military force, as did its Southern neighbour Mexico. The US really ended The European Colonial Era throughout The Americas through military force; The Spanish-American War (1898). Rather than being a revolutionary new idea President Taft's Dollar Diplomacy was really an attempt to shift the balance back away from war in favour of trade.

Although Dollar Diplomacy is largely considered to be a failure at the time President Taft's desire to shift away from Colonial wars back to trade was almost immediately proved right. Just two years later in 1914 the European Colonial Powers declared war on each other and destroyed themselves in The First World War (1914-1918). They were completely finished off by The Second World War (1939-1945) which ended with the use of Nuclear weapons against The Japanese Empire. The Second World War was immediately replaced by The Cold War (1945-1990). This saw The Capitalist First World square off against The Communist Second World. With both sides being heavily armed with Nuclear weapons any use of military force would quickly result in Nuclear War and the destruction of everybody on Earth.

With the use of Bullets being rendered impossible there was a massive shift back towards using Dollars instead. The Neo-Colonial Era began.

It is very easy to dismiss the genuine altruistic, humanitarian motivations behind Neo-Colonialism. The Monroe Doctrine was not adopted to establish US control over The Americas. It was adopted to prevent European Colonial Powers re-establishing their control over the US. Following the US-led expulsion of European Colonial Powers from The Americas in The Spanish-American War (1898) the Roosevelt Corollary was adopted to prevent European Colonial Powers re-establishing their control over The Americas. Dollar Diplomacy and Neo-Colonialism were just a different method of upholding The Monroe Doctrine with the Roosevelt Corollary.

What caused Venezuela to default on its debts in 1902 was a civil war triggered by poverty amongst the Venezuelan people. What caused Honduras' debt to reach unsustainable levels in 1908 was a civil war triggered by poverty amongst the Honduran people. What caused the fall of The German Empire was a revolution triggered by poverty amongst the German people. The failure of The Weimar Republic which replaced The German Empire to end that poverty led to its downfall and the rise of the National-Socialism (Fascism) of Adolf Hitler and Nazi Germany. What caused the fall of The Russian Empire was a revolution triggered by mass poverty amongst the Russian people. Seeing Russia adopt Marxist-Socialism (Communism), setting the stage for both The Second World War and The Cold War.

What is clear from all those examples is that poverty causes instability. It is that instability which makes nations vulnerable to foreign interference. Prior to The Second World War that foreign interference in The Americas was from European Colonial Powers. In the Cold War that foreign interference in The Americas was from the Colonial, Communist Soviet Union.

So if you want to protect nations from instability and foreign interference you have to eliminate poverty. This is something clearly demonstrated during The Fifth Brazilian Republic (1964-1982/5), in which I'm Still Here is set.

While there is no denying the violence and oppression of Brazil's Years of Lead the Military Dictatorship was not a regime kept in power through violence and fear. Instead it was genuinely popular and continues to be genuinely popular amongst many Brazilians who lived through it. The reason for that popularity is that through the barely believable "Brazilian Miracle" it was extremely good at lifting huge numbers of Brazilians out of Rural Poverty and into Urban Prosperity. Although many Brazilians, arguably, got poorer in real terms during the Brazilian Miracle the Military Dictatorship massively reduced inflation, giving people the impression they were getting richer. It also provided people with payment-in-kind; the ability to live in modern houses with modern amenities like indoor plumbing and electricity. Which although hard to put a Dollar value on genuinely made a lot of people's lives better and feel better.

Even if you are doing it for purely altruistic, humanitarian reasons when you help people you are exerting control over them and making them dependent on you. Even if you only stop helping them because you genuinely can no longer help them their situation will worsen as a result of your decision.

The amount of control over people helping them gives you increases massively when it is conditional. In Democracies people tend to vote for governments which make their lives better. If your help is the reason why people's lives are getting better and you condition that help only to candidates who are going to do what you want at the exclusion of those who aren't. Then you are effectively choosing the next government, overriding the Democratic will of the people.

Providing that help on the condition that it has to be repaid, a loan rather than a gift, further increases your control over the people you are helping. Even if the people elect a government that isn't going to do what you want then the debts that new government owes you for the help you gave its predecessor can help you force it to do what you want anyway. This is something clearly demonstrated during The Fourth Brazilian Republic (1945-1965).

Eurico Gaspar Dutra, the first President of the Fourth Republic, brought Brazil much closer to the US. He broke off ties with the Soviet Union and helped the US bring 20+ nations of The Americas together under the pro-US Inter-American Treaty of Reciprocal Assistance (1948) which sought to give some legal and military force to the Monroe Doctrine with the Roosevelt Corollary. President Dutra particularly adopted the US model of Infrastructure Development as a driver for Economic Growth. With the US Big Three Auto companies offering to build factories and sell their vehicles at a discount President Dutra borrowed massively from private US lenders, such as JP Morgan and the Big Three themselves, to build some 500km (300 miles) of new Freeways.

The tenure of Getúilo Vargas, the second President of the Fourth Republic, was really too chaotic for any great Economic policy. Although he did try to tackle the debt driven crisis he'd inherited from President Dutra through a program of Nationalisation. President Vargas ended up committing suicide rather than resigning over a crisis, the assassination of Rubens Florentino Vaz, which may well have been an attempt to set him up. President Vargas' replacement, Café Filho, was himself incapacitated by a Stroke and had to be replaced by Carlos Luz. Due to fears that Carlos Luz would not allow Juscelino Kubitschek to succeed him as President the Brazilian Military replaced Carlos Luz with Nereu Ramos. As a way to ensure that Juscelino Kubischek became President, despite it being unclear whether Kubitschek had won the 1955 election or not.

Upon becoming the sixth President of the Fourth Republic Juscelino Kubitschek picked up where President Dutra had left off, just six years earlier. He massively adopted the idea of borrowing money to fund Infrastructure Development as a driver of Economic Growth. Particularly undertaking the massive infrastructure project of building Brazil a new capital city, Brasília. President Kubitschek also massively loosened the rules on foreign investment offering generous land grants, tax breaks and profit remittances for foreign Corporations who, essentially, brought out Brazilian Corporations under the guise of Associated Capital. The majority of the foreign Corporations President Kubitschek borrowed money from and allowed to invest in Brazil on generous terms were US Corporations. President Kubitschek's policies all but bankrupted Brazil. Forcing it to take out a, massive for the time, US$300m loan from the US government.

President Kubitschek's successor Jânio Qandros, the seventh President of the Fourth Republic, set about distancing Brazil from the US, re-establishing diplomatic ties with the Soviet Union. However the massive debt Brazil owed the US government prevented President Qandros from delivering on his Economic promises to voters and he was forced to resign in 1961.

Brazil was then taken to the brink of civil war by attempts to stop João Goulart becoming President; The Legality Campaign. Eventually becoming President João Goulart set about reversing President Kubitschek's rules of foreign investment and introduced a massive program of Nationalisation. Although strictly speaking done by his ally, Leonel Brizola, President Goulart's tenure saw the Nationalisation of Companhia Telefónica Nacional (National Telephone Company) which had been owned by the US' ITT Corporation, run by Harold Geneen. A close friend of then CIA Director John A. McCone.

Through Operation: Brother Sam the US then led the Brazilian Military in overthrowing the government of President Goulart and establishing the Military Dictatorship of The Fifth Brazilian Republic. During this time the Brazilian Economy was run almost exclusively for the benefit of US Corporations. When the barely believable Brazilian Miracle inevitably imploded it left Brazil as the most heavily indebted nation in the World. Arguably it was pressure from Brazil's many, many (non-US) foreign creditors which forced the end of the Fifth Republic, the return to Democracy and the establishment of The Sixth Brazilian Republic (1982/5-Present).

If the start of The Neo-Colonial Era can be tied to a single event or date then it would be United Nations Monetary and Financial Conference held at the Mount Washington Hotel in Bretton Woods in the US State of New Hampshire. This so-called "Bretton Woods Conference" itself lasted for over three weeks in July 1944.

Parties at the Bretton Woods Conference agreed to make their national currencies exchangeable with each other. Prior to that you couldn't use British Pounds Sterling to buy US Dollars, Brazilian Reals, Argentinian Pesos etc. What we now think of as an everyday part of taking a foreign holiday was simply impossible. Instead you had to use your currency to buy something like Gold and then use that Gold to buy the currency of the country you were travelling to. 

If you were trading with a foreign country on a daily basis the inability to exchange currencies directly made the process infinitely more complicated. Particularly as prior to the Bretton Woods Conference not everyone even agreed to make their currency exchangeable with Gold. Forcing you to go and find whatever weird polished shell they were using to support their currency. British Pounds were traditionally tied to the value of Sterling Silver, rather than Gold.

Although they agreed to it at the Bretton Woods Conference European Colonial Powers really didn't want to make their currencies exchangeable, carving out delays to them having to do it. Whereas the US immediately made the US Dollar exchangeable. Effectively making the US Dollar the global trading/reserve currency. A position which was strengthened by later agreements which allowed currencies to be tied to assets other than Gold, such as Oil.

During the First World War and Second World War The British Empire brought a lot of, particularly food, from Brazil and Argentina. However they did so on credit, taking out loans essentially. When those loans became due The British Empire repaid them into trust accounts in the Bank of England in the form of British Pounds Sterling, which couldn't be exchanged for other currencies. Which is really a convoluted way of saying Britain refused to pay its debts. At the end of The Second War the US brought those debts from Brazil and Argentina in US Dollars. Something which particularly allowed Juan Perón to Nationalise railroads in Argentina which had previously been owned by British Private Corporations. Giving The British Empire one final swift, hard kick out of The Americas.

The Bretton Woods Conference also created the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and the International Bank for Reconstruction and Development (IBRD), which went on to become the first of the five organisations of The World Bank Group. The IMF and the World Bank set out to eliminate the instability created by the general wrongdoing that loosens the ties of a civilised society which the Roosevelt Corollary to the Monroe Doctrine warns about. Essentially they remove the risk of conflict as a result of a nation defaulting on its debts by acting as lenders-of-last-resort, a guarantor underwriting all the debts of nations who agreed to become members before and since the Bretton Woods Conference.

The outcomes of the Bretton Woods Conference really established Neo-Colonialism and Dollar Diplomacy as the policy of the Capitalist First World during the Cold War.

When a Third World nation was becoming economically developed enough to be able to join either the Capitalist First World or the Communist Second World the Capitalist First World would entice it to join them by offering it loans from Private Corporations. Just as happened in Brazil under President Dutra and President Kubitschek. When the nation became unable to pay those loans a combination of the IMF and the World Bank would step in. Paying off the Private Corporations and taking ownership of the nation’s debt.

In order to get the debt repaid the IMF/World Bank would typically demand that the debtor nation switches is Agricultural sector from growing food for its people to eat to Cash-Cropping. Growing crops like Sugar, Tobacco, Cotton, Coffee etc to be sold internationally for cash. 

From the time of the 15 Captaincies of Brazil the Brazilian economy was heavily focused on Cash-Cropping, essentially being modelled on the economy of Madeira during the Sugar Boom. This succeeded in making a small number of people, the Donatário, huge amounts of money. However it also delayed Brazil’s Industrialisation and trapped the majority of Brazil’s population in Rural Poverty. The Industrial Revolution really only arrived in Brazil after the First World War, when the mutual blockade of its main European trading partners forced it to move away from Cash-Cropping.

The IMF/World Bank demands for Cash-Cropping for debt repayment created all the same problems that it created for Brazil up to the 1920’s; delayed Industrialisation and a population trapped in Rural Poverty. It also created a much more serious problem. With all agriculture given over to Cash-Cropping debtor nations were no longer able to grow food to feed their people. An IMF/World Bank director might not be concerned that the people of, say, Brazil or Kenya are starving to death. However the people who are starving tend to get quite upset about it. So they force their governments to import food to feed them. In order to buy this food from abroad a nation which already cannot afford to pay its debts is forced to get even deeper into debt. Trapping it in this never ending cycle where its economy is destroyed in an effort to pay the interest on its debts only for its debts to get ever bigger.

The IMF/World Bank would also normally demand that nations adopt Economic Structural Adjustment Plans (ESAP’s) in return paying off the Private Corporations. Typically ESAP’s involved Privatising large parts of a debtor nation’s economy. The idea being to grow the nation’s economy by making State Owned Enterprises (SOE) more efficient and profitable. Although not the result of an IMF/World Bank ESAP the opening up of Brazil’s Oil Industry by ending Petrobras’ monopoly at the end of The Fifth Brazilian Republic is an example of this.

The catch was that in order to boost efficiency IMF/World Bank tendering rules meant that the Private Corporations taking over the SOE’s had to be the one which made the most attractive bid, regardless of where it was located. In practice this meant that it was foreign owned Private Corporations who got to take over large sections of debtor nations economies. They would only bid if they were given generous concessions, such as being offered very low tax rates. As happened in Brazil under President Kubitschek and during the barely believable Brazilian Miracle.

This created all the problems it created for Brazil under President Kubitschek and during the Brazilian Miracle. It reversed Industrialisation with domestic producers essentially being put out of business by much larger foreign rivals. Those foreign owned Private Corporations would then engage in the sort of Industrial Cash-Cropping seen during the Brazilian Miracle. Using local factories to cheaply produce things which are then sold overseas for a massively inflated price. All while keeping the profits to themselves thanks to low tax rates. Having lost its domestic industries the debtor nation then has to incur more debt by importing goods from overseas. Further trapping it into a never ending cycle in which its economy is destroyed to pay interest on its debts while its debts grow ever bigger.

A particularly spiteful aspect of the Neo-Colonial Era was First World Nations providing Export Credit Guarantees to Arms Companies. At the root of Dollar Diplomacy and Neo-Colonialism is the fact that poverty creates conflict which creates vulnerability. 

Particularly First World Arms Companies flipped this altruistic, humanitarian idea on its head. Realising that if you could start conflict you could create vulnerability. So in resource rich Third World nations they would get two or more groups to fight each other. That conflict made them vulnerable and that vulnerability forced them to sell their natural resources at far below the market value. At the same time the Arms Companies were selling all sides weapons. Knowing that when they failed to pay for them their First World Nations would step in and pay for them under Export Credit Guarantees. The First World Nations were happy to do this because they would simply add it to the nation’s debt knowing that the IMF/World Bank would step in to take over the debt and pay them off.

You can still see this aspect of the Neo-Colonial Era at work in the Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC). There over 100+ different armed groups are all fighting each other and the Congolese Government for control of the very resource rich east of the country. These groups are all supported by Rwanda and the nations which support Rwanda. Rwandan Government forces have themselves invaded the DRC. As a result of the vulnerability these conflicts create all of these armed groups are forced to steal the DRC’s natural resources and sell them far below market value through Rwanda. Since Awards Season 2025 US President Trump has repeatedly claimed to have ended the war in the DRC. Not only hasn't President Trump ended the war in the DRC, Trump hasn’t even begun to understand the question.

Like all eras of Human history the Neo-Colonial Era was the result of a large number of individuals making a large number of individual decisions over a long period of time. So there are many reasons why Neo-Colonialism shifted from its altruistic, humanitarian roots in Dollar Diplomacy into something much more sinister and exploitative.

However one big reason is probably that The Cold War was a war. Both the Capitalist First World and the Communist Second World saw it as an existential battle for survival. Defeat meant their way of life being destroyed and them either being killed or enslaved by the other. The alternative to Neo-Colonialism was firing Nuclear weapons at each other. Something which would result in the deaths of billions of people, if not all of the people. In comparison causing some people to suffer some economic hardship was a small price to pay to avoid losing a battle and keeping a nation aligned to the Capitalist First World.

Another big reason is probably the involvement of Private Corporations. In the US, and across the First World, Private Corporations which are traded in the Stock-market are legally obligated to maximise the profits for their shareholders. Directors of Private Corporations can go to jail if they don’t. Although not strictly speaking the same thing I have recently been seeing stories about Paris Jackson suing the Trust set up to manage her late father, Michael Jackson’s estate. Based on a skimming, rather than reading of the stories one of the main issues of contention seems to be the Trust not acting get the maximum profits from the assets it holds. So involving Private Corporations in Government policy is always going to see those Private Corporations act in the interest of maximising their profits. Perhaps the improperly close relationship between the likes of ITT Corp CEO Harold Geneen and CIA Director John A. McCone, what I term Hybrid-State Capitalism, prevented Government from reigning in the worst impulses of the Private Corporations.

I should point out that the Communist Second World did not adopt the outcomes of the Bretton Woods Conference so did not engage in Neo-Colonialism. Instead they established the alternative Council for Mutual Economic Assistance (CEMA/Comecon). Central to Communism is the idea that Capital is not needed for the economy to function. So Comecon didn’t entice emerging Third World nations to join by offering Capital loans from Private Corporations. Instead it directly provided commodities such as Oil and Wheat etc. Although not officially loans those commodities came with strings attached. Most typically that the nation would have to adopt Communism and join the Soviet Union. It was a much more directly Colonial approach than the looser Neo-Colonialism of the Capitalist First World. The most vocal critics of Neo-Colonialism tend to be supporters of Communist Imperialism whose plans were thwarted by Neo-Colonialism.

I should also point out that one of the most famous Humanitarian disasters of the Neo-Colonial Era was The 1983-1985 Ethiopian Famine. The event which triggered the Live Aid fundraising concerts and the Live Aid charity which continues to operate to this day. The 1983-1985 Ethiopian Famine was not a result of Neo-Colonialism. At the time Ethiopia was run by the Provisional Military Administrative Council (PMAC/Derg). A Communist Military Dictatorship which was part of the Communist Second World and ‘supported’ by Comecon.

At around 18:25 on 27/1/26 (UK date) I wouldn't like to guess when I'm going to complete the next thought by.

Edited at around 16:20 on 2/2/26 (UK date) to tidy the above and copy & paste;

When The Cold War ended it rather felt like the end of history. That's certainly how Francis Fukuyama described it in his 1992 book; "The End of History and The Last Man Standing." The great ideological divides that had shaped Human history such as between Capitalism and Communism during the Cold War or between Science and Religion in The Age of Enlightenment were at an end. Humanity had finally united around a single ideology. Humanity may not have united behind Western Liberal Democracy as Fukuyama had hoped but it had certainly been united by Capitalism. The Communist Soviet Union dissolved and embraced Capitalism and even Communist China had been enthusiastically embraced Capitalism since the late-1970's, as the Primary Stage of Communism.

With there being no great ideological divides, no great ideological wars to fight there was no longer any need for trade and Economics to be used as tools in those wars. With there being no Comecon there was no longer any need for the exploitative and dependence building aspects of Neo-Colonialism to block Economically emerging nations from joining Comecon and the Communist Second World. Instead people were able to focused solely on making goods and services that improved people's lives and selling them to people at a price they could afford, wherever they were in the World. This marked the start of The Globalised Era.

The issue of Globalisation and the fact the World was in a new Economic Era began to enter the public consciousness at the start of the 21st Century, 1999-2001, due to what were widely referred to as; "Anti-Globalisation Protests." A term I've never been comfortable with.

Contrary to what some people seem to believe the term; "Globalisation" or; "Globalist" doesn't mean; "Jews." Instead Globalisation refers to anything and everything which helps you understand that the Earth is Globe shaped. So to be opposed to Globalisation you have to be opposed to things like Ships, Aeroplanes, Trains and the Internet. Anti-Globalists don't explicitly say that they believe the Earth is flat. However they do reject the fundamental truth that the Earth is globe shaped.

One of the key aspects of the 1999-2001 protests is that they themselves were Globalised. Particularly making use of what was then dial-up Internet they were coordinated by likeminded people in many, many different nations of the World. So rather than being Anti-Globalisation protests they were actually Pro-Globalisation protests against specific, technical aspects of Globalisation.

The first big protest of the 1999-2001 era was the June 18th "J18" 1999 (18/6/1999) "Carnival Against Capital" which was organised to coincide with the G8 Summit taking place in Cologne, Germany that same day. The J18 protest took place in over 40 cities at the same time, places as diverse as Belarus, Nigeria, Uruguay, the US and Germany itself. The biggest and most attention grabbing part of J18 were the events in London, UK which descended into a mass riot resulting in widespread property damage across the City of London financial district.

Central to the London J18 Protest was the Jubilee 2000 Campaign. Inspired by the Hebrew/Old Testament Book of Leviticus this saw the start of a new Century as the Jubilee year. In which; "Those enslaved by debts are freed, lands lost because of debt are returned and community torn apart by inequality is restored." While the Qu'ran went on to explicitly ban Usury. As such J18 wanted to see US$90bn of debts incurred by the poorest nations during the Neo-Colonial Era, debts there was never any chance of being repaid, written off. Far from being an attempt to stop the Globalised Era the Jubilee 2000 campaign and the London J18 Protest were about permanently consigning the debts of the Neo-Colonial Era to the history books. Allowing the poorest nations to fully embrace the Globalised Era.

Beyond writing off debts that were never going to be repaid Jubilee 2000 and the London J18 Protest also sought changes to the way the IMF/World Bank operated. In order to make sure that nations wouldn't, through the policies of the IMF/World Bank, find themselves in a position where they were trapped in debts they would never be able to repay. 

So rather than demanding that all of a debtor nation's farmland be turned over to Cash-Cropping in order for the debt to be repaid as fast as possible maybe allow the debt to be repaid over a longer period of time. Allowing the debtor nation to use some of its farmland to feed its people, rather than having to incur more debt to import food. Increasing the amount of interest the creditor can collect over the longer repayment period and reducing the likelihood that the debt will become so large it has to be defaulted on and will never be repaid.

I do hesitate to use a sort of onesize-fits-all example of the type of changes being suggested to the IMF/World Bank. One of the big changes being suggested to the IMF/World Bank was they stop using a onesize-fits-all approach to their ESAP's. Regardless of where the debtor nation was or what its individual circumstances were the IMF/World Bank would often just issue the exact same ESAP. When taking a more in-depth look and tailoring ESAP's to each debtor nations individual circumstances, strengths and weaknesses, would produce far better results.

It must be said that for the most part the IMF/World Bank and other creditor organisations, such as Private Corporations, were actually very receptive to J18 and Jubilee 2000's, it almost feels too strong to call them; "Demands." Once they had explained to them the problems being caused by the way they operated and had better ways of operating suggested to them they were only too happy to adopt those changes. Leaving everyone a bit baffled at what all the clouds of teargas and heavily armoured mass ranks of riot police trying to block those discussions were all about. The discussions which were being had in the form of protests and riots at the start of the 21st Century are now just being had through email. Which certainly doesn't look as dramatic on the TV news but is definitely a better way of going about it.

If the start of the Globalised Era can be tied to a single event and a single date then it would be the Multilateral Trade Negotiations (MTN) resulting in the Marrakesh Declaration on April 15th 1994 (15/4/1994). This established the World Trade Organisation (WTO) on January 1st 1995 (1/1/1995). The World Trade Organisation is the international body which serves the General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade (GATT) and the General Agreement on Trade in Services (GATS). Rather like how the International Criminal Court (ICC) is the international body which serves the Rome Treaty (1998).

Established in 1948 the purpose of GATT, stated in its preamble, is to promote international trade through a; "Substantial reduction of tariffs and other trade barriers and the elimination of preferences, on a reciprocal and mutually advantageous basis." Entering into force when the WTO opened in January 1995 the purpose of GATS is the same, only for services rather than physical goods. Reflecting the increasing role of the knowledge economy; things like Movies, TV Shows, Music and Hospitality in More Economically Developed Countries. The WTO serves both of those treaties by providing a forum for nations to negotiate ways to remove tariffs and trade barriers and to provide arbitration for disputes between member nations.

Following its adoption in 1948 GATT initially made very little progress in reducing tariffs, other trade barriers and eliminating preferences. A substantial reason for this was the Cold War and Neo-Colonialism. Tariffs and preferential treatment being a very good way of enticing and coercing nations to join your side and do what you want. If a nation is being a good ally then you can reward them by offering them lower tariffs and other preferential treatment. If they are being a bad ally, such as cozying up to Russia or refusing to join you in your invasions, then you can punish them with higher tariffs. When Juan Perón refused to sign GATT and restored diplomatic relations with the Soviet Union the US responded by excluding Argentina's agricultural exports from the Marshall Plan to Europe, crippling Argentina's Beef industry.

Another substantial reason for GATT's slow progress was the consensus that existed across the Capitalist First World on the work of the British Economist John Menyard Keynes; "The Keynesian Consensus." Keynesian Economics dictated that Governments should interfere as much as possible in the Economy, stopping just short of a Communist full takeover of the Economy. Keynesian Economics was the idea behind US President Franklin D. Roosevelt's "New Deal" during The Great Depression (1929-1945) which was then expanded to become The Marshall Plan in Europe after The Second World War. It was the driving idea behind using Infrastructure Development as a driver of Economic Growth, seen in Brazil under Presidents Dutra and Kubitschek and during the so-called Brazilian Miracle.

For reasons I hope will become obvious efforts were often made to be discreet about it. However Keynesian Economics can be something as simple as a Steelworkers Union telling an incumbent politicians that it will get all if its members to vote for the politician's re-election if the politician can deliver pay rises at certain Steelmills. So the politician simply uses public money to pay the wages at those Steelmills, delivering the pay rises for the Union and getting themselves re-elected.

If one Steelmill's wage bill is being paid by the government, rather than the revenue they get from selling their Steel, then they can charge much less for their Steel. Allowing them to undercut rivals who aren't having their wage bill paid by the Government. This type of State-Aid is what is known as a; "Non-Tariff Barrier." To counteract that non-tariff barrier and protect their Steelmills a nation has to impose a tariff on the subsidised Steel, bringing its price up to the level of Steel made by Steelmills who are having to pay their wage bills out of the revenue they get from selling Steel. Throughout the years of the Keynesian Consensus during the Neo-Colonial Era these sort of non-tariff barriers created by state-aid where common and widespread across all industries and nations across the Capitalist First World. As a result tariffs had to be as common and widespread across all industries and nations in order to cancel out the non-tariff barriers.

Taken to the extreme Slavery is an example of Keynesian non-tariff barrier. If the government allows you to not feed your workforce, let alone pay them, then your costs of production fall massively. So you're able to reduce your prices massively. While Slavery was ended as a legal practice at the end of The Atlantic Slave Trade it continues as an illegal practice globally and continues to be a particular problem in the Cotton trade.

Although I think we should be congratulating them for ending Slavery, rather than shaming them for how long it took a good recent example of this is Uzbekistan. Their Cotton industry has officially been Slavery free since 2022. A former member of the Soviet Union Uzbekistan would force its large number of Government employees along with University and school students to abandon their usual work and go pick Cotton during harvest season. This something which was alluded to just after US President Trump's re-election in November 2024. When a handful of Black American University students were sent text messages telling them they'd been selected to pick Cotton and told to await instructions about the Cotton Plantation they'd be sent to.

What you can do in a situation like that is what you can do with less extreme examples of non-tariff barriers. Impose a tariff equal the saving made through using Slave labour to bring the price up to market value and eliminate the advantage gained through using Slave labour.

Of course another option would be to ban the import of goods produced using Slave labour entirely. That is what the US did under the Presidency of Barack Obama in 2016, in direct response to Uzbekistan. It repealed the consumptive demand clause of the Tariff Act of 1930, allowing a total ban on goods produced using Slave labour.

The problem with that approach is that as soon as you introduce a total ban you are breaking off contact and losing any influence over the people using Slave labour. The chances are that while you won't be buying goods produced using Slave labour they'll just be sold to someone else and the use of Slave labour will just continue. Arguably it is morally better to continue to buy some products made using Slave labour and use tariffs as a coercive measure to end Slave labour. You don't have to stop at imposing a tariff level which brings the price up to market value. You can set the tariff level which increases the price to far above market value, punishing the use of Slave labour. That though is really a moral question of how much responsibility you have to intervene to improve the lives of others.

The other problem is that for some goods there is only a limited choice in who you can buy them from. One of the great many insane things President Trump has done since Awards Season 2025 was impose a 37% tariff on all imports from Botswana. Something Trump claimed was necessary as an emergency measure to correct a US$300m trade imbalance with Botswana. The reason why there's a trade imbalance between the US and Botswana is that Botswana has Diamonds while the US doesn't. No amount of political and economic pressure on Botswana is going to make Diamonds appear in the US.

While Botswana is a beacon of good practice Diamond mining is another industry in which Slavery is still rife. You if can remember all the way back to the 2025 Super Bowl Half-Time Show it referenced the Second Liberian Civil War (1999-2003) which blended in with the Sierra Leonean Civil War (1991-200). Both of these conflicts were fuelled by the use of traumatised, drug addicted Child Slaves, both as soldiers and to mine Diamonds. It was actually how Charles Taylor was eventually found guilty of Slavery, contrary to Article 7.1(g) of The Rome Statue (1998), along with a host of other Crimes Against Humanity. Nelson Mandela set Charles Taylor up on a date with the supermodel Naomi Campbell. To impress her Charles Taylor gave Naomi Campbell Diamonds he'd used Child Slaves to mine. Naomi Campbell then gave those Diamonds to Nelson Mandela who put them in a safe, allowing them to be used as evidence at Charles Taylor's trial at the ICC. Naomi Campbell appearing at the ICC to give evidence was a pretty weird day for everyone.

So excluding suppliers who use Slave labour might result in you having to exclude all of the suppliers. Suggesting the person who wrote it might be brighter than the person who repealed it, that is the situation the consumptive demand clause of the Tariff Act (1930) allowed for.

Even before his re-election in November 2024 President Trump has made tariffs one of the centrepieces of his second term. However at the time of Awards Season 2025 President Trump hadn't actually done very much, making it hard to assess his tariff policies.

The WTO has a permanent headquarters in Geneva, Switzerland. It has over 600 permanent employees, not counting the delegations employed by their respective nations. The overwhelming majority of the WTO's day-to-day work is concerned with the arbitration of tariff disputes. If a nation accuses one nation of imposing a non-tariff barrier, such as the state-aid I mentioned above, and the first nation objects. Then the WTO assess whether a non-tariff barrier has been imposed and if it has whether the responding tariff is set at a fair level. Or it least it was until 2019, when President Trump blocked appointments to the WTO's appellate body. Something which seems wildly inconsistent with Trump's sudden love of tariffs.

So rather than being some radical idea of Trump's tariffs are a perfectly normal, everyday part of international trade. Even if it is a topic which is so boring it rarely makes the news. I doubt President Obama's repealing of the consumptive demand clause of the Tariff Act (1930) even made much of an appearance on Bloomberg terminals.

So at the time of Awards Season 2025 there was a possibility that President Trump's use of tariffs would be sensible, surgical and to the benefit of both the US and global economy

Going back to the example of Steel. While it has fully embraced Capitalism China's economy still involves large numbers of State Owned Enterprises (SOE's), State-Aid at its most extreme. Its Steel industry is made up almost exclusively of SOE's. Receiving all of their money from the Chinese Government Chinese Steelmills don't have to recover any of their costs of production by selling Steel. They very often just make Steel to keep the furnaces running, rather than to fulfil any customer order. 

Inspired by the Silk Road, since 2013 China has been building The Belt And Road Initiative. A massive, global, network of Freeways, Railroads, Seaports and Airports across Asia, Europe and Africa. You can now get on a train in the island of Britain and ride it all the way to the island of Hong Kong. Obviously you wouldn't want to, sitting on a train for that long would drive you utterly insane. However in terms of moving goods across the World it is a massive improvement, driving Globalisation and making trade truly global. However a large factor in the Belt And Road Imitative is that it gives China something to do with all the Steel it is producing. It's not a Neo-Colonial style debt-trap, China's just giving it away for free. It's cheaper than China having to find a way to store all the Steel it's producing. 

While the World order as we know it would probably collapse if China didn't defend itself at the WTO and in other diplomatic forums you often get the impression that they're only going through the motions. They know what they're doing with their Steel industry and they think nations such be responding with some level of tariffs. In order to restore a level playing field for the good of the global economy.

Of course since Awards Season 2025 President Trump has given us a lot more insight into his understanding, or lack thereof, of tariffs. Particularly his so-called; "Liberation Day" in April 2025 where he imposed a baseline 10% tariff on all nations in the World. To anyone with any understanding of tariffs this was just completely insane. It made no distinction between nations, such as China, which the US considers trade rivals and nations, such as Canada, which the US considers allies and is legally forbidden under treaty, the United States-Mexico-Canada Agreement (USMCA), from imposing tariffs on. Not even going to the level of differentiating between nations Trump's tariffs certainly don't get into the detail of what tariff and non-tariff barriers each sector of each nation's economy are using against the US and how Trump's tariffs are supposed to counteract them.

Far from being the detailed, precise, surgical application of tariffs which is a perfectly normal part of international trade Liberation Day gave everyone who does know what tariffs are the impression that Trump is a man who simply doesn't understand trade, let alone tariffs.

As part of his re-election campaign Trump's base was fired up with promises of tariffs. It's quite common in politics for newly elected politicians to make concessions to their base. So there was still an outside possibility that President Trump had some credibility on trade and economics. He was giving his base the tariffs they were demanding. Then through the process of having to scrap the majority of the insane tariffs educating his base in what tariffs are and how they can work to improve the US and global economy. Along with what they are not and what they cannot do.

Since then any illusion of President Trump's credibility on matters of trade and economics has been comprehensively shattered. Far from reversing tariffs Trump has doubled down on them. Shouting; "TARIFFS!" now seems to be his response to everything. Rather like a small child who can't resist shouting out the new swear word they've just learned, even though they have no idea what it means.

What Trump thinks tariffs are only became completely clear when he signed his One Big Beautiful Bill Act in July 2025. This slashed taxes across the board, almost completely eliminating them for his millionaire advisers like Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent. It is obvious that the Trump administration view tariffs as a replacement for the taxes it claims it is cutting.

When President Trump says he is imposing tariffs on China, Canada, Mexico, Botswana etc he's not telling the truth. What Trump is doing is imposing a tariff on the US. Specifically the US citizens who import things from the country Trump names. Those importers then sell those things onto other US citizens, it seems unlikely they won't ask their customers to pay a share of the tariff Trump has imposed on them. In short the Trump administration doesn't understand tariffs as a tool of international trade. The Trump administration views tariffs simply as a Federal Sales Tax.

The US has a long history of using tariffs as domestic taxes. In his Federalist Papers Framer of the US Constitution Alexander Hamilton argued that tariffs would be the primary form of taxation for the nation he was trying to build. One of the key events that triggered the American Revolution was The Boston Tea Party (1773). Contrary to popular misconception this was a protest against the failure to impose tariffs on Chinese Tea imports. One of the first acts of the newly formed United States was The Tariff of 1789. This imposed tariffs with the express purpose of paying the US' national debt.

The US' Founding Fathers and Framers of the Constitution were very clear though. The authority to impose taxes and tariffs lies solely with Congress, the Legislative Branch. Rather than the Presidency, the Executive Branch. It is one of the eighteen Enumerated Powers of Congress detailed in Article 1 of the US Constitution. Specifically Clause 1 of Section 8 of Article 1 expressly gives only Congress the power to lay and collect tariffs, referring to them as; "duties."

All of Trump's Tariffs have been imposed by Executive Order or diktat. Marbury v. Madison (1803) gives the US Constitution Super-Legal status. It automatically strikes down any law or diktat which contradicts it. As a result Trump's Tariffs do not and have never had any legal force.

The US now seems to find itself on the brink of one of the deepest Constitutional Crises it has ever experienced. As we wait to discover whether the Executive Branch has corrupted the Judicial Branch, the Supreme Court (SCOTUS), to the point it will attempt to deprive the US Constitution of its power to strike down diktats which contradict it.

At around 18:05 on 2/2/26 (UK date) I'll have to complete this thought at a later date.



Thursday, 27 November 2025

LAGTTM: Pt.11; Totalitarian Capitalism.

Absolutely to be read as a direct continuation of Part 10; https://watchitdie.blogspot.com/2025/11/lets-all-go-to-movies-pt10.html

As I find myself finally arriving at my point, after a 100 page 20,000 word preamble. I think it's fair to say that I'm Still Here (2024) allows us to discuss a wide range of very big topics.

Obviously it explores the issue of Women aging within the Entertainment Industry. How they used to be forced to play characters old enough to be their Mothers then suddenly disappeared when they reached Perimenopause, around 40-50 years old. 

With Pedro Pascal having fled Chile during Operation Condor I'm Still Here also touches on the issue of Transgenderism and Transgender activism. Pedro Pascal's very vocal Transgender activism being driven by his Transgender sibling Lux Pascal. Pedro Pascal is currently probably most well known for the TV show; "The Last of Us" (2023-Present) in which he plays a sort of Father figure to Bella Ramsey's character. Bella Ramsey is openly Gay and has openly explored her Gender-Identity. These attempts to erase Bella Ramsey's Lesbianism by making it a question of Gender-Identity could well be the result of Pedro Pascal's overbearing Transgender activism. Something which might be worth bearing in mind if you watch Season 2 of The Last of Us. 

I think that the way that I'm Still Here's Oscars chances were torpedoed by scandal were part of that debate of how far storytellers can and should go in telling other people's stories. Through "September 5" (2024) this was a big theme of Awards Season 2025. Whether The Super Bowl 2025 went too far in interfering with the Genocidal war Hamas imposed on Israel. In attempting to explain what the Kibbutz's are that Hamas attacked in launching its Genocidal war I compared them to the community depicted in The Last of Us which features heavily in Season 2. So referencing Pedro Pascal and Season 2 of The Last of Us allows you to go into a lot of detail of Hamas' Genocidal war. I thought the big Golem-style Zombie was a nice touch, particularly if it was created by A.I assisted computer-generated visual effects.

The reason why Pedro Pascal had to flee Chile was because his uncle, Andrés Pascal Allende, was the leader of the Revolutionary Left Movement (Movimento de Izquierda Revolucionaria/MIR). A terrorist group sponsored by Communist China and Communist Cuba. So it had the same sponsors who created the myth of "Palestine" during The War of Attrition (1967-1973). A period that ended with Cuba's defeat at the hands of Israel during The Yom Kippur War (1973). So you would expect Pedro Pascal's bullsh*t detector to be more finely tuned than most when it comes to the lies Hamas fanboys tell.

Pedro Pascal also had to flee Chile because his great-uncle is Salvador Allende, the President deposed in The 1973 Coup d'état. As part of his Chilean Way To Socialism Salvador Allende established "Project Cybersyn." A centralised computer-based decision making system with economic information being provided to it through the nationwide "Cybernet" system. If A.I has existed in the 1970's then I don't doubt that Salvador Allende would have made Project Cybersyn an A.I assisted centralised computer-based decision making system. I can't help but wonder whether "Cybernet" was the inspiration for the "Skynet" A.I system at the heart of the "Terminator" movie universe, starting with "The Terminator" (1984). So referencing Salvador Allende's Chile certainly allows you to discuss Artificial Intelligence (A.I)

At around 18:15 on 27/11/25 (UK date) I have to wonder whether I'll be able to pick this up on Monday now.

Edited at around 17:40 on 2/12/25 (UK date) to tidy the above and copy & paste;

Totalitarian Capitalism: The main action of I'm Still Here occurs during The Fifth Brazilian Republic (1964-1985) which itself happened during The Cold War (1954-1991). The saw the Capitalist First World pitted against the Communist Second World. The main battle ground being the Third World; nations which had not gone through Industrialisation so lacked the economic and political activity to fit into either the First or Second World. At the start of its Fifth Republic Brazil had only just Industrialised enough to no longer count as part of the Third World. Many of the nations which surrounded in it Latin America were still Third World nations.

Although it objected to Capitalism the Communist Second World did not object to money. People still worked in jobs to earn money which they then used to buy things. The difference was that in the Communist Second World the Government or; "State" controlled all aspects of the economy. It decided what all the factories made and who they employed, along with what all the shops sold and at what price they sold it and to whom. What Communism really objected to was what Karl Marx called The Capitalist Mode of Production. In which those with large amounts of money (capital) could set up a business and make what they liked. Whether they'd be able to sell it, to whom and for how much would be decided by Markets. Essentially anybody with money deciding what they want to buy and for how much.

So in many ways the division of The Cold War was actually between the Libertarian First World and the Totalitarian Second World.

The Cold War ended in 1991 with the collapse of the Russian-led Soviet Union. The predominately Eastern European nations which made up that Soviet Union then adopted First World Capitalism.

However the type of Communism at play in Latin America during The Cold War was not the Marxist-Leninist Communism of Russia and the Soviet Union. Instead it was the version of Communism that was promoted by Che Guevara and Cuba which was based on the Communism of China. When Chairman Mao Zedong led the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) to victory in The Chinese Civil War (1927-1949) China had, for the most part, not undergone Industrialisation. So it didn't really have any of the Urban Industrial workers, the; "Proletariat" which Marxist-Leninist Communism fetishised. So instead Chairman Mao's type of Communism focused on the; "Peasant," Rural Agricultural workers often engaged in no economic activity beyond subsistence farming; growing food to feed themselves and their families. The economic situation in China was similar to the economic situation in Cuba and Latin America, so it was this Chinese version of Communism; Maoism which became popular in the region.

Chairman Mao Zedong died in 1976 and, after a chaotic succession, was replaced as China's leader by Deng Xiaoping in 1978. Deng Xiaoping had a very different vision for Chinese Communism than Mao Zedong. Early followers of Karl Marx decided that Communist Revolution would occur in two stages; "Two-Stage Theory." The first stage being Capitalism making life so unbearable for Urban Workers that they would revolt. That revolt would lead to Revolution ushering in Communism, the second stage. Deng Xiaoping decided that rather than fetishising Peasants China needed to let them become Urbanised Industrial workers to pursue this Primary Stage of Communism. The mechanism through which to do this would be Capitalist Markets. As Deng Xiaoping put it; "It doesn't matter whether a Cat is yellow, white or black. If it catches mice, then it is a good Cat." A fun play on words, even in a complex tonal language "Mao" sounds a lot like "Māo" - the Mandarin word for; "Cat."

Deng Xiaoping's reforms actually went a long way in proving Two-Stage Theory. By 1989 the Peasants had become the Proletariat and then become the Urban Bourgeoisie who then revolted. The only problem was that The 1989 Democracy Movement wasn't revolting to overthrow the Donatário-style Capitalist oppressors. They were revolting to overthrow the oppressors of the Chinese Communist Party. This led to Deng Xiaoping being deposed in an internal Communist Party coup and The 1989 Democracy Movement being violently crushed, most famously at Tiananmen Square. It ushered in a new Social Contract between the people of China and the Chinese Communist Party. Capitalism controlled by the Chinese Communist Party would provide the Chinese people with material luxuries which would serve as compensation for the Chinese Communist Party repressing the Chinese people.

This model of Totalitarian Capitalism or Authoritarian Capitalism which emerged in China at the end of The Cold War was actually similar to the situation during Brazil's Fifth Republic. Despite the Totalitarian, Authoritarian oppression touched on in I'm Still Here the Military Dictatorship of Brazil's Fifth Republic was, genuinely, widely popular. There are still plenty of Brazilians who lived through it who will get angry with you if you criticise it. 

In part this is because the oppression has been substantially overplayed in Communist Propaganda. Groups like the Palmares Armed Revolutionary Vanguard (Vanguarda Armada Revolucionáira Palmares/VAR Palmares) completely erase their violence while playing up the violence of the Brazilian Military. Even working from A.I translations of the original Portuguese it's easy to spot the lies and lunatic conspiracy theories which are the hallmarks of Socalism. While I'm not arguing in favour of The Years of Lead (1969-1974) the real horrors of Operation Condor were perpetrated by Chile and Argentina. 

However the main reason for the Military Dictatorship's popularity is that it was incredibly successful in doing what Karl Marx only theorised about doing in Two-Stage Theory; Allowing Peasants to become Urban workers and then Bourgeoisies, throwing off the oppression of the Donatário. Many saw the chance to live in modern buildings with amenities like indoor plumbing, electricity and refrigeration to be ample compensation for people like Rubens Paiva and their tedious lectures disappearing.

A year after the end of The Cold War the US political scientist Francis Fukuyama published the book; "The End of History and The Last Man Standing" (1992). In it he argued that the great ideological divisions which had shaped Human history had come to an end. Ideological divisions such as between Christianity and Islam in The Crusades (1095-1291), the division between Christianity and Science in The Age of Enlightment of the 17th and 18th Century, the division between Capitalism and Communism in The Cold War. Instead there was now only one ideology able to say; "I'm Still Here!" and all Humans were now united around it. Fukuyama argued that Last Man Standing was the Western Liberal Democracy of the Capitalist First World.

Initially it looked as though Fukuyama's theory was correct. The number of Capitalist Liberal Democracies grew steadily in the decade or so after the end of The Cold War. Although that probably had something to do with NATO smashing Eastern Europe into lots of little countries and then calling the resulting cantons Democracies. Then from around 2005 onwards the number of Capitalist Liberal Democracies stopped growing. Some have even described it as a; "Democratic Recession." The system that is growing globally now is the Totalitarian Capitalism of post-1989 China and Brazil's Fifth Republic.  It seems that not only wasn't Capitalist Liberal Democracy the Last Man Standing at the end of The Cold War it was defeated to the point that the nations of the Capitalist First World now seem to be the drivers of Totalitarian Capitalism. Much to the alarm of nations like China.

This is something which was most clearly on display during The Pandemic That Never Was (2020). In response to a Virus which has been with us throughout all of Human history and continues to be with us now governments across the supposedly Libertarian First World literally imprisoned all of their citizens within their homes. Only allowing them to leave on condition that they provided detailed information about everywhere they went and everyone they met in the form of a Digital Vaccine Passport/ID. Even the old Communist Second World only required exit visas at national borders.

These supposedly Libertarian First World governments also took almost complete control of the economy. While the inmates could order things from the commissary it was the government, rather than jobs, which provided them with the money to do so and the government which paid the people making and selling those material luxuries. Some people even had to suffer the government forcing food parcels on them. They were no longer allowed to decide what they were going to have for dinner. The government had decided for them.

While we're all still pretending the vaccines we had to take to obtain our Vaccine Passports and exit visas made the Virus go away governments across the supposedly Libertarian First World seem to be looking for new ways to totally control their populations. Within the context of an awards show for movies a particularly relevant example of this would be the UK's Online Safety Act (2023).

At around 18:30 on 2/12/25 (UK date) I'm going to need a moment to get my head around that.

Edited at around 18:10 on 4/12/25 (UK date) to tidy all of the above and copy & paste;

The Online Safety Act (2023) places an obligation on all websites available in the UK to protect the children by blocking content which although legal could be deemed as; "Harmful." Very much invoking the language and sentiment of the; "March For Family with God for Liberty (Marcha da Familia com Deus pela Liberdade)" which ushered in the Military Dictatorship of Brazil's Fifth Republic. The Act gives enforcement power to the Office of Communications (OFCOM). The UK equivalent of the US Federal Communications Committee (FCC) and Brazil's National Communications Agency (Agência Nacional de Telecomunicações/Anatel).

Although the Online Safety Act became law in October 2023 there has been a long grace period before all of its provisions are enforced. It perhaps shows how expansive its powers are that some of its provisions can't be enforced because the technology has yet to be invented. In January 2025 the UK government announced that the grace period for Section 12 of the Act would end in July 2025. From then on all websites accessible in the UK containing content deemed; "Pornographic" are required to pay to have robust ID checks to ensure that no-one under the age of 18 is able to access them. So it has been something that has loomed over Awards Season 2025. Particularly the way it's been covered online.

The issue has been the vagueness of the law. While the UK government has made of point of claiming it is protecting children from pornography that's not how the law is written. The restrictions don't apply to websites containing; "Pornography" as defined in law; "Content produced solely or principally for the purpose of sexual arousal." Instead it applies to websites containing; "Harmful Content." How this defined in UK law is in any way the relevant government Minister wants to define it. They can also change the definition at will.

In the UK this type of power is officially known as; "Henry VIII Clauses." Named after Britain's famous tyrant King, Henry VIII they're the last vestige of when Britain was an Absolute Monarchy rather than a Constitutional Monarchy. As I mentioned Brazil's Emperor Pedro I shifted Brazil from being an Absolute Monarchy to a Constitutional Monarchy. He then abdicated in order to return to Portugal to assist his daughter in turning Portugal from an Absolute Monarchy to a Constitutional Monarchy. However Henry VIII Clauses are probably more widely understood when described as; "Executive Orders" or; "Diktats." Like those used by Deodoro de Fonseca during The Republic of the Sword in the years following The Coup of the Republic (1889).   

The Online Safety Act (2023) also has very broad enforcement powers. Not only can it punish a website that contains harmful content 10% of its revenue, with a minimum of GB£18 million (US$23.4m), it can also impose that penalty on any company doing business with that website. So if, say, Instagram contains harmful content OFCOM can fine it US$20m. It can also fine Google US$20m for Instagram showing up on Google searches. OFCOM can also fine, say, Bank of America US$20m for allowing Instagram to have an account with them.

During Awards Season 2018, particularly at The Oscars 2018, there was a lot of discussion about the FCC's "No Nipples Rule." This reduces the issue of whether content is sexual, let alone pornographic down to the binary test of whether it includes female nipples. How US Big Tech companies, which are now regulated by the UK's Online Safety Act (2023), had voluntarily adopted the FCC's No Nipples Rule. Making it something of a de facto global rule.

The absurdity of the No Nipples Rule is that it actually does very little in keeping sexual and even pornographic content off of US TV screens. It is something of a long-running game amongst US filmmakers to produce very sexual, almost pornographic, content in such a way that doesn't show female nipples in order to mock the rule. The only thing that the FCC's No Nipples Rule is any good at keeping off US TV screens is female nipples. Even when they're being depicted in a non-sexual way. Such as on a corpse, a statue or in documentaries about Breast-feeding and Breast Cancer.

A big part of any Awards Season is the Red Carpet Fashion. In response to US Big Tech Companies voluntarily adopting the No Nipples Rule websites covering Awards Season, particularly Red Carpet Fashion, were forced to alter their coverage. Adding pixilation in case an outline of a female nipple through a dress got them banned by Big Tech. 

The intentional vagueness and severe legal penalties of the UK's Online Safety Act (2023) saw even more dramatic changes to the coverage of Awards Season 2025. No longer were websites concerned about nipples outlined through fabric. They were now concerned that too much cleavage or too short a skirt could be deemed; "Harmful!"  and cost them and everyone they do business with GB£18m (US$23.4m) each. It seems that now an even perfectly innocent picture of a woman in a bikini swimsuit requires extensive pixilation. We often think of Brazil as something of a clothing optional sort of country. However during The Third Brazilian Republic the dictatorship of Getúlio Vargas issued a diktat banning the wearing of bikinis on Brazil's beaches. Something which actually contributed to his overthrow in The 1945 Coup d'état.

High Fashion is art. It allows for artistic expression which can be used to raise and discuss all sorts of political and societal points. At Awards Season 2018 it was particularly well placed to discuss Big Tech's voluntary adoption of the No Nipples Rules. So there were many exposed male nipples along with lots of outlines of female nipples through fabrics of various colours and densities. Posing the question of what Big Tech and the FCC find so traumatic about female nipples. Is it the colour? Is it the shape? Is it the fact that they're attached to women rather than men? 

Another really good example, in the mix at The Oscars 2025, was the Machinenmensch outfit Zendaya wore to the premiere of; "Dune: Part Two" (2024). In "Metropolis" (1927) Machineman is an A.I sex drone which can take on the physical likeness of any Human. The Rotwang character originally invented it to take on the physical likeness of the Hel character, his one true love. The way Zendaya wore the Machinenmensch outfit gave the impression that she was providing the Endoskeleton for people who wanted to make A.I DeepFake porn of her. Actors as sex-workers. The outfit did expose some of Zendaya's flesh such as her buttocks and breasts, but not nipples. However the shiny metal also reflected the sand used on the floor at the premiere leaving you trying to work out what was actually Zendaya's flesh and what was fake. Something which was made much more difficult by the pixilation websites showing the images had to add.

It is perhaps easy to dismiss the artistic expression of fashion designers. However Awards Season is the big mass participation event which helps the US renegotiate its Social Contract. The often unwritten rules between US citizens and between US citizens and their government. By shutting down parts of how that big discussion is had you are shutting down want can be discussed. Limiting US citizens say in negotiations about what the rules are between them and their government. That starts giving the government more say than its citizens in what the rules are. How long before the government has total say?

The Section 12 provision of the Online Safety Act (2023) for websites to have robust ID checks came into force on July 25th (25/7/25). Suggesting OFCOM monitors this blog a lot more robustly than it monitors the BBC it imposed its first GB£1m (US1.3m) fine today (4/12/25). 

Less than two months later (24/9/25) the UK government announced that Digital ID's, modelled on Vaccine Passports, would become compulsory in Britain. Officially the reason is to cut down on illegal immigration and illegal working. That though is an obvious lie. Post-9/11 the previous Labour government wanted to introduce compulsory ID cards to protect us from terrorism. Amid much discussion of Britain's Social Contract they were only able to impose compulsory ID cards for migrants, to cut down on illegal immigration and illegal working. A problem they clearly haven't solved in the quarter of a century they've been in operation. Although the UK government is still hiding behind its lie I think it is obvious that these compulsory Digital ID's are the ID's that websites will be required to robustly check under Section 12 of the Online Safety Act (2023).

This is extremely problematic in terms of the balance of power between the Government or State and the people or citizens. A lot of the News, the actions of government and State, includes content which could well be deemed as; "Harmful." Even without a politician being given free reign to decide for us what is harmful. 

I often wonder whether I'm the right person to talk to about appropriate levels of violence that can be shown on screen. I was heavily involved in efforts to end the Genocide of the Islamic State of Iraq and the Levant (ISIL). A group which very much enjoyed publishing propaganda videos featuring brutal executions. Not only did I have to watch all of those videos I had to watch them multiple times in freeze-frame and slow motion to record every detail in copious notes. I very much remember the then US government of Barack Obama trying very hard to suppress the viewing of these executions on the grounds they were; "Harmful." Specifically people being able to see what ISIL were and what they did was extremely harmful to Barack Obama's efforts to support ISIL. 

More recently we have the Genocidal war that the ISIL affiliate Hamas launched against Israel on October 7th (7/10/23). There is much content detailing the extreme violence and extreme sexual violence perpetrated by Hamas. For the second time in my life I got to watch a Genocide being committed in real time. Even without the expanded definition under the UK Online Safety Act (2023) much of the footage and written descriptions of Hamas' atrocities could well be considered; "Harmful." Even to battle-hardened adults like me, let alone children. Hamas supporters, including governments of many Liberatarian First World nations, openly deny Hamas' Genocide. Obviously content which proves they are lying is very harmful to them.

Against the backdrop of the enforcement of Section 12 of the UK Online Safety Act (2023) and the hard-launching of compulsory Digital ID's a big story in Britain has been Hadush Kebatu. An adjudicated illegal immigrant who sexually assaulted a child. Leading to a Summer of anti-Labour Party riots which very much resembled the anti-Labour Party riots that were the hallmark of Britain's Summer 2024. Obviously the facts of Hadush Kebatu's crimes include content that is both sexual and violent. Content which could be deemed harmful to children, although not as harmful to children as Hadush Kebatu himself.

Requiring websites distributing the facts of Hadush Kebatu's crimes to check ID's first is, by design, intended to limit the number of people who can access those facts. Are you comfortable using your compulsory Digital ID to notify the government, in real-time, that you wish to look at facts that do not show the government in a good light? Will there be consequences to you expressing curiosity in the idea that maybe, just maybe the government doesn't have your best interests at heart?

At around 18:50 on 2/12/25 (UK date) it's once again time for the government mandated three-day downing of tools.

Edited at around 17:00 on 8/12/25 (UK date) to tidy the above and copy & paste;

Some of the people who expressed support for the anti-Labour Party riots in 2024 online are still in prison. As are people who expressed support for the anti-Labour Party riots in 2025. So there seems to be a legitimate concern that by building a system where everyone must use their compulsory Digital ID to access every website the government is trying to create a real-time register of everyone who doesn't support it. With the same compulsory Digital ID being required to access employment and public services the purpose of that register is to quickly punish people who don't support the government.

Some people have compared what governments in the supposedly Libertarian First World are desperately trying to create to China's Social Credit System. That is a gross insult to China. Insofar as it exists China's Social Credit System is nowhere as near as Totalitarian and oppressive as what the supposedly Libertarian First World wants it to be.

The big change Deng Xiapoing brought to China was to embrace the Primary Stage of Communism. Allowing Capitalist Markets to turn Rural Peasants into Urbanised Industrial Workers and then Bourgeoisie. The problem this idea faced is that prior to the founding of the People's Republic of China in 1949 these Rural Peasants, the overwhelming majority of China's population, had been subsistence farmers; farming simply to feed themselves and their families. Under Chairman Mao these Rural Peasants remained as subsistence farmers. So at the time of Deng Xiaoping's reforms very few Chinese had really used money before.

So in the early 1980's China established its Social Credit System in rural areas. The purpose was to allow people to keep track of their financial transactions, exactly like your bank does through your bank account. At around the same time Muhammad Yunus established the Grameen Bank in Bangladesh to solve the exact same problem; allowing people to open bank accounts and access bank credit for the very first time. Muhammad Yunus went on to win The 2006 Nobel Prize for Economics for his efforts. The; "Social" in China's Social Credit System is meant to reflect how it is intended for Social Good. Not to regulate Society. Perhaps China should have established a private bank like Grameen Bank rather than a government agency. However at the time China had no banking sector. They probably felt they needed a solution in place before a domestic banking sector had time to develop.

By the 1990's enough Chinese people were able to engage with Capitalist Markets to learn about that problem that everyone familiar with Capitalist Markets knows about. When you give a customer credit by doing work for them and then invoice them at a later date not everyone pays that invoice. So there was growing pressure from within China for the Chinese government to make some of the information in the Social Credit System public. So when taking on a customer for the first time you could tell whether they always pay their invoices on time or whether you need to demand payment from them upfront. In looking at how to do this China extensively studied First World Credit Rating Agencies that people in the US will be more than familiar with such as Equifax, FICO, TransUnion etc. They particularly studied the US' Fair Credit Reporting Act (1970) which was introduced to limit the highly invasive powers of Credit Rating Agencies.

In response to the Terrorist Attacks against the US on September 11th 2001 (11/9/01) a lot of governments in the supposedly Libertarian First World started pushing for compulsory ID cards and registers to protect its citizens from terrorism. Against this backdrop, in 2002, China announced that it was going to start trialling its Social Credit System nationally. However rather than relying on a single system it instructed Local Authorities at the Province down to City-level to devise their own pilot systems. 

So China doesn't have a Social Credit System. Instead it has a patchwork of many different Social Credit Systems. The only element common between all of them is that if a customer doesn't pay their invoice you can take them to Court. If the Court finds in your favour and issues a judgement against your customer then your customer gets added to a central Blacklist of people with such judgements against them. People can then search that Blacklist and decide whether they want to take the people on it on as customers.

In contrast, in the UK if a customer does not pay their invoice you can take them to Court. If the Court issues a judgement against them that judgement is published on the County Court Judgement (CCJ) Register. Before deciding whether to take you on as a customer and on what terms companies in Britain will often check the CCJ Register to make sure your name doesn't appear on that Blacklist.

At around 17:25 on 8/12/25 (UK date) it might be several days before I'm able to pick this up again.  

Edited at around 17:45 on 10/12/25 (UK date) to copy & paste;

I assume there is a similar system in the US. If a customer does not pay their invoice you can take them to Court. If the Court issues a judgement against them details of that judgement are then published publically. Although I suspect there are ever so slightly different systems in each State and at the Federal level.

Of course this also protects customers. If you pay for something in advance, such as ordering it online, and the purchase isn't delivered or is defective you can take the supplier to Court. If the Court issues a judgement against them the details are then published publically. On the UK's CCJ Register, the Blacklist of China's Social Credit Systems or the US equivalent.

With China having a patchwork of different Social Credit Systems rather than a single system it is not easy to say what the consequences are of being added to the Blacklist. Even in the US and UK systems there is no automatic consequence to having this type of Court judgement issued against you. However the agencies of the Chinese government, of which there are many, are forbidden from doing business with companies on the Blacklist. Particularly if they've been added to the Blacklist for not providing things they've been paid for.

Obviously if you sell someone something they don't pay for or buy something which isn't provided you don't take the people responsible to Court to warn others. You primarily do it to get your money. As I assume is similar to the system in the US in the UK the issuing of a CCJ gives the person owed money the power to forcibly enter (break-in) to the home of the person owing money and forcibly take away cash and property to the value of the debt owned. The cost of breaking into the property and the cost of selling anything seized is added to the debt.

Again with China having a patchwork of Social Credit Systems, rather than a single Social Credit System it is difficult to summarise what actions can be taken to recover money from someone on the common Blacklist. However in 2013 China's Supreme Court ruled that nationally they can be restricted from spending money on; "non-work and non-life essential consumption behaviour" until their debt is paid. That involves things like preventing them from buying plane tickets and high-speed train tickets, taking holidays, buying real estate or renting anything but the most basic real estate.

I cannot pretend I have a working knowledge of US Tort Law at both the State and Federal level, if only there was someone who recently failed the California Bar Exam I could ask. However my understanding is that a Court could not add someone to the Federal "No-Fly List" for failing to pay Child Support, as can happen in China. However a Court can issue an arrest warrant for someone who has not paid Child Support. That arrest warrant would see them added to the Federal No Fly List. Along with leaving them subject to arrest anywhere their ID is checked, such as leaving or returning from a holiday in Mexico.

It must be said that both of those options seem significantly less invasive and oppressive than the UK system. Allowing the person you owe money to break into your house to seize your property, using reasonable force should you attempt to stop them.

At around 18:15 on 10/12/25 (UK date) I hope to be able to do a lot more tomorrow.

Edited at around 17:35 on 11/12/25 (UK date) to tidy the above and copy & paste;

In discussing "The Substance" (2024) we touched on Rachel Carson's; "Silent Spring" and Murray Bookchin's; "Our Synthetic Environment," both published in 1962. How both of these books had such a massive impact on the public consciousness they forever changed how the public thought about pollution and how the environment shaped their lives. They gave birth to the Environmental Movement which now shapes politics in almost every nation in the World.

By the start of the 21st Century this Environmental Movement had evolved to give birth to the concept of; "Sustainable Development." How to achieve Economic growth without compromising future generations ability to achieve Economic growth, primarily by not destroying the Environment through pollution. Underpinning the concept of Sustainable Development is the concept of; "True Cost Accounting" or; "True Cost Economics."  This considers not just the private profits of an Economic activity but also the wider public costs, such as pollution and Environmental damage. 

For example if a farmer uses a Pesticide like DDT it might boost the farmer's profits but it also incurs the cost of Dioxin pollution and increased childhood Cancers. Under traditional accounting the costs would have to be borne by wider society, through increased Healthcare spending or just a lot of dead children, while the farmer gets to keep their profits private. In True Cost Accounting the social cost is deducted from the private profits. It's gone on to shape the; "Polluter Pays Principle" and Carbon Credit Trading Markets to combat Greenhouse Gas (ghg) Emissions and the Climate Change they cause.

In 1997 China and most other nations, with the honourable exception of the US, signed the Kyoto Protocol to combat Climate Change. The Kyoto Protocol divided the nations of the World into; "Annex I" for nations considered fully Economically Developed and; "Annex II" for nations considered to be still Economically Developing. As the largest nation in the group China effectively became the leader of the Annex II nations.

So in launching its annoying multitude of pilot Social Credit Systems China incorporated some principles of True Cost Accounting. If a restaurant sells spoiled food which poisons people then that incurs a cost which will be paid by someone. Likewise if a Babymilk manufacturer or a Drug manufacturer makes a product which poisons people that incurs a cost which will be paid by someone. If a Lithium-ion battery manufacturer makes batteries which catch fire and explode, burning down entire apartment buildings, that too incurs a cost which will be paid by someone. This list of examples can be almost endless.

So under a lot of China's Social Credit Systems if a company or individual causes a wider social cost such as poisoning people, burning down their homes or, to a lesser extent, polluting the Environment then that cost is deducted from their Social Credit rating. Arguably this is just people selling defective products having Court judgements issued against them. However the difference is enforcement.

This type of law is known as; "Tort Law." "Tort" being a Latin word meaning; "Twist." English speakers will probably be more familiar with the verb, the act of twisting; "Torture." A little joke on how complex and painful Tort Law can be. Certainly in Britain and the US it's based on English Common Law, meaning that rather than being written down in a single place it is the culmination of multiple rulings by various Courts over many, many years. Tort Law tends to be the reason why most people fail the California, and other, Bar Exams on their first attempt.

I have obtained UK High Court judgements without leaving this desk. Although I've never been called on to do so I suspect I could probably obtain UK (lower) County Court Judgements without leaving this desk. However being able to do it I understand how difficult it can be for people who aren't familiar with the jargon, let alone the Latin. So in some areas of Tort Law the harm is considered so great to society that the State or Government acts Pro Bono Publico (for the benefit of the public). Enforcing Tort Law itself, rather than forcing the person who has incurred the cost to do it themselves. Often the intent is to prevent the cost being inflicted in the first place. Prosecuting people for attempting to sell defective goods before they've been sold to, let alone harmed anyone. 

This type of government regulation is something which is common across the Libertarian First World; the US Food and Drug Administration (FDA), the EU European Food Standards Agency (EFSA) etc. The UK's OFCOM, the US' FCC and Brazil's Anatel are also examples of this type of government regulation. Exactly how much pro bono work the State or Government should take on is another one of those areas each society must find a balance for within their Social Contract. 

Again with China having a patchwork of Social Credit Systems it is hard to summarise what the consequences of being added to the national Blacklist through pro bono enforcement are. However as with any other company or person on the Blacklist agencies of the Chinese State are forbidden from doing business with them. In Libertarian First World countries pro bono enforcement action by a State agency like the FDA, the EFSA and Anatel can go a lot further than stopping other State agencies from doing business with you. It can result in imprisonment, massive fines and everyone being banned from buying your product. Although in Libertarian First World countries this type of enforcement action can be challenged in Court. Something which tends to be less common and less effective in China.

At around 18:10 on 11/12/25 (UK date) Insurance Market Making will have to wait until next week. It's time for the Mudhutter's Picnic, again(!)

Edited at around 17:20 on 22/12/25 (UK date) to change the title, tidy and add Latin directly above and copy & paste;

In 2014 China conducted a review into its pilot Social Credit Systems. Its main finding was that it needed to adopt a single, unified, national system. With different Provinces and Cities having different Social Credit Systems it is hard to tell what behaviour can result in punishment. 

For example residents of Shanghai decided that if children do not visit their elderly parents and grandparents often enough they are breaking a contract with them. So their elders can take them to Court. If the Court issues a judgement against the children then they will be added to the Blacklist, like any other contract breaker. Despite this probably being a sentiment familiar to all Asian children it is something that only applies in Shanghai. So if the children move to, say Beijing, can their Blacklisting being enforced there? Or if a child has moved to Shanghai can the parents they've left in Beijing apply for a Court Judgement? It's probably worth noting that emerging for the Shanghai International Settlement at the end of The Second World War (1939-1945) Shanghai has always been one of China's more open, international cities.

Even where a behaviour can be punished throughout all of China the patchwork of different Social Credit Systems can make enforcement difficult. If someone on the central Credit Blacklist moves from Shanghai to Beijing the authorities can't always catch up with them. It's a problem that's made even worse by the fact that even the central Credit Blacklist is still a paper-based system. So while a Court judgement obtained in Beijing should be available in Shanghai the paperwork doesn't always get sent through. Even when it does few people can be bothered to go to the local Courthouse or municipal building to check the latest paper copy of the Blacklist.

China's first step in establishing a single, unified, national Social Credit System was to set up four more pilot systems. To assist it in creating a Digital rather than paper-based system the Chinese State turned to the Private Sector. Allowing Alibaba Group (China's Amazon), Tencent, Didi Chuxing (China's Uber) and Baihe.com to establish four digital pilot Social Credit Systems. Being voluntary rather than compulsory these four Private Sector, Digital systems offered people rewards alongside punishments for signing up and having good Credit. These rewards include things like lower interest rates on loans, discounts on products the companies sell - cheaper rides with Didi Chuxing etc - and better access to healthcare.

Obviously these type of rewards will have been familiar to people in supposedly Libertarian First World nations since long before 2014. Recently entering the chat, with an almost sniper-like precision, has been the loyalty reward program for my supermarket/grocery store. 

It used to be that they would give you a little plastic card with a barcode on it which you scanned at the checkout register. In return for giving them all of this information about what you put into and onto your body they would give you reward points. Eventually these reward points would add up to be enough that you could almost buy a jar of Honey. These days you need to have an App on your Smartphone. You scan the QR barcode in the App at the self-checkout. Allowing you to give them easy access to all you emails, calls, location data and smutty DM's from Baihe.com-style dating sites. On top of all the information about everything you put into and onto your body you were already giving them. In return some discount vouchers will appear in the App on your Smartphone. In order to increase engagement with the App, probably to help it collect more Biometric data, you have to unlock each of these discount vouchers. 

Although it is now Pantomime season in Britain I suspect the company which donates the most money to the UK Labour Party will be the one that has its App integrated with their proposed Digital ID App. Highlighting the Capitalist convergence between the Public (State) Sector and the Private (Corporate) Sector.

At around 17:40 on 22/12/25 (UK date) the compliance limit for insurance market making seems to have been exceeded. Again.

Edited at around 13:00 on 30/12/25 (UK date) to tidy the above and copy & paste;

I have to say that I find the idea of using as Healthcare as a reward to be problematic. That's because I grew up being taught that Britain's National Health Service (NHS) is normal. A system where Healthcare is given free at the point of use to all those in need. However Britain's NHS is far from normal. Even Communist China has Health Insurance rather than a system as Socialist as Britain's NHS. So I think that the notion of using Healthcare as a reward is something that would be considered normal across the Libertarian First World.

Strictly speaking Insurance Markets aren't Credit Markets. However they function in much the same way. Even in Britain people will be familiar with Car Insurance. When you apply for Car Insurance the company you're applying to will go a lot further than checking your Credit Rating, whether you appear on the CCJ Register or equivalent. At the very least they'll do a Criminal Records Check to see if you have any criminal convictions. Convictions for motoring offences such as speeding or drink driving will be seen as increasing the risk to the company, just as evidence that you don't pay your bills on time will be seen as a risk. So the company will punish you by either charging you a higher price and/or giving you worse coverage. If you represent a lower risk to the company they will reward you with a lower price and/or better coverage.

UK Car Insurance companies I've dealt with are actually very secretive about how they do this. If you read the fine print carefully you'll probably find that your Car Insurance company isn't actually your Car Insurance company. Instead they're simply a broker, acting as a shell company between you and the company that is actually your Car Insurance company. The company that is actually your Car Insurance company will often use another shell company to do the background checks on you. Partly to limit their legal liability and to make it as hard as possible for you to find out exactly what background checks are being performed.

Health Insurance companies are even more invasive than Car Insurance companies. Obviously they will check your Credit Rating. They will probably also do a Criminal Records check. Convictions for driving offences such as speeding would indicate that you're likely to engage in risky behaviour which increases the chances of you needing medical treatment, increasing the risk to them. Convictions for drink driving would indicate that you have a problematic relationship with alcohol, increasing the chances you'll need medical treatment and increasing the risk to them. They may well even check whether you've been a victim of crime. If you've been physically assaulted in the past then that can indicate that you may need medical treatment in the future, increasing the risk to them.

Health Insurance companies will obviously check your Medical Records. Both to see whether you have any pre-existing conditions and for anything that may indicate you are at risk of needing medical attention in the future. Such as if you go to hospital every year because you fall off a ladder taking down your Christmas decorations. Many Health Insurance companies will offer you a free Healthcheck in order to assess your Health and therefore risk of needing medical treatment in the future. Some may even require you to submit to DNA testing to identify any genetic factors which might increase the risk of you needing medical treatment in the future. Other Health Insurance companies may simply check a DNA Ancestry service you've signed up to, in order to obtain the genetic information without you knowing about it.

Health Insurance companies will then take all of this information about you, along with information such as where you live; apparently Flint, Michigan has an above average risk of Lead Poisoning. They will then typically use a computer algorithm or A.I assisted algorithm to create a Health Credit Score for you. If you've got a good Health Credit Score with lots of things that lower the risk to them they will reward you with things like a lower price and/or better coverage. If you've got a bad Health Credit Score with lots of things that increase the risk to them they will punish you with things like higher prices and/or worse coverage. It's well known for US Health Insurance companies to punish people with pre-existing conditions by refusing to cover those pre-existing conditions or refusing to take them on as customers entirely.

So while China's myriad of Social Credit Systems offering access to things like Healthcare as a punishment or reward for your behaviour sounds really scary and dystopian it’s really not that different to what is considered perfectly normal in the supposedly Libertarian First World. In fact China's system probably doesn't go as far as what is considered perfectly normal in the supposedly Libertarian First World. A world that has become rather good at hiding how scary and dystopian it can be.

The development of China's Social Credit Systems has gone hand-in-hand with its; "Grid-style Social Management" system. Or, if you can still remember The Super Bowl 2025; "Gridiron-style Social Management."

This was first created in Shanghai in 2004 before being expanded to a trial in Beijing later that same year. It went national in 2015, alongside China's review into its Social Credit Systems. It divides all of China into over 1 million 100m² (100yard²) grid-squares, rather like a massive American Football pitch. Each grid-square is assigned its own Grid-Manager who is expected to patrol the grid-square keeping track of things like the population in that grid-square, any damage to public infrastructure and any disputes between residents over things like illegal parking, license and other business regulation violations. They are expected to report regularly to China's Grid Computing Centre, a modern version of Salvador Allende's Project Cybersyn, which also monitors the grid-squares with live CCTV and police reports.

Like Hebrew Mandarin can be a harsh, direct and scary sounding language. However China's Gridiron-style Social Management really isn't that different from the type of Homeowners Association (HOA) or Resident's Association which people in the US and across the supposedly Libertarian First World will be familiar and comfortable with.

Technically China's Gridiron-style Social Management System is a Neighbourhood Watch scheme. However, globally, there is a wide variation in what is meant by a Neighbourhood Watch scheme. Everything from the person in the neighbourhood the local police community liaison officer contacts to let their neighbours know about the latest anti-burglary initiative through to armed racists conducting their own civilian patrols to keep undesirables (non-Whites) out of the neighbourhood. 

Although I don't think George Zimmerman would make the cut in China its Gridiron-style Social Management system is certainly towards the more extreme end of Neighbourhood Watch schemes. Rather than simply reporting violations to the proper authorities Grid-Managers are expected to enforce rules on small things like parking and littering. It actually strikes me as similar to the Citizen Patrols in Bavaria, Germany. Although you'd think that would be one country which would be hesitant to have people marching about in armbands trying to tackle the undesirables in the neighbourhood. Particularly at night.

Through discussing Metropolis (1927) and "The Brutalist" (2024) we looked at; "Social Engineering." How Urbanisation, moving people from the countryside to towns and cities, is seen by some as Human's separation from Nature. How they are able to control the Natural Environment. Through the Brutalist School of Urban Design, shown on a grand scale in Brazil’s capital Brasília, Totalitarian-Socialists (Communists) have extended that idea to using their control over the Natural Environment to control the people living in the Environment they have engineered.

The alternative to Social Engineering which is favoured by Libertarian-Socialists (Anarchists) such as Murray Bookchin is; "Social Ecology." This approach views Humans as inextricably part of the Natural Environment, the two can never been truly separated. So it is essential to allow the collective experience of the Humans living in the Environment engineer it rather than having it engineered by a small group of Central-Planners who often don't live in the Environment. The Top 10,000 in the Surface City trying to control the Worker's City, as depicted in Metropolis (1927).

Through things like Atsushi Tero's work with Slime Mold Social Ecology has actually been essential in developing the Meta-Heuristic Problem Solving which makes A.I possible. So it's been a theme running throughout Awards Season 2025.

Communist China has long been a Totalitarian-Socialist society, some view it as the ultimate Totalitarian-Socialist society. However part of Deng Xiaoping's reforms was the adoption of; "Scientific Socialism." A concept devised by Pierre-Joseph Proudhon who is probably the most famous Anarchist ever. He coined the phrase; "All Property is Theft!" which seems to be quoted by everyone, even if few understand it. China's Gridiron-style Social Management seems like a further attempt to move away from Totalitarian-Socialism towards Libertarian-Socialism. The theory seems to be that everyone within the grid-square gets to know the Grid-Manager, telling them all of their problems and ideas. The Grid-Manager then reports all of those problems and ideas to the Central-Planners, allowing the collective experience of the Humans living in the Environment to better shape their Environment for their benefit.

Particularly in the State of California the US did conduct some large-scale experiments into Murray Bookchin's Social Ecology and Direct Democracy in the 1970's. Local town and city councils were abolished and replaced by citizens voting on every decision through TV Talent Show-style telephone votes. However they quickly discovered that the only people who care that much about local issues are absolute nutters. You all know the person in the Resident's Association, Neighbourhood Watch group or, these days, neighbourhood WhatsApp group. The one who is always complaining about people putting their bins out too early, taking them in too late, not keeping their lawns cut to an appropriate length or not keeping their white picket fence painted smartly enough. With most people not bothering to take part in the telephone votes all the decisions ended up being made by that sort of nutter. The results were absolutely nuts.

While they have tried to tackle it by making Grid-Manager a paid, rather than volunteer position in rolling out its Gridiron-style Social Management system China has faced this same problem. The type of nutter who is attracted to that sort of role is exactly the sort of nutter you don't want in that sort of role.

China also has this long and deep history of absolutely appalling government oppression and Totalitarianism. Immediately after establishing China as a Communist nation, in 1950, Chairman Mao launched the Campaign to Supress Counterrevolutionaries. This encouraged people to report neighbours who they thought were enemies of the Communist Revolution. Those counterrevolutionaries were then taken away and sent to labour camps, “Laogai” (Reform Through Labour), or simply murdered, executed without trial. In the later stages of the campaign Chairman Mao set local authorities a quota of killing a minimum 0.1% of their local population. Ideally he wanted 1% killed.

In the 10 years prior to his death Chairman Mao conducted the; “Cultural Revolution.” Again this encouraged people to report neighbours who they thought were enemies of the Communist Revolution and, really, Chairman Mao personally. Those enemies were then taken away and either sent to labour camps or just murdered. Combined the Campaign to Suppress Counterrevolutionaries and the Cultural Revolution saw at least 2 million people murdered, not counting those who were worked to death in the labour camps. It wasn’t quite as bad as the Nazi Holocaust, however it wasn’t far off.

Obviously under Chairman Mao not all the people reporting their neighbours did so because they actually believed that they were enemies of the Communist Revolution. Instead they were doing so because they had some petty personal grievance against them, maybe they’d put their bins out too early or taken them in too late. If we’re going to continue the comparison with Bangladesh’s Grameen Bank then it’s a lot like accusations of Blasphemy in Islamic societies. Your enemy might not have insulted Islam, however saying they did is a good way of getting them in trouble.

China still very much executes people. Officially Saudi Arabia executes the most number of people each year. However that is only because China considers the number of people it executes each year to be a state secret. The Laogai system also still very much continues to operate in China. So there is obviously a huge amount of distrust between the Chinese State/Government and the Chinese people. Particularly over the Gridiron-style Social System. Historically reporting your neighbour to the local official or being reported to the local official has often meant certain death.

Here China’s Social Credit Systems, particularly the Digital ones have been instrumental in restoring that trust. With the Grid-Manager’s reports being fed into the Grid Computer Centre which is connected to the Social Credit Systems databases if someone feels they’re being falsely accused or unfairly punished everyone can immediately whip out their Smartphones and show each other the evidence.

As a result the pilots for China’s Social Credit Systems have emerged as a way for Chinese to renegotiate their Social Contract. Rather like how the US uses Awards Season or Europe uses the Eurovision Song Contest. At the 100m² grid level people are able to suggest what sort of behaviour should be rewarded and what sort of behaviour should be punished. Along with what those punishments and rewards should be.

So there is a huge variation in what sort of behaviours can see you rewarded or punished. However most of them can be grouped together as what is generally considered; “Anti-Social Behaviour.” Things like spitting in the street, eating smelly food on public transport or, increasingly, listening to music or watching videos on your phone in public without headphones. Again we don’t really think about it in that way in the supposedly Libertarian First World but most of these things are covered by various minor laws and bye-laws. Which can result in you being punished with things like a small fine which will show up on Credit Ratings and Criminal Record checks.

Following the US Awards Season 2025 China recently published another review of its Social Credit Systems. That review made clear that people can only be punished or rewarded for things which are considered to be against the law and have been adjudicated by the Courts. Rather than whatever the petty person in the neighbourhood WhatsApp group thinks should be a crime.

Obviously China comes from a starting point of absolutely appalling Totalitarian oppression. However through its Gridiron-style Social Management in conjunction with its Social Credit Systems China’s direction of travel is towards Libertarianism. Which is probably why it hasn't been in a great rush to complete its experiments. China is most certainly not a Democracy, only members of the Communist Party are able to vote. However there are more than 60 million Communist Party members. Meaning the Chinese leader is still answerable to an electorate larger than in any Libertarian First World European nation.

In contrast First World nations come from a starting point of Libertarianism. Yet the First World's direction of travel is towards Totalitarianism. With many of their leaders viewing compulsory Digital ID’s and their version of Social Credit Systems as a way to speed them towards that destination.

You suspect that the supposedly Libertarian First World will be much more successful in its drive towards Totalitarianism than China will be in its drive towards Libertarianism. Resulting in the end of history and single, global system of Totalitarian Capitalism as the last man standing.

The UK Labour Party has a long track record in introducing new laws under the guise of protecting the most vulnerable in society. Then using them to protect the most powerful in society from the most vulnerable. Including one example which seems particularly relevant to a professional association of filmmakers.

In 1997 the UK Labour Party made the Protection From Harassment Act (1997) law. Under the guise of protecting women from misogyny and gender-based violence. Making “Stalking” a specific criminal offence it is often used by female celebrities against the type of male who spends far too much of their time making A.I DeepFake pornography.

In 2005, under a Labour Party government, Britain’s MI5 and the Police’s Special Branch, essentially the Secret Police, used the Protection From Harassment Act (1997) block peaceful, lawful protests against the EDO MBM weapons maker. A genderless corporate entity. The law has also been used to protect police forces and local council social service departments from harassment by young women who are not happy at having been sexually abused by organised grooming-gangs. Often under the protection of those same police forces and social service departments.

In 2008 the Brighton based Anarchist multimedia conglomerate SchNEWS made a documentary about the EDO MBM scandal. So MI5 and Special Branch blocked the movie being screened in movie theatres. On the grounds that it lacked a British Board of Film Classification (BBFC) certificate. Despite the fact that as an educational documentary it was exempt from BBFC certification. The “E” certificate.

Being regulated by OFCOM rather than the BBFC many of the non-educational movies on streaming platforms such as Amazon Prime Video are also not required to have a BBFC certificate. Which can sometimes feel like a game of Russian Roulette in terms of sexual and violent content. The SchNEWS movie “On The Verge” (2008) is currently available on the streaming platform YouTube. Although under the Online Safety Act (2023) you have to wonder how long for.

At around 14:25 on 30/12/25 (UK date) I hope to be able to add more later today.

Edited at around 14:30 on 2/1/26 (UK date) to tidy the above and copy & paste;

I'm Still Here (2024) also allows us to look at The Different Models of Totalitarian-Capitalism.

Obviously there is State-Run Totalitarian-Capitalism. The Communist model we're all familiar with. In which the State/Government owns and runs all aspects of the Economy. I say that we're all familiar with it. However unless you've actually lived under it it's difficult to actually understand what it is like. I suppose the closest people in the Libertarian First World come to it is their childhood school. Assuming that most people didn't go to private school chances are that the government told you the school in your local area that you're going to go to. You then went to that school, regardless of how convenient or inconvenient that may be for you

In a Communist society you do get some choice in where your education leads you, what you want to be when you grow up. Whether you want to be something like a Doctor or a factory worker. However you get a lot less choice than in a Capitalist society where, supposedly, it is only your abilities which determine your choices. In a Communist society if you do become a Doctor it is the State/Government which tells you which hospital you're going to work at, regardless of how convenient or inconvenient that may be for you. If you become a factory worker it is the State/Government which decides which factory you're going to work in, regardless of how convenient or inconvenient that may be for you.

Whether you are a Doctor or a factory worker when you go home at night you go home to the accommodation the State/Government provides for you. On the basis that it is convenient for the State/Government, rather than for you. When you go to the shops to buy your dinner you go to the shop provided by the State/Government. The products you get to decide between are the products the State/Government has chosen for you and provided for you. I think one of the worse hangovers I've ever had in my life came from drinking Nastoiki produced by the East German Spirits Production Board. The fact this happened nearly 20 years after the reunification of Germany might have been part of the problem.

In deciding between the products the State/Government has chosen and provided for you may get to decide between slightly different brands. However this is really only the illusion of choice. All the different brands are made by the same State/Government. It can be a funny sight in a Chinese airport when the check-in desk for one of the airlines closes. So everyone just goes and uses the check-in desk for the airline right next to it. It makes no difference, despite the branding they're all the same airline.

State-Run Totalitarian Capitalism is obviously the model which exists in Cuba. It is the model that Salvador Allende tried to introduce in Chile under his Chilean Way To Socialism. It is also the model that Juan José Torres tried to introduce in Bolivia. Through the nationalisation of really all areas of the Bolivian Economy and the establishment of his People's Assembly (Asambela del Pueblo)

As a Fascist or non-Marxist Nationalist Socialist Juan Perón introduced an ever so slightly different version of State-Run Totalitarian Capitalism in Argentina; "Perónism." In which the State/Government owns and runs all aspects of the Economy. However rather than being made up of a network of Proletarian Soviets (worker's councils) the State/Government is made up of one person, the Populist Dictator. Really an Absolute Monarchy, which was State-Run Totalitarian Capitalism before Capitalism as we understand had come into being.

Calling it; "Perunamiso" instead it was this version of State-Run Totalitarian Capitalism which Juan Veleasco Alvarado tried to introduce in Peru. The establishment of State Owned Enterprises (SOE's) in all areas of the Peru's Economy; PetroPeru, PescaPerú, CentrominPerú, MineroPeru and so on. It is a model that Brazil toyed with under both of Getúlio Vargas' regimes and under the Presidency of Juscelino Kubitschek. The establishment of SOE's like Petrobras and Electrobras.

However there is also a less well known model of Totalitarian Capitalism. What I am terming; "State-Absent Totalitarian Capitalism." Here all aspects of the Economy are owned and run by Private Corporations. There is absolutely no involvement by the State/Government whatsoever. So there is no Legislative Branch passing laws and there is no Judicial Branch (Courts) enforcing the law. Instead the decisions of the people running the Private Corporations are final and absolute.

This the model that existed when The Portuguese Empire first colonised what is now Brazil. It established The Captaincies of Brazil by giving away land to private citizens, the Donatário who made the most attractive bid. The Absolute Monarchy of The Portuguese Empire then pretty much forgot that The Captaincies of Brazil existed. Leaving the Donatário to do pretty much whatever they liked. If they needed workers to pick coffee beans on their farms they just kidnapped some locals and forced them to work as slaves. When they came under attack The Portuguese Empire was reminded the Captaincies of Brazil existed and was forced to send troops to defend and run them. Turning them into an example of State-Run Totalitarian Capitalism.

One thing that particularly reminded The Portuguese Empire that the Captaincies of Brazil existed was the Dutch Invasion of Brazil (1624-1654) sometimes known as the; "Sugar Wars." When we talk about the European Colonial Era we often forget that the Colonisation largely wasn't carried out by European nations but European Corporations. The Dutch Invasion of Brazil was not an invasion by the Dutch Military. It was an invasion by the Dutch West India Company (WIC). This was a private corporation established in 1621 and given a monopoly over all economic activity in West Africa, the Caribbean, Latin America and North America. The similar Dutch East India Company (VOC) was established in 1602 and given a monopoly over all economic activity in Asia. The VOC is widely recognised as the World's first Multinational Corporation. Britain had its equivalent in the form of the British East India Company (EIC).

Although they were bound by the laws of the nations in which they were established in the nations where they operated these European Colonial Corporations did so without any State/Government restrictions. Making them examples of State-Absent Totalitarian Capitalism. The Dutch East India Company had the power to wage war, imprison and execute those it deemed to be criminals, issue its own currency and enter into treaties with nations. The British East India Company not only had its own army it had three of them. At its peak the armies of the British East India Company were twice the size of the British Army.

Arguably US Big Tech companies’ voluntary adoption of the FCC's No Nipples rule is an example of this State-Absent Totalitarian Capitalism. Unlike with the FCC US citizens didn't elect representatives that decided that Social Media companies aren't allowed to show female nipples. If they do show female nipples they're not going to be prosecuted either by a pro bono government agency or privately through the Courts. A small group of rich, anonymous people who own the companies which provide the infrastructure simply got together and decided amongst themselves that female nipples can't be shown on Social Media.

Brazil returned to something similar to this during the Fifth Republic. During that time the Presidency and the Military Dictatorship were all consumed with repressing the population and ensuring that the country didn't fall to Communism. The running of the Economy was left to a very small group within the Military Dictatorship which operated with little interest from, let alone oversight by the rest of the Military Dictatorship.

There is also a third model of Totalitarian Capitalism. What I am terming; "Hybrid-State Totalitarian Capitalism." Here there is a mixture of primarily Private Corporations and a small number of State Owned Enterprises (SOE's) operating the Economy. They are all regulated by laws made by a Legislative Branch of State/Government and enforced by a Judicial Branch. However there are a small number of Private Corporations and SOE's which are unofficially, yet completely exempt from regulation, due to their corrupt relationship with those tasked with doing the enforcement.

Emerging during the Military Dictatorship in The Philippines in the 1980's there has long been the term; "Crony Capitalism." However through widespread and overuse its definition has become far broader than what I'm talking about. Particularly in the US Crony Capitalism seems to be used to refer to any interaction between the wealthy and the State/Government. I'm not talking so much about a wealthy individual donating money to a politician's election campaign, only for the politician to repay them by properly passing laws which are favourable to that wealthy individual. Instead I'm talking more about the Courts corruptly not enforcing the law against certain wealthy individuals, Private Corporations or SOE's. Simply because that Judge has been paid off or because they enjoy a relationship with the wealthy individual, Private Corporation or SOE.

I'm referring to a situation similar to the one which led-up to Brazil's 1964 Coup d'état. In 1962 the Governor of Rio Grande do Sul State, Leonel Brizola, nationalised Companhia Telefônica National (National Telephone Company) which had been owned by the US Private Multinational ITT Corp. At the time the head of ITT Corp, Harold Geneen, was friends with John A. McCone who was head of the CIA. So John A. McCone responded by tasking the CIA with launching a campaign to bring down Leonel Brizola's political ally, Brazilian President João Goulart. Culminating in the 1964 Coup d'état and a Brazilian Economy being run by a very small group within the Brazilian Military who had very close links to John A. McCone's CIA and, by extension, ITT Corp.

The Super Bowl 2025 looked extensively at the history of Los Angeles. How when the US took control of the area from Mexico they mapped it for the first time, dividing it into Land Parcels. This is almost exactly what The Portuguese Empire did when it established the Captaincies Of Brazil. However where The Portuguese Empire awarded the Land Parcels to private citizens who submitted the best bids California Governor Leland Standford gave the Land Parcels to himself and his business partners. The; “Big Four” which was also made up of Collis Potter Huntington, Mark Hopkins Jr and Charles Crocker.

Although California’s Big Four became famous as the biggest swindlers in US history this practice was common across the US throughout The Gilded Age (1870~1900). Robber Barons would use their political connections to secure these massive Land Grants. They would then use the Land Grants to build the Railroads. The power controlling the infrastructure gave them allowed them to engage in; “Vertical Integration.” Buying up not only the farms, factories and mines which produced the things being transported on the Railroads but also the shops and business these things were being sold at and to. They also took control of the houses their workers lived in and the shops they shopped at. Rather like Communism.

Another prominent California Robber Baron was Edward L. Donhey who discovered Oil in Los Angeles and founded the Pan American Petroleum And Transport Company (PAT). Donhey and others formed the; “Ohio Gang,” a group of Robber Barons who used their political links to President Warren G. Harding to enrich themselves. They were brought down by The Teapot Dome Scandal (1923-1929) where members of the Ohio Gang were illegally given Oil fields reserved for the US Navy. 

During The Gilded Age the US fought and won The Spanish-American War (1898), giving it control of Spanish Colonies across Latin America. Control of these Spanish Colonies was then divided between Robber Barons in the same way that control of the US itself had been divided between Robber Barons. Using Land Grants they built Railroads, roads and seaports. Controlling the transport infrastructure allowed them to engage in Vertical Integration; also buying the farms growing Bananas, Coffee and Sugar along with the companies selling Bananas, Coffee and Sugar. Due to corrupt relationships with US politicians it was the US military which was sent to provide security for the Robber Barons' property across South America. The Banana Wars (1898-1934).


One of the largest figures of The Banana Wars was Samuel Zemurray who headed the United Fruit Company, which is now known as Chiquita. While William H. Taft was US President Honduras became heavily indebted to Britain. This caused President Taft to be concerned that it would lead to a return of European Colonial Powers to South America, which under The Monroe Doctrine the US considered its property. Inventing the policy of; “Dollar Diplomacy” President Taft partnered the US government with John Pierpont (J.P) Morgan to buy up Honduran debt. To allow J.P Morgan to recover his money President Taft used the US Military to seize control of Honduras’ border checkpoints and directly collect taxes from the likes of Samuel Zemurray and the United Fruit Company.

Knowing the penny per pound of Bananas tax would seriously cut into his profits Samuel Zemurray begged President Taft and his Secretary of State Philander C. Knox to scrap it. When that failed Samuel Zemurray tried using the resources of the United Fruit Company to overthrow the Honduran government and replace it with one which would end US control of Honduran border checkpoints. In response President Taft used the US Military to partner with the United Fruit Company’s main rival, the Standard Fruit Company, now Dole, to try and force Samuel Zemurray and the United Fruit Company out of business in Honduras.

So rich were the fruit companies owned by US Robber Barons and so poor were the South American nations they operated in during the Banana Wars that the Robber Barons were able to take Hybrid-State Totalitarian Capitalism to the extreme of deciding what the State/Government would be. What became known as; “Banana Republics.” I don’t mean they donated money to politician’s election campaigns, helping their preferred candidates to get elected. I mean they just chose who the Government/State officials would be. 

Brazil experienced something of a similar system during its First Republic (1889-1930). The; “Coffee With Milk Coalition” (Café com Leite) in which the, admittedly Brazilian, Donatário of the two largest States; São Paolo and Minas Gerias would decide Brazil’s government. Until they couldn’t agree, setting the stage for The Revolution of 1930.

At around 15:40 on 2/2/26 (UK date) we should all be getting back to closer to normal next week.